Palmeiras vs Fortaleza – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A
Result
4:1
20/09/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 24
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
ecuadorEcuadorEl Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 2, Fanatiz
portugalPortugalCanal 11
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.381.07
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
238
Shots on target
95
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
112
Passes
87% (398/460)69% (167/243)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
2.381.07
xG on target (xGOT)
2.571.32
Total shots
238
Shots on target
95
Shots off target
80
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
166
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
112
Touches in opposition box
2815
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1511
Passes
87% (398/460)69% (167/243)
Long passes
48% (25/52)30% (14/47)
Passes in final third
71% (86/121)44% (24/55)
Crosses
40% (10/25)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.080.24
Throw-ins
1911
Fouls
1115
Tackles
50% (2/4)61% (11/18)
Duels won
5047
Clearances
1513
Interceptions
47
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
45
xGOT faced
1.322.57
Goals prevented
0.32-1.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Raphael Veiga (Pen),
  • 23', 1 - 1, Lucas Crispim ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 57', 2 - 1, Sosa R. ⚽, Micael (A),
  • 59', Lucas Crispim ↓, Rodrigo ↑,
  • 59', Lucero J. ↓, Deyverson ↑,
  • 70', Allan ↓, Lucas Evangelista ↑,
  • 70', Mauricio ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
  • 71', Raphael Veiga ↓, Vitor Roque ↑,
  • 74', Yago Pikachu ↓, Marinho ↑,
  • 74', Breno Lopes ↓, Pochettino T. ↑,
  • 74', Torres F. ↓, Pereira A. ↑,
  • 75', Sosa R. ↓, Felipe Anderson ↑,
  • 80', Micael 🟨,
  • 82', 3 - 1, Pereira A. ⚽, Felipe Anderson (A),
  • 85', Pereira M. ↓, Bareiro A. ↑,
  • 90', 4 - 1, Pereira A. ⚽, Jefte (A),
  • 90+1', Britez E. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Palmeiras
71.5%		Draw
18.6%		Fortaleza
9.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66% 21.4% 12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69% 20.5% 12.1%

Palmeiras - Fortaleza Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.35 ↓
(1.43)		 5.38 ↑
(4.4)		 10.22 ↑
(7.45)		 2.3%
(6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Palmeiras - Fortaleza?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Palmeiras will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Fortaleza will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Palmeiras: 68.4% – 100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Palmeiras (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Fortaleza (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 2.
    • Palmeiras is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Fortaleza is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Palmeiras may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Palmeiras is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Palmeiras: Paulinho (Leg Injury)
    • There will not play in Fortaleza: Benevenuto (Inactive) Kuscevic B. (Hamstring Injury) Moises (Thigh Injury) Tinga (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fortaleza: Brenno (Finger Injury) Herrera J. (Knee Injury) Lucas Sasha (Calf Injury) Yago Pikachu (Injury)
    • We predict that Palmeiras will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:16. (average 1.7:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Palmeiras won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 21:6. (average 3:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Palmeiras - Fortaleza were as follows:
    20.04.2025 Fortaleza - Palmeiras 1:2
    26.10.2024 Palmeiras - Fortaleza 2:2
    26.06.2024 Fortaleza - Palmeiras 3:0
    26.11.2023 Fortaleza - Palmeiras 2:2
    22.07.2023 Palmeiras - Fortaleza 3:1
    Latest results of Palmeiras
    17.09.2025 River Plate - Palmeiras 1:2 ✺
    13.09.2025 Palmeiras - Internacional RS 4:1 ✺
    31.08.2025 Corinthians - Palmeiras 1:1 ✺
    25.08.2025 Palmeiras - Sport Recife 3:0 ✺
    21.08.2025 Palmeiras - Universitario de Deportes 0:0 ✺
    Latest results of Fortaleza
    13.09.2025 Fortaleza - Vitória Salvador 2:0 ✺
    31.08.2025 Internacional RS - Fortaleza 2:1 ✺
    24.08.2025 Fortaleza - Mirassol 0:1 ✺
    19.08.2025 Vélez Sársfield - Fortaleza 2:0 ✺
    16.08.2025 Fluminense - Fortaleza 2:1 ✺
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bragantino00000:000
    2Internacional00000:000
    3Vasco00000:000
    4Gremio00000:000
    5Botafogo RJ00000:000
    6Santos00000:000
    7Sao Paulo00000:000
    8Coritiba00000:000
    9Cruzeiro00000:000
    10Vitoria00000:000
    11Atletico-MG00000:000
    12Fluminense00000:000
    13Flamengo RJ00000:000
    14Palmeiras00000:000
    15Athletico-PR00000:000
    16Bahia00000:000
    17Corinthians00000:000
    18Mirassol00000:000
    19Remo00000:000
    20Chapecoense-SC00000:000

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

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