Grêmio vs Palmeiras – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A
Result
3:2
25/11/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 36
  • Referee: Sampaio S. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Globoplay, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
israelIsraelSport 4
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
portugalPortugalCanal 11
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.681.67
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
2022
Shots on target
106
Big Chances
54
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
87% (335/387)88% (407/465)
Yellow Cards
33
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.681.67
xG on target (xGOT)
3.071.51
Total shots
2022
Shots on target
106
Shots off target
48
Blocked Shots
68
Shots inside the Box
1112
Shots outside the Box
910
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
02
Big Chances
54
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
2224
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1410
Passes
87% (335/387)88% (407/465)
Long passes
53% (20/38)51% (23/45)
Passes in final third
81% (60/74)79% (107/136)
Crosses
11% (2/18)38% (5/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.530.95
Throw-ins
1113
Fouls
1014
Tackles
43% (6/14)77% (10/13)
Duels won
4240
Clearances
2118
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
47
xGOT faced
1.513.07
Goals prevented
-0.490.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 24', 0 - 1, Torres F. ⚽, Sosa R. (A),
  • 25', Carlos Vinicius 🟨,
  • 34', Marlon 🟨,
  • 45+3', 1 - 1, Amuzu F. ⚽, Wagner Leonardo (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Pavon C. ↓, Alysson ↑,
  • 46', Edenilson ↓, Willian ↑,
  • 60', Moreno A. 🟨,
  • 61', 2 - 1, Carlos Vinicius (Pen),
  • 66', Torres F. 🟨,
  • 67', Sosa R. ↓, Bruno Rodrigues ↑,
  • 67', Mauricio ↓, Luighi ↑,
  • 72', Micael ↓, Riquelme Fillipi ↑,
  • 76', Amuzu F. 🟨,
  • 77', Amuzu F. ↓, Cristaldo F. ↑,
  • 77', Dodi ↓, Cuellar G. ↑,
  • 78', Luighi 🟨,
  • 79', Torres F. ↓, Allan ↑,
  • 79', Moreno A. ↓, Pereira A. ↑,
  • 84', Giay A. 🟥,
  • 85', 3 - 1, Willian (Pen),
  • 88', Marcos Rocha ↓, Joao Lucas ↑,
  • 90+3', 3 - 2, Benedetti ⚽,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Grêmio
37.5%		Draw
30%		Palmeiras
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.9% 27.8% 46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1% 27% 47.7%

Grêmio - Palmeiras Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 2.64 ↓
(3.65)		 3.25 ↓
(3.4)		 2.94 ↑
(2.04)		 2.5%
(5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Grêmio - Palmeiras?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Grêmio will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Palmeiras will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Grêmio: 19% – 81%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.5 - Grêmio (1.37) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
    • Palmeiras is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 1.
    • Grêmio has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Palmeiras has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Palmeiras may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Grêmio: Amuzu F. (Inactive) Arthur Melo (Inactive) Braithwaite M. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Fabian Balbuena (Ankle Injury) Gustavo Martins (Yellow Cards) Joao Pedro (Muscle Injury) Monsalve M. (Inactive) Noriega E. (Yellow Cards) Olivera C. (Ankle Injury) Rodrigo Ely (Knee Injury) Villasanti M. (Knee Injury) Willian (Leg Injury)
    • There will not play in Palmeiras: Lucas Evangelista (Hamstring Injury) Murilo (Yellow Cards) Paulinho (Leg Injury) Weverton (Finger Injury)
    • There are questionable in Grêmio: Noriega E. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 14:31. (average 0.7:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Grêmio won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 0.8:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio - Palmeiras were as follows:
    26.07.2025 Palmeiras - Grêmio 1:0
    08.11.2024 Palmeiras - Grêmio 1:0
    04.07.2024 Grêmio - Palmeiras 2:2
    21.09.2023 Grêmio - Palmeiras 1:0
    10.05.2023 Palmeiras - Grêmio 4:1
    Latest results of Grêmio
    22.11.2025 Botafogo RJ - Grêmio 3:2 ✺
    19.11.2025 Grêmio - Vasco da Gama 2:0 ✺
    09.11.2025 Fortaleza - Grêmio 2:2 ✺
    05.11.2025 Grêmio - Cruzeiro 0:1 ✺
    02.11.2025 Corinthians - Grêmio 2:0 ✺
    Latest results of Palmeiras
    22.11.2025 Palmeiras - Fluminense 0:0 ✺
    19.11.2025 Palmeiras - Vitória Salvador 0:0 ✺
    15.11.2025 Santos - Palmeiras 1:0 ✺
    09.11.2025 Mirassol - Palmeiras 2:1 ✺
    06.11.2025 Palmeiras - Santos 2:0 ✺
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bragantino00000:000
    2Internacional00000:000
    3Vasco00000:000
    4Gremio00000:000
    5Botafogo RJ00000:000
    6Santos00000:000
    7Sao Paulo00000:000
    8Coritiba00000:000
    9Cruzeiro00000:000
    10Vitoria00000:000
    11Atletico-MG00000:000
    12Fluminense00000:000
    13Flamengo RJ00000:000
    14Palmeiras00000:000
    15Athletico-PR00000:000
    16Bahia00000:000
    17Corinthians00000:000
    18Mirassol00000:000
    19Remo00000:000
    20Chapecoense-SC00000:000

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

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