Result
1:2
20/04/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 5
- Referee: Zanovelli P. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, PlayPlus, Premiere, R7, Sky+, SporTV, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (314/378) | 80% (289/361) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.00 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 1.60 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 9 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (314/378) | 80% (289/361) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (23/45) | 37% (22/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (105/142) | 52% (43/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (5/24) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 48% (10/21) | 76% (22/29) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 64 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 22 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.60 | 1.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.40 | 0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 29', Allanzinho 🟨,
- 45+4', 0 - 1, Torres F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 58', 0 - 2, Flaco Lopez ⚽, Estevao (A),
- 66', Yago Pikachu ↓, Tinga ↑,
- 66', David Luiz ↓, Lucero J. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 2, Deyverson ⚽, Allanzinho (A),
- 71', Flaco Lopez ↓, Vitor Roque ↑,
- 72', Felipe Anderson ↓, Mauricio ↑,
- 72', Estevao ↓, Naves ↑,
- 76', Calebe ↓, Lucca Prior ↑,
- 76', Mancuso E. ↓, Diogo Barbosa ↑,
- 77', Torres F. ↓, Allan ↑,
- 81', Rios R. 🟨,
- 81', Rios R. ↓, Moreno A. ↑,
- 81', Allanzinho ↓, Andrade K. ↑,
- 90+4', Deyverson (Pen),
Chances of winning
Fortaleza
25.3% | Draw
30.1% | Palmeiras
44.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fortaleza's form might have worsened.Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Palmeiras's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fortaleza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Palmeiras, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Fortaleza - Palmeiras Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.76 ↑
(2.8) |
3.16 ↑
(3.1) |
2.14 ↓
(2.55) |
5%
(7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Fortaleza - Palmeiras?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Palmeiras will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Palmeiras will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Fortaleza won 2.
- Fortaleza is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Palmeiras is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
- Palmeiras could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Palmeiras will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Fortaleza: Breno Lopes
(Forearm injury)
Britez E.
(Ankle Injury)
Emmanuel Martinez
(Yellow Cards)
Moises
(Injury)
Pochettino T.
(Tendon Injury)
Tinga
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in Palmeiras: Bruno Rodrigues
(Knee Injury)
Lucas Evangelista
(Hamstring Injury)
Marcos Rocha
(Inactive)
Mayke
(Hamstring Injury)
Murilo
(Inactive)
Raphael Veiga
(Shoulder Injury)
- Last 14 head-to-head matches Fortaleza won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 15:24 (average 1.1:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Fortaleza won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:3 (average 1.3:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza won against Palmeiras?
Fortaleza has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against Fortaleza?
Palmeiras has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza - Palmeiras were as follows:
26.10.2024
Palmeiras
-
Fortaleza
2:2
26.06.2024
Fortaleza
-
Palmeiras
3:0
26.11.2023
Fortaleza
-
Palmeiras
2:2
22.07.2023
Palmeiras
-
Fortaleza
3:1
31.05.2023
Fortaleza
-
Palmeiras
1:0
Latest results of Fortaleza
Latest results of Palmeiras
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 36:9 | 27 | 43 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 24:15 | 9 | 39 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 32:14 | 18 | 38 |
| 4 | Bahia | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 25:17 | 8 | 33 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 23:11 | 12 | 29 |
| 6 | Mirassol | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 29:19 | 10 | 29 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 24:22 | 2 | 29 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 23:24 | -1 | 27 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 22:26 | -4 | 27 |
| 10 | Ceara | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 19:19 | 0 | 25 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 20:21 | -1 | 24 |
| 12 | Internacional | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 22:26 | -4 | 24 |
| 13 | Gremio | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 22 |
| 15 | Santos | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 20:29 | -9 | 21 |
| 16 | Vasco | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 25:26 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 20 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 19 |
| 18 | Juventude | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 17:38 | -21 | 18 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 19:31 | -12 | 15 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 12:27 | -15 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
