Result
1:2
28/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 5
- Referee: Tsakalidis A. (Gre)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Croatia | SportKlub |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6 |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 1 |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
Serbia | Arena Sport 5 |
Slovenia | Sportklub |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.03 | 2.43 |
Ball Possession |
---|
34% | 66% |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 5 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
83% (265/320) | 89% (541/611) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.03 | 2.43 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.98 | 2.34 |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 5 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
10 | 28 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
16 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
83% (265/320) | 89% (541/611) |
Long passes |
---|
41% (18/44) | 61% (19/31) |
Passes in final third |
---|
69% (51/74) | 79% (168/214) |
Crosses |
---|
33% (3/9) | 31% (8/26) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.28 | 2.06 |
Throw-ins |
---|
16 | 23 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 16 |
Tackles |
---|
33% (3/9) | 67% (14/21) |
Duels won |
---|
34 | 53 |
Clearances |
---|
34 | 6 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 0 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.34 | 0.98 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.34 | -0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', 1 - 0, Aguirre J. (Pen),
- 44', Bouchalakis A. ↓, Kontouris S. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 48', Nkololo B. 🟨,
- 55', Gnezda Cerin A. ↓, Sanches R. ↑,
- 56', Djuricic F. ↓, Zaroury A. ↑,
- 57', 1 - 1, Tete ⚽,
- 70', Michalak K. ↓, Smyrlis L. ↑,
- 70', Aguirre J. ↓, Aleksic K. ↑,
- 75', Swiderski K. ↓, Jeremejeff A. ↑,
- 76', Jeremejeff A. 🟨,
- 78', Nikolaou E. ↓, Manrique C. ↑,
- 78', Zaroury A. 🟨,
- 83', Calabria D. 🟨,
- 83', Chirivella P. ↓, Siopis M. ↑,
- 83', Bakasetas A. ↓, Pantovic M. ↑,
- 90+1', Kontouris S. 🟨,
- 90+5', 1 - 2, Jeremejeff A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Panetolikos 14.8% | Draw 29% | Panathinaikos 56.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Panetolikos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Panathinaikos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panetolikos than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Panathinaikos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Panetolikos - Panathinaikos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
7.25 ↑ (5.98) |
3.42 ↓ (3.98) |
1.9 ↑ (1.55) |
-4.2% (6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Panetolikos - Panathinaikos?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Panetolikos will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Panathinaikos will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Panathinaikos: 38.6% – 83.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Panetolikos (votes: 2 - 40%). Panathinaikos (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Panetolikos won 0.
- Panetolikos has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Panathinaikos has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Panetolikos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Panathinaikos is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Panetolikos: Apostolopoulos A.
(Injury)
Garcia U.
(Red Card)
Mavrias Ch.
(Muscle Injury)
Mladen S.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Panathinaikos: Kyriopoulos G.
(Knee Injury)
Pellistri F.
(Knock)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Panetolikos won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 10:35. (average 0.5:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Panetolikos won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Panetolikos won against Panathinaikos?
Panetolikos has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Panathinaikos won against Panetolikos?
Panathinaikos has won 6 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Panetolikos - Panathinaikos were as follows:
01.03.2025
Panathinaikos
-
Panetolikos
2:0
24.11.2024
Panetolikos
-
Panathinaikos
1:2
07.01.2024
Panathinaikos
-
Panetolikos
2:1
16.09.2023
Panetolikos
-
Panathinaikos
0:5
06.03.2023
Panathinaikos
-
Panetolikos
2:0
Latest results of Panetolikos
Latest results of Panathinaikos
Greek Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13:3 | 10 | 13 |
2 | AEK Athens FC | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 13 |
3 | PAOK | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 11 |
4 | Aris | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 10 |
5 | Levadiakos | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 7 |
6 | Kifisia | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 7 |
7 | Volos | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 6 |
8 | Panathinaikos | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
9 | Atromitos | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 5 |
10 | AEL Larissa | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
11 | Panetolikos | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
12 | OFI Crete | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:9 | -6 | 3 |
13 | Asteras Tripolis | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 2 |
14 | Panserraikos | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:10 | -8 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )