Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Palmeiras - Cruzeiro
26/10/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Palmeiras
53.9%
Draw
26.1%
Cruzeiro
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.2% 25% 18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4% 24.1% 18.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Palmeiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Palmeiras - Cruzeiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.67)
    3.62
    (3.75)
    4.81
    (5)
    5.6%
    (6.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Palmeiras may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Palmeiras is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:23. (average 1.4:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Palmeiras won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:9. (average 1.5:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Palmeiras - Cruzeiro were as follows:
    01.06.2025 Cruzeiro - Palmeiras 2:1
    04.12.2024 Cruzeiro - Palmeiras 1:2
    20.07.2024 Palmeiras - Cruzeiro 2:0
    06.12.2023 Cruzeiro - Palmeiras 1:1
    14.08.2023 Palmeiras - Cruzeiro 1:0
    Latest results of Palmeiras
    23.10.2025 LDU Quito - Palmeiras 3:0
    19.10.2025 Flamengo - Palmeiras 3:2
    11.10.2025 Palmeiras - Juventude 4:1
    05.10.2025 São Paulo - Palmeiras 2:3
    Latest results of Cruzeiro
    18.10.2025 Cruzeiro - Fortaleza 1:0
    05.10.2025 Cruzeiro - Sport Recife 1:1
    02.10.2025 Flamengo - Cruzeiro 0:0
    27.09.2025 Vasco da Gama - Cruzeiro 2:0
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras28194553:262761
    2Flamengo RJ28187356:154161
    3Cruzeiro29168542:212156
    4Mirassol291410550:302052
    5Bahia29147840:32849
    6Botafogo RJ29137939:261346
    7Fluminense281251135:35041
    8Vasco291161246:41539
    9Sao Paulo291081131:33-238
    10Bragantino291061334:44-1036
    11Corinthians29991131:35-436
    12Gremio29991130:37-736
    13Ceara28981127:27035
    14Internacional29981235:42-735
    15Atletico-MG28891126:32-633
    16Santos28871328:40-1231
    17Vitoria297101227:43-1631
    18Juventude29751723:53-3026
    19Fortaleza28661626:44-1824
    20Sport Recife282111521:44-2317

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet