Result
2:1
01/06/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 11
- Referee: Pereira R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.68 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (179/238) | 85% (359/421) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 0.74 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (179/238) | 85% (359/421) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (21/44) | 71% (49/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (54/70) | 76% (127/168) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 25% (8/32) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.65 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (18/21) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.74 | 1.81 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.26 | -0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 2', 1 - 0, Kaio Jorge ⚽, Kaiki (A),
- 4', 2 - 0, Kaio Jorge ⚽, Jonathan Jesus (A),
- 13', Rios R. 🟨,
- 43', Kaiki 🟨,
- 45', Jardim L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Flaco Lopez ↓, Vitor Roque ↑,
- 46', Raphael Veiga ↓, Paulinho ↑,
- 48', Christian 🟨,
- 63', Rios R. ↓, Lucas Evangelista ↑,
- 63', Martinez E. ↓, Moreno A. ↑,
- 64', Wanderson ↓, Eduardo ↑,
- 68', Estevao 🟨,
- 74', Kaio Jorge ↓, Gabriel Barbosa ↑,
- 75', Mauricio ↓, Allan ↑,
- 85', Vitor Roque 🟨,
- 87', 2 - 1, Allan ⚽, Lucas Evangelista (A),
- 89', Matheus Pereira ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
- 90+1', Eduardo 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cruzeiro
29.5% | Draw
32.5% | Palmeiras
38% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Palmeiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+4%)
Cruzeiro - Palmeiras Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.25 ↓
(3.3) |
2.92 ↓
(3.26) |
2.46 ↑
(2.24) |
5.5%
(5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Cruzeiro - Palmeiras?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Cruzeiro will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Palmeiras will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.7% – 80.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Cruzeiro (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 0.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Recently, Palmeiras has had a series of home games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Cruzeiro: Joao Marcelo
(Knee Injury)
Matheus Henrique
(Knee Injury)
Villalba L.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Palmeiras: Bruno Rodrigues
(Knee Injury)
Felipe Anderson
(Hamstring Injury)
Gomez G.
(Yellow Cards)
Murilo
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Cruzeiro: Japa
(Thigh Injury)
Wanderson
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:28. (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cruzeiro won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.4:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Palmeiras?
Cruzeiro has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against Cruzeiro?
Palmeiras has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cruzeiro - Palmeiras were as follows:
04.12.2024
Cruzeiro
-
Palmeiras
1:2
20.07.2024
Palmeiras
-
Cruzeiro
2:0
06.12.2023
Cruzeiro
-
Palmeiras
1:1
14.08.2023
Palmeiras
-
Cruzeiro
1:0
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Latest results of Palmeiras
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30:6 | 24 | 36 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 28:11 | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 32 |
| 4 | Bahia | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 29 |
| 5 | Mirassol | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 27:16 | 11 | 28 |
| 6 | Bragantino | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 27 |
| 7 | Botafogo RJ | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 18:8 | 10 | 26 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 18:20 | -2 | 23 |
| 9 | Sao Paulo | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 |
| 10 | Ceara | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16:16 | 0 | 21 |
| 11 | Internacional | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 21 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 21 |
| 13 | Atletico-MG | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 20 |
| 14 | Gremio | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16:23 | -7 | 20 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
| 16 | Vasco | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 18:23 | -5 | 15 |
| 17 | Santos | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 15 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
| 19 | Juventude | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10:32 | -22 | 11 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 16 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 9:25 | -16 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
