Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Cruzeiro - Palmeiras
Result
2:1
01/06/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 11
  • Referee: Pereira R. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.240.68
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
1418
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
513
Passes
75% (179/238)85% (359/421)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.240.68
xG on target (xGOT)
1.810.74
Total shots
1418
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
85
Blocked Shots
38
Shots inside the Box
78
Shots outside the Box
710
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
513
Touches in opposition box
1524
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1317
Passes
75% (179/238)85% (359/421)
Long passes
48% (21/44)71% (49/69)
Passes in final third
77% (54/70)76% (127/168)
Crosses
29% (5/17)25% (8/32)
Expected assists (xA)
0.470.65
Throw-ins
1828
Fouls
1713
Tackles
86% (18/21)56% (9/16)
Duels won
4753
Clearances
3511
Interceptions
107
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
0.741.81
Goals prevented
-0.26-0.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Kaio Jorge , Kaiki (A),
  • 4', 2 - 0, Kaio Jorge , Jonathan Jesus (A),
  • 13', Rios R. 🟨,
  • 43', Kaiki 🟨,
  • 45', Jardim L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Flaco Lopez , Vitor Roque ,
  • 46', Raphael Veiga , Paulinho ,
  • 48', Christian 🟨,
  • 63', Rios R. , Lucas Evangelista ,
  • 63', Martinez E. , Moreno A. ,
  • 64', Wanderson , Eduardo ,
  • 68', Estevao 🟨,
  • 74', Kaio Jorge , Gabriel Barbosa ,
  • 75', Mauricio , Allan ,
  • 85', Vitor Roque 🟨,
  • 87', 2 - 1, Allan , Lucas Evangelista (A),
  • 89', Matheus Pereira , Marquinhos ,
  • 90+1', Eduardo 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cruzeiro
29.5%
Draw
32.5%
Palmeiras
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.7% 29% 42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9% 29.2% 42%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Palmeiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • Cruzeiro - Palmeiras Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.25
    (3.3)
    2.92
    (3.26)
    2.46
    (2.24)
    5.5%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Cruzeiro - Palmeiras?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Cruzeiro will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Palmeiras will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.7%80.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Cruzeiro (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 0.
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Recently, Palmeiras has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Cruzeiro: Joao Marcelo (Knee Injury) Matheus Henrique (Knee Injury) Villalba L. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Palmeiras: Bruno Rodrigues (Knee Injury) Felipe Anderson (Hamstring Injury) Gomez G. (Yellow Cards) Murilo (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Cruzeiro: Japa (Thigh Injury) Wanderson (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:28. (average 1.2:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cruzeiro won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.4:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cruzeiro - Palmeiras were as follows:
    04.12.2024 Cruzeiro - Palmeiras 1:2
    20.07.2024 Palmeiras - Cruzeiro 2:0
    06.12.2023 Cruzeiro - Palmeiras 1:1
    14.08.2023 Palmeiras - Cruzeiro 1:0
    Latest results of Cruzeiro
    28.05.2025 Cruzeiro - Unión Santa Fe 0:0
    25.05.2025 Fortaleza - Cruzeiro 0:2
    22.05.2025 Vila Nova - Cruzeiro 0:3
    14.05.2025 Cruzeiro - Palestino 2:1
    Latest results of Palmeiras
    25.05.2025 Palmeiras - Flamengo 0:2
    22.05.2025 Palmeiras - Ceará 3:0
    15.05.2025 Palmeiras - Bolívar 2:0
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ19134236:92743
    2Palmeiras18123324:15939
    3Cruzeiro20115432:141838
    4Bahia1896325:17833
    5Botafogo RJ1885523:111229
    6Mirassol1878329:191029
    7Sao Paulo2078524:22229
    8Fluminense1883723:24-127
    9Bragantino2083922:26-427
    10Ceara1974819:19025
    11Atletico-MG1866620:21-124
    12Internacional1966722:26-424
    13Gremio1965819:25-623
    14Corinthians2057819:25-622
    15Santos19631020:29-921
    16Vasco19541025:26-119
    17Vitoria20310718:24-619
    18Juventude19531117:38-2118
    19Fortaleza19361019:31-1215
    20Sport Recife18171012:27-1510

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet