Result
24/01/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Palmeiras
50.5% | Draw
29.1% | São Paulo
20.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Palmeiras - São Paulo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.82 ↑
(1.81) |
3.15 ↓
(3.2) |
4.5 ↓
(4.57) |
8.9%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 4.
- Palmeiras is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, São Paulo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- São Paulo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Palmeiras is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:15. (average 1.3:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Palmeiras won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:6. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against São Paulo?
Palmeiras has won 6 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Palmeiras?
São Paulo has won 3 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Palmeiras - São Paulo were as follows:
05.10.2025
São Paulo
-
Palmeiras
2:3
11.05.2025
Palmeiras
-
São Paulo
1:0
10.03.2025
Palmeiras
-
São Paulo
1:0
16.02.2025
Palmeiras
-
São Paulo
0:0
18.08.2024
Palmeiras
-
São Paulo
2:1
Latest results of Palmeiras
Latest results of São Paulo
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bragantino | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:0 | 9 | 9 |
| 2 | Novorizontino | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 9 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 9 |
| 4 | Capivariano | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 6 |
| 5 | Sao Bernardo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Primavera | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Corinthians | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Santos | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Velo Clube | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 4 |
| 11 | Mirassol | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Portuguesa | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Noroeste | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 14 | Guarani | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
| 15 | Botafogo SP | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:6 | -5 | 2 |
| 16 | Ponte Preta | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:6 | -6 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Paulista (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation ~ Paulista A2
