Panathinaikos vs Sturm Graz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League
Result
2:1
27/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Europa League - League phase - Round 5
  • Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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mexicoMexicoDisney+
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russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
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sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 3
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 8
swedenSwedenDisney+
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.700.25
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
87
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
84% (417/496)83% (356/430)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
0.700.25
xG on target (xGOT)
1.630.37
Total shots
87
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
31
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
53
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
2216
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
219
Passes
84% (417/496)83% (356/430)
Long passes
71% (34/48)28% (8/29)
Passes in final third
68% (88/129)56% (44/79)
Crosses
29% (6/21)9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.670.43
Throw-ins
2917
Fouls
921
Tackles
44% (7/16)64% (14/22)
Duels won
5945
Clearances
1633
Interceptions
1112
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.371.63
Goals prevented
-0.63-0.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 8', Ingason S. I. 🟨,
  • 18', 1 - 0, Swiderski K. ⚽, Zaroury A. (A),
  • 25', Gorenc Stankovic J. 🟨,
  • 34', 1 - 1, Kiteishvili O. ⚽, Gorenc Stankovic J. (A),
  • 36', Mitchell J. 🟨,
  • 40', Swiderski K. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Bakasetas A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Mitchell J. ↓, Malic A. ↑,
  • 61', Malone M. ↓, Kayombo A. ↑,
  • 61', Rozga F. ↓, Horvat T. ↑,
  • 65', Tete ↓, Chirivella P. ↑,
  • 65', Swiderski K. ↓, Pantovic M. ↑,
  • 73', Kiteishvili O. ↓, Hodl J. ↑,
  • 74', 2 - 1, Calabria D. ⚽, Bakasetas A. (A),
  • 78', Jatta S. ↓, Grgic L. ↑,
  • 80', Calabria D. ↓, Kotsiras G. ↑,
  • 84', Chukwuani T. 🟨,
  • 85', Bakasetas A. ↓, Mladenovic F. ↑,

Chances of winning


Panathinaikos
56.5%		Draw
24.4%		Sturm Graz
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.2% 25.8% 17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9% 25% 17.4%

Panathinaikos - Sturm Graz Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.7 ↑
(1.68)		 3.93 ↑
(3.66)		 5.01 ↓
(5.27)		 4.1%
(5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Panathinaikos - Sturm Graz?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Panathinaikos will win (47 of 53 users predict this - 88.68%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 80.15% – 97.21%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Panathinaikos will win (23 of 24 users predict this - 95.83%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Panathinaikos is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Sturm has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Panathinaikos has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Panathinaikos is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Panathinaikos: Calabria D. (Muscle Injury) Jedvaj T. (Inactive) Jeremejeff A. (Illness) Kotsiras G. (Muscle Injury) Kyriakopoulos G. (Injury) Kyriopoulos G. (Knee Injury) Mancini D. (Inactive) Max P. (Inactive) Miguel Tavares (Inactive) Nikas G. (Inactive) Pellistri F. (Knock) Sanches R. (Injury) Sgouros I. (Inactive) Siopis M. (Yellow Cards) Vilhena T. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Sturm: Beganovic B. (Inactive) Borkovic A. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Panathinaikos: Chirivella P. (Injury) Dessers C. (Injury) Lafont A. (Injury)
    • We predict that Panathinaikos will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
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    Latest results of Sturm Graz
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    UEFA Europa League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lyon870118:51321
    2Aston Villa870114:6821
    3Midtjylland861118:81019
    4Betis852113:7617
    5FC Porto852113:7617
    6Braga852111:5617
    7Freiburg852110:4617
    8AS Roma851213:6716
    9Genk851211:7416
    10Bologna843114:7715
    11Stuttgart850315:9615
    12Ferencvaros843112:11115
    13Nottingham842215:7814
    14Plzen83508:3514
    15Crvena zvezda84227:6114
    16Celta Vigo841315:11413
    17PAOK833217:14312
    18Lille840412:9312
    19Fenerbahce833210:7312
    20Panathinaikos833211:9212
    21Celtic832313:15-211
    22Ludogorets831412:15-310
    23Din. Zagreb831412:16-410
    24Brann82339:11-29
    25Young Boys830510:16-69
    26Sturm Graz82155:11-67
    27FCSB82159:16-77
    28G.A. Eagles82156:14-87
    29Feyenoord820611:15-46
    30Basel82069:13-46
    31Salzburg820610:15-56
    32Rangers81165:14-94
    33Nice81077:15-83
    34Utrecht80175:15-101
    35Malmo FF80174:15-111
    36Maccabi Tel Aviv80172:22-201

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