Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

26/10/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Allianz Parque (Sao Paulo).

Serie A Betano - Round 30
Referee: Klein R. (Bra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Flow Eventos
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Ecuador	El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Mexico	Fanatiz
North-central-america	Flow Sports 1 Caribbean
Paraguay	Flow Eventos
Portugal	Canal 11
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Spain	Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Flow
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.59	0.95
Ball Possession
52%	48%
Total shots
13	11
Shots on target
4	4
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
4	8
Passes
72% (226/315)	76% (220/291)
Yellow Cards
2	6
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.59	0.95
xG on target (xGOT)
0.78	1.15
Total shots
13	11
Shots on target
4	4
Shots off target
8	4
Blocked Shots
1	3
Shots inside the Box
9	4
Shots outside the Box
4	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
4	8
Touches in opposition box
21	14
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
16	24
Passes
72% (226/315)	76% (220/291)
Long passes
43% (35/82)	45% (32/71)
Passes in final third
56% (55/98)	60% (72/120)
Crosses
30% (7/23)	32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.82	1.01
Throw-ins
19	16
Fouls
24	16
Tackles
69% (9/13)	33% (2/6)
Duels won
58	49
Clearances
22	26
Interceptions
11	13
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	4
xGOT faced
1.15	0.78
Goals prevented
1.15	0.78

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Wanderson ↓, Arroyo K. ↑,
15', Gomez G. 🟨,
17', Fabricio Bruno 🟨,
33', Khellven 🟨,
34', Romero L. 🟨,
37', Villalba L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Felipe Anderson ↓, Sosa R. ↑,
63', Lopez J. ↓, Bruno Rodrigues ↑,
63', Vitor Roque ↓, Allan ↑,
67', Khellven ↓, Giay A. ↑,
71', Fabricio Bruno 🟨,
73', Arroyo K. ↓, Jonathan Jesus ↑,
79', Bruno Fuchs ↓, Raphael Veiga ↑,
85', Kaiki 🟨,
90+5', Matheus Pereira ↓, Eduardo ↑,
90+8', Lucas Silva 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Palmeiras
55.9%

Draw
25.5%

Cruzeiro
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

25%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

24.1%

18.1%

Palmeiras - Cruzeiro Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.67)	3.71 ↓ (3.75)	5.04 ↑ (5)	5.5% (6.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Palmeiras - Cruzeiro?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Palmeiras (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Users Predictions: Palmeiras will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Palmeiras may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Palmeiras is the team to beat.
There will not play in Palmeiras: Lucas Evangelista (Hamstring Injury) Paulinho (Leg Injury) Piquerez J. (Red Card) Weverton (Inactive)
There will not play in Cruzeiro: Cassio (Injury) Fagner (Broken Leg) Matheus Henrique (Ribs Injury) Sinisterra L. (Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Cruzeiro: Janderson (Knee Injury) Kaua Prates (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:23. (average 1.4:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Palmeiras won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:9. (average 1.5:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against Cruzeiro?

Palmeiras has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Palmeiras?

Cruzeiro has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Palmeiras - Cruzeiro were as follows:

01.06.2025 Cruzeiro - Palmeiras 2:1

04.12.2024 Cruzeiro - Palmeiras 1:2

20.07.2024 Palmeiras - Cruzeiro 2:0

06.12.2023 Cruzeiro - Palmeiras 1:1

14.08.2023 Palmeiras - Cruzeiro 1:0

Latest results of Palmeiras

23.10.2025 LDU Quito - Palmeiras 3:0 ✺

19.10.2025 Flamengo - Palmeiras 3:2 ✺

15.10.2025 Palmeiras - Red Bull Bragantino 5:1 ✺

11.10.2025 Palmeiras - Juventude 4:1 ✺

05.10.2025 São Paulo - Palmeiras 2:3 ✺

Latest results of Cruzeiro

18.10.2025 Cruzeiro - Fortaleza 1:0 ✺

15.10.2025 Atlético Mineiro - Cruzeiro 1:1 ✺

05.10.2025 Cruzeiro - Sport Recife 1:1 ✺

02.10.2025 Flamengo - Cruzeiro 0:0 ✺

27.09.2025 Vasco da Gama - Cruzeiro 2:0 ✺

Brazilian Serie A Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bragantino	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Internacional	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Vasco	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Gremio	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Botafogo RJ	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Santos	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Sao Paulo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Coritiba	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Cruzeiro	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Vitoria	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Atletico-MG	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Fluminense	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Flamengo RJ	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Palmeiras	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Athletico-PR	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Bahia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Corinthians	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Mirassol	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Remo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Chapecoense-SC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet