Fortaleza vs Palmeiras – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Fortaleza - Palmeiras
Result
1:2
20/04/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 5
  • Referee: Zanovelli P. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, PlayPlus, Premiere, R7, Sky+, SporTV, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.201.00
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
126
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
82
Passes
83% (314/378)80% (289/361)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.201.00
xG on target (xGOT)
1.281.60
Total shots
126
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
61
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
74
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
229
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
1312
Passes
83% (314/378)80% (289/361)
Long passes
51% (23/45)37% (22/60)
Passes in final third
74% (105/142)52% (43/83)
Crosses
21% (5/24)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.530.26
Fouls
1213
Tackles
48% (10/21)76% (22/29)
Duels won
6264
Clearances Total
2237
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.601.28
Goals prevented
-0.400.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 29', Allanzinho 🟨,
  • 45+4', 0 - 1, Torres F. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 58', 0 - 2, Flaco Lopez , Estevao (A),
  • 66', Yago Pikachu , Tinga ,
  • 66', David Luiz , Lucero J. ,
  • 70', 1 - 2, Deyverson , Allanzinho (A),
  • 71', Flaco Lopez , Vitor Roque ,
  • 72', Felipe Anderson , Mauricio ,
  • 72', Estevao , Naves ,
  • 76', Calebe , Lucca Prior ,
  • 76', Mancuso E. , Diogo Barbosa ,
  • 77', Torres F. , Allan ,
  • 81', Rios R. 🟨,
  • 81', Rios R. , Moreno A. ,
  • 81', Allanzinho , Andrade K. ,
  • 90+4', Deyverson (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fortaleza
25.3%
Draw
30.1%
Palmeiras
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.3% 30.1% 36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8% 29.6% 37.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fortaleza's form might have worsened.
  • Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Palmeiras's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fortaleza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Palmeiras, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Fortaleza - Palmeiras Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.76
    (2.8)
    3.16
    (3.1)
    2.14
    (2.55)
    5%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Fortaleza - Palmeiras?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Palmeiras will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Palmeiras will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Fortaleza won 2.
    • Fortaleza is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Palmeiras is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Palmeiras could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Palmeiras will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Fortaleza: Breno Lopes (Forearm injury) Britez E. (Ankle Injury) Emmanuel Martinez (Yellow Cards) Moises (Injury) Pochettino T. (Tendon Injury) Tinga (Calf Injury)
    • There will not play in Palmeiras: Bruno Rodrigues (Knee Injury) Lucas Evangelista (Hamstring Injury) Marcos Rocha (Inactive) Mayke (Hamstring Injury) Murilo (Inactive) Raphael Veiga (Shoulder Injury)
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches Fortaleza won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 15:24 (average 1.1:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Fortaleza won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:3 (average 1.3:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza - Palmeiras were as follows:
    26.10.2024 Palmeiras - Fortaleza 2:2
    26.06.2024 Fortaleza - Palmeiras 3:0
    26.11.2023 Fortaleza - Palmeiras 2:2
    22.07.2023 Palmeiras - Fortaleza 3:1
    31.05.2023 Fortaleza - Palmeiras 1:0
    Latest results of Fortaleza
    10.04.2025 Colo-Colo - Fortaleza Abandoned
    06.04.2025 Mirassol - Fortaleza 1:1
    01.04.2025 Fortaleza - Racing 0:3
    Latest results of Palmeiras
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ16113230:62436
    2Cruzeiro17104328:111734
    3Palmeiras15102319:12732
    4Bahia1685320:13729
    5Mirassol1677227:161128
    6Bragantino1783620:20027
    7Botafogo RJ1575318:81026
    8Fluminense1672718:20-223
    9Sao Paulo1757518:19-122
    10Ceara1663716:16021
    11Internacional1656517:20-321
    12Corinthians1756616:20-421
    13Atletico-MG1555516:16020
    14Gremio1755716:23-720
    15Vitoria1738614:18-417
    16Vasco1643918:23-515
    17Santos1643915:21-615
    18Fortaleza1635817:23-614
    19Juventude15321010:32-2211
    20Sport Recife1606109:25-166

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