Panathinaikos vs Sturm Graz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League
Result
2:1
27/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Europa League - League phase - Round 5
  • Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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franceFranceCanal+ Live 10
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mexicoMexicoDisney+
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russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
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sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 3
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 8
swedenSwedenDisney+
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.700.25
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
87
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
84% (417/496)83% (356/430)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
0.700.25
xG on target (xGOT)
1.630.37
Total shots
87
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
31
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
53
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
2216
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
219
Passes
84% (417/496)83% (356/430)
Long passes
71% (34/48)28% (8/29)
Passes in final third
68% (88/129)56% (44/79)
Crosses
29% (6/21)9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.670.43
Throw-ins
2917
Fouls
921
Tackles
44% (7/16)64% (14/22)
Duels won
5945
Clearances
1633
Interceptions
1112
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.371.63
Goals prevented
-0.63-0.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 8', Ingason S. I. 🟨,
  • 18', 1 - 0, Swiderski K. ⚽, Zaroury A. (A),
  • 25', Gorenc Stankovic J. 🟨,
  • 34', 1 - 1, Kiteishvili O. ⚽, Gorenc Stankovic J. (A),
  • 36', Mitchell J. 🟨,
  • 40', Swiderski K. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Bakasetas A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Mitchell J. ↓, Malic A. ↑,
  • 61', Malone M. ↓, Kayombo A. ↑,
  • 61', Rozga F. ↓, Horvat T. ↑,
  • 65', Tete ↓, Chirivella P. ↑,
  • 65', Swiderski K. ↓, Pantovic M. ↑,
  • 73', Kiteishvili O. ↓, Hodl J. ↑,
  • 74', 2 - 1, Calabria D. ⚽, Bakasetas A. (A),
  • 78', Jatta S. ↓, Grgic L. ↑,
  • 80', Calabria D. ↓, Kotsiras G. ↑,
  • 84', Chukwuani T. 🟨,
  • 85', Bakasetas A. ↓, Mladenovic F. ↑,

Chances of winning


Panathinaikos
56.5%		Draw
24.4%		Sturm Graz
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.2% 25.8% 17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9% 25% 17.4%

Panathinaikos - Sturm Graz Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.7 ↑
(1.68)		 3.93 ↑
(3.66)		 5.01 ↓
(5.27)		 4.1%
(5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Panathinaikos - Sturm Graz?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Users Predictions: Panathinaikos will win (47 of 53 users predict this - 88.68%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 80.15% – 97.21%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Panathinaikos will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Panathinaikos is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Sturm has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Panathinaikos has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Panathinaikos is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Panathinaikos: Calabria D. (Muscle Injury) Jedvaj T. (Inactive) Jeremejeff A. (Illness) Kotsiras G. (Muscle Injury) Kyriakopoulos G. (Injury) Kyriopoulos G. (Knee Injury) Mancini D. (Inactive) Max P. (Inactive) Miguel Tavares (Inactive) Nikas G. (Inactive) Pellistri F. (Knock) Sanches R. (Injury) Sgouros I. (Inactive) Siopis M. (Yellow Cards) Vilhena T. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Sturm: Beganovic B. (Inactive) Borkovic A. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Panathinaikos: Chirivella P. (Injury) Dessers C. (Injury) Lafont A. (Injury)
    • We predict that Panathinaikos will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
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    UEFA Europa League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Midtjylland650113:5815
    2Betis642011:4714
    3Ferencvaros642011:6514
    4Braga641110:5513
    5Lyon540111:2912
    6Stuttgart640212:5712
    7Aston Villa54018:3512
    8Nottingham632111:6511
    9Freiburg53208:3511
    10FC Porto53117:4310
    11Genk63127:6110
    12Crvena zvezda63125:5010
    13Celta Vigo530211:749
    14Plzen52306:249
    15Lille630310:739
    16Panathinaikos53029:729
    17AS Roma53027:529
    18Young Boys63038:12-49
    19PAOK522110:738
    20Bologna52217:438
    21Brann52216:338
    22Fenerbahce52215:508
    23Celtic52127:8-17
    24Din. Zagreb62138:13-57
    25Basel52037:706
    26Ludogorets52038:11-36
    27G.A. Eagles52034:9-56
    28Sturm Graz61144:8-44
    29Salzburg51045:10-53
    30Feyenoord51044:9-53
    31FCSB51043:8-53
    32Utrecht60153:9-61
    33Rangers60153:11-81
    34Malmo FF50142:10-81
    35Maccabi Tel Aviv60152:18-161
    36Nice60064:13-90

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