Result
05/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
São Paulo
27.6% | Draw
31.2% | Palmeiras
41.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for São Paulo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
São Paulo - Palmeiras Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.43 ↑
(2.93) |
3.03 ↓
(3.14) |
2.31 ↓
(2.53) |
5.4%
(5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 0.
- São Paulo is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Palmeiras is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Palmeiras may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:23. (average 0.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, São Paulo won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 0.9:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Palmeiras?
São Paulo has won 3 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against São Paulo?
Palmeiras has won 5 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between São Paulo - Palmeiras were as follows:
11.05.2025
Palmeiras
-
São Paulo
1:0
10.03.2025
Palmeiras
-
São Paulo
1:0
16.02.2025
Palmeiras
-
São Paulo
0:0
18.08.2024
Palmeiras
-
São Paulo
2:1
29.04.2024
São Paulo
-
Palmeiras
0:0
Latest results of São Paulo
Latest results of Palmeiras
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 50:12 | 38 | 55 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 39:19 | 20 | 52 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 39:19 | 20 | 51 |
| 4 | Botafogo RJ | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 37:21 | 16 | 43 |
| 5 | Mirassol | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 42:25 | 17 | 43 |
| 6 | Bahia | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 33:30 | 3 | 40 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 29:25 | 4 | 38 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 30:31 | -1 | 35 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 32:38 | -6 | 33 |
| 10 | Gremio | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 28:32 | -4 | 33 |
| 11 | Ceara | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 23:24 | -1 | 31 |
| 12 | Vasco | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 38:38 | 0 | 30 |
| 13 | Corinthians | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 30 |
| 14 | Atletico-MG | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 22:26 | -4 | 29 |
| 15 | Internacional | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 30:38 | -8 | 29 |
| 16 | Santos | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 25:35 | -10 | 28 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 21:38 | -17 | 25 |
| 18 | Juventude | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 20:46 | -26 | 23 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 24:40 | -16 | 21 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 24 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 18:37 | -19 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
