Result
1:2
20/04/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 5
- Referee: Zanovelli P. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, PlayPlus, Premiere, R7, Sky+, SporTV, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.20 | 1.00 |
Ball Possession |
---|
52% | 48% |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
83% (314/378) | 80% (289/361) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.20 | 1.00 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.28 | 1.60 |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
22 | 9 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 4 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
83% (314/378) | 80% (289/361) |
Long passes |
---|
51% (23/45) | 37% (22/60) |
Passes in final third |
---|
74% (105/142) | 52% (43/83) |
Crosses |
---|
21% (5/24) | 11% (1/9) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.53 | 0.26 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 13 |
Tackles |
---|
48% (10/21) | 76% (22/29) |
Duels won |
---|
62 | 64 |
Clearances Total |
---|
22 | 37 |
Interceptions |
---|
10 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.60 | 1.28 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.40 | 0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 29', Allanzinho 🟨,
- 45+4', 0 - 1, Torres F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 58', 0 - 2, Flaco Lopez ⚽, Estevao (A),
- 66', Yago Pikachu ↓, Tinga ↑,
- 66', David Luiz ↓, Lucero J. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 2, Deyverson ⚽, Allanzinho (A),
- 71', Flaco Lopez ↓, Vitor Roque ↑,
- 72', Felipe Anderson ↓, Mauricio ↑,
- 72', Estevao ↓, Naves ↑,
- 76', Calebe ↓, Lucca Prior ↑,
- 76', Mancuso E. ↓, Diogo Barbosa ↑,
- 77', Torres F. ↓, Allan ↑,
- 81', Rios R. 🟨,
- 81', Rios R. ↓, Moreno A. ↑,
- 81', Allanzinho ↓, Andrade K. ↑,
- 90+4', Deyverson (Pen),
Chances of winning
Fortaleza 25.3% | Draw 30.1% | Palmeiras 44.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fortaleza's form might have worsened.Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Palmeiras's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fortaleza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Palmeiras, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Fortaleza - Palmeiras Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.76 ↑ (2.8) |
3.16 ↑ (3.1) |
2.14 ↓ (2.55) |
5% (7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Fortaleza - Palmeiras?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Palmeiras will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Palmeiras will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Fortaleza won 2.
- Fortaleza is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Palmeiras is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
- Palmeiras could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Palmeiras will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Fortaleza: Breno Lopes
(Forearm injury)
Britez E.
(Ankle Injury)
Emmanuel Martinez
(Yellow Cards)
Moises
(Injury)
Pochettino T.
(Tendon Injury)
Tinga
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in Palmeiras: Bruno Rodrigues
(Knee Injury)
Lucas Evangelista
(Hamstring Injury)
Marcos Rocha
(Inactive)
Mayke
(Hamstring Injury)
Murilo
(Inactive)
Raphael Veiga
(Shoulder Injury)
- Last 14 head-to-head matches Fortaleza won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 15:24 (average 1.1:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Fortaleza won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:3 (average 1.3:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza won against Palmeiras?
Fortaleza has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against Fortaleza?
Palmeiras has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza - Palmeiras were as follows:
26.10.2024
Palmeiras
-
Fortaleza
2:2
26.06.2024
Fortaleza
-
Palmeiras
3:0
26.11.2023
Fortaleza
-
Palmeiras
2:2
22.07.2023
Palmeiras
-
Fortaleza
3:1
31.05.2023
Fortaleza
-
Palmeiras
1:0
Latest results of Fortaleza
Latest results of Palmeiras
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30:6 | 24 | 36 |
2 | Cruzeiro | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 28:11 | 17 | 34 |
3 | Palmeiras | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 32 |
4 | Bahia | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Mirassol | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 27:16 | 11 | 28 |
6 | Bragantino | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 27 |
7 | Botafogo RJ | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 18:8 | 10 | 26 |
8 | Fluminense | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 18:20 | -2 | 23 |
9 | Sao Paulo | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 |
10 | Ceara | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16:16 | 0 | 21 |
11 | Internacional | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 21 |
12 | Corinthians | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 21 |
13 | Atletico-MG | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 20 |
14 | Gremio | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16:23 | -7 | 20 |
15 | Vitoria | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
16 | Vasco | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 18:23 | -5 | 15 |
17 | Santos | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 15 |
18 | Fortaleza | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
19 | Juventude | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10:32 | -22 | 11 |
20 | Sport Recife | 16 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 9:25 | -16 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet