Result
2:1
27/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Europa League - League phase - Round 5
- Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Canal+ |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5 |
 Denmark | Disney+ |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Canal+ Live 10 |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Germany | RTL+ |
 Greece | ANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 4 |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Poland | Polsat Sport Extra 1 |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 3 |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 8 |
 Sweden | Disney+ |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 19, Blue Sport 19 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Turkey | Tabii |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.25 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (417/496) | 83% (356/430) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 0.37 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (417/496) | 83% (356/430) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 71% (34/48) | 28% (8/29) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (88/129) | 56% (44/79) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (6/21) | 9% (1/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.43 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (7/16) | 64% (14/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.37 | 1.63 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.63 | -0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', Ingason S. I. 🟨,
- 18', 1 - 0, Swiderski K. ⚽, Zaroury A. (A),
- 25', Gorenc Stankovic J. 🟨,
- 34', 1 - 1, Kiteishvili O. ⚽, Gorenc Stankovic J. (A),
- 36', Mitchell J. 🟨,
- 40', Swiderski K. 🟨,
- 45+1', Bakasetas A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Mitchell J. ↓, Malic A. ↑,
- 61', Malone M. ↓, Kayombo A. ↑,
- 61', Rozga F. ↓, Horvat T. ↑,
- 65', Tete ↓, Chirivella P. ↑,
- 65', Swiderski K. ↓, Pantovic M. ↑,
- 73', Kiteishvili O. ↓, Hodl J. ↑,
- 74', 2 - 1, Calabria D. ⚽, Bakasetas A. (A),
- 78', Jatta S. ↓, Grgic L. ↑,
- 80', Calabria D. ↓, Kotsiras G. ↑,
- 84', Chukwuani T. 🟨,
- 85', Bakasetas A. ↓, Mladenovic F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Panathinaikos
56.5% | Draw
24.4% | Sturm Graz
19.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Panathinaikos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Sturm Graz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Panathinaikos - Sturm Graz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↑
(1.68) |
3.93 ↑
(3.66) |
5.01 ↓
(5.27) |
4.1%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Panathinaikos - Sturm Graz?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Panathinaikos will win
(47 of 53 users predict this - 88.68%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.15% – 97.21%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Panathinaikos will win (23 of 24 users predict this - 95.83%) 🥇 Gold Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Panathinaikos is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Sturm has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Panathinaikos has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Panathinaikos is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Panathinaikos: Calabria D.
(Muscle Injury)
Jedvaj T.
(Inactive)
Jeremejeff A.
(Illness)
Kotsiras G.
(Muscle Injury)
Kyriakopoulos G.
(Injury)
Kyriopoulos G.
(Knee Injury)
Mancini D.
(Inactive)
Max P.
(Inactive)
Miguel Tavares
(Inactive)
Nikas G.
(Inactive)
Pellistri F.
(Knock)
Sanches R.
(Injury)
Sgouros I.
(Inactive)
Siopis M.
(Yellow Cards)
Vilhena T.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Sturm: Beganovic B.
(Inactive)
Borkovic A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Panathinaikos: Chirivella P.
(Injury)
Dessers C.
(Injury)
Lafont A.
(Injury)
- We predict that Panathinaikos will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Panathinaikos won against Sturm Graz?
Panathinaikos has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sturm Graz won against Panathinaikos?
Sturm Graz has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Panathinaikos - Sturm Graz were as follows:
Latest results of Panathinaikos
Latest results of Sturm Graz
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Ludogorets (22) | Ferencvaros (12) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Panathinaikos (20) | Plzen (14) | 2 : 2 |
| 3 | Din. Zagreb (23) | Genk (9) | 1 : 3 |
| 4 | PAOK (17) | Celta Vigo (16) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Celtic (21) | Stuttgart (11) | 1 : 0, 1 : 4 |
| 6 | Fenerbahce (19) | Nottingham (13) | 0 : 3 |
| 7 | Brann (24) | Bologna (10) | 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Lille (18) | Crvena zvezda (15) | 0 : 1 |
| 9 | FC Porto (5) | Bye | |
| 10 | Braga (6) | Bye | |
| 11 | Midtjylland (3) | Bye | |
| 12 | Betis (4) | Bye | |
| 13 | Freiburg (7) | Bye | |
| 14 | AS Roma (8) | Bye | |
| 15 | Lyon (1) | Bye | |
| 16 | Aston Villa (2) | Bye | |
