Palmeiras vs Porto – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football FIFA Club World Cup
Football FIFA Club World Cup Palmeiras - Porto
Result
0:0
15/06/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FIFA Club World Cup - Round 1
  • Referee: Said Martinez H. (Hon)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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vietnamVietnamDAZN, FPT Play
worldWorldSport 24

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.200.84
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
82% (328/399)80% (263/328)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
2.200.84
xG on target (xGOT)
1.980.70
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
137
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
3917
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1220
Passes
82% (328/399)80% (263/328)
Long passes
64% (23/36)44% (16/36)
Passes in final third
71% (91/128)72% (39/54)
Crosses
21% (6/29)44% (7/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.620.47
Throw-ins
1613
Fouls
2012
Tackles
64% (7/11)33% (3/9)
Duels won
4146
Clearances
1333
Interceptions
117
Errors leading to shot
21
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
0.701.98
Goals prevented
0.701.98

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 10', Felipe Anderson 🟨,
  • 15', Fernandes M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 62', Gomez G. 🟨,
  • 64', Abel Ferreira 🟨,
  • 65', Felipe Anderson ↓, Paulinho ↑,
  • 65', Mauricio ↓, Raphael Veiga ↑,
  • 65', Estevao ↓, Allan ↑,
  • 67', Veiga G. ↓, Pepê ↑,
  • 77', Vitor Roque ↓, Flaco Lopez ↑,
  • 77', Mora R. ↓, Eustaquio S. ↑,
  • 77', Joao Mario ↓, Perez N. ↑,
  • 82', Varela A. ↓, Perez T. ↑,
  • 82', Vieira F. ↓, Franco A. ↑,
  • 87', Rios R. ↓, Lucas Evangelista ↑,
  • 90+1', Perez N. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/2zbmwaum

Chances of winning


Palmeiras
39.4%		Draw
29.4%		Porto
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.4% 27.8% 37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7% 28% 37.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Porto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Porto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Palmeiras - Porto Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.45 ↓
    (2.77)    		 3.24 ↓
    (3.43)    		 3.04 ↑
    (2.52)    		 4.6%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    •
    What is the prediction for Palmeiras - Porto?
  • Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Palmeiras will win (votes: 22 - 45.8%). Porto will win (votes: 16 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 20.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Palmeiras: 31.7% – 59.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Palmeiras (votes: 2 - 40%). Porto (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 6 - 85.7%).
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 4 - 100%).
    • BTS - yes (votes: 8 - 100%).
    • O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
    • DC - Porto (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Recent performances by Palmeiras have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Porto is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Porto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Palmeiras: Bruno Rodrigues (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Porto: Grujic M. (Heel Injury)
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Palmeiras
    01.06.2025 Cruzeiro - Palmeiras 2:1 ✺
    28.05.2025 Palmeiras - Sporting Cristal 6:0 ✺
    25.05.2025 Palmeiras - Flamengo 0:2 ✺
    22.05.2025 Palmeiras - Ceará 3:0 ✺
    18.05.2025 Red Bull Bragantino - Palmeiras 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Porto
    08.06.2025 Porto - Riga 0:2 ✺
    31.05.2025 Wydad Casablanca - Porto 0:1 ✺
    17.05.2025 Porto - Nacional 3:0 ✺
    11.05.2025 Boavista - Porto 1:2 ✺
    02.05.2025 Porto - Moreirense 3:1 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Inter (E1)Fluminense (F2)0 : 2
    2Manchester City (G1)Al Hilal (H2)3 : 4
    3Palmeiras (A1)Botafogo RJ (B2)1 : 0
    4Benfica (C1)Chelsea (D2)1 : 4
    5PSG (B1)Inter Miami (A2)4 : 0
    6Flamengo RJ (D1)Bayern Munich (C2)2 : 4
    7Real Madrid (H1)Juventus (G2)1 : 0
    8Dortmund (F1)Monterrey (E2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Fluminense (F2)Al Hilal (H2)2 : 1
    2Palmeiras (A1)Chelsea (D2)1 : 2
    3PSG (B1)Bayern Munich (C2)2 : 0
    4Real Madrid (H1)Dortmund (F1)3 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Fluminense (F2)Chelsea (D2)0 : 2
    2PSG (B1)Real Madrid (H1)4 : 0

    Final
    1Chelsea (D2)PSG (B1)3 : 0
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