Result
1:2
28/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 5
- Referee: Tsakalidis A. (Gre)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | SportKlub |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 1 |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 5 |
 Slovenia | Sportklub |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 2.43 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (265/320) | 89% (541/611) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 2.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 2.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (265/320) | 89% (541/611) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (18/44) | 61% (19/31) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (51/74) | 79% (168/214) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 31% (8/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 2.06 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 67% (14/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 6 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.34 | 0.98 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.34 | -0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', 1 - 0, Aguirre J. (Pen),
- 44', Bouchalakis A. ↓, Kontouris S. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 48', Nkololo B. 🟨,
- 55', Gnezda Cerin A. ↓, Sanches R. ↑,
- 56', Djuricic F. ↓, Zaroury A. ↑,
- 57', 1 - 1, Tete ⚽,
- 70', Michalak K. ↓, Smyrlis L. ↑,
- 70', Aguirre J. ↓, Aleksic K. ↑,
- 75', Swiderski K. ↓, Jeremejeff A. ↑,
- 76', Jeremejeff A. 🟨,
- 78', Nikolaou E. ↓, Manrique C. ↑,
- 78', Zaroury A. 🟨,
- 83', Calabria D. 🟨,
- 83', Chirivella P. ↓, Siopis M. ↑,
- 83', Bakasetas A. ↓, Pantovic M. ↑,
- 90+1', Kontouris S. 🟨,
- 90+5', 1 - 2, Jeremejeff A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Panetolikos
14.8% | Draw
29% | Panathinaikos
56.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Panetolikos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Panathinaikos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panetolikos than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Panathinaikos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Panetolikos - Panathinaikos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.25 ↑
(5.98) |
3.42 ↓
(3.98) |
1.9 ↑
(1.55) |
-4.2%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Panetolikos - Panathinaikos?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Panetolikos will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Panathinaikos will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Panathinaikos: 38.6% – 83.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Panetolikos (votes: 3 - 30%). Panathinaikos (votes: 7 - 70%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Panetolikos won 0.
- Panetolikos has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Panathinaikos has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Panetolikos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Panathinaikos is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Panetolikos: Apostolopoulos A.
(Injury)
Garcia U.
(Red Card)
Mavrias Ch.
(Muscle Injury)
Mladen S.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Panathinaikos: Kyriopoulos G.
(Knee Injury)
Pellistri F.
(Knock)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Panetolikos won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 10:35. (average 0.5:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Panetolikos won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Panetolikos won against Panathinaikos?
Panetolikos has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Panathinaikos won against Panetolikos?
Panathinaikos has won 6 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Panetolikos - Panathinaikos were as follows:
01.03.2025
Panathinaikos
-
Panetolikos
2:0
24.11.2024
Panetolikos
-
Panathinaikos
1:2
07.01.2024
Panathinaikos
-
Panetolikos
2:1
16.09.2023
Panetolikos
-
Panathinaikos
0:5
06.03.2023
Panathinaikos
-
Panetolikos
2:0
Latest results of Panetolikos
Latest results of Panathinaikos
Greek Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olympiacos Piraeus ✔ | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 42:11 | 31 | 53 |
| 2 | AEK Athens ✔ | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 43:15 | 28 | 53 |
| 3 | PAOK ✔ | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 44:14 | 30 | 50 |
| 4 | Levadiakos | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 49:30 | 19 | 39 |
| 5 | Panathinaikos | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 34:23 | 11 | 39 |
| 6 | OFI Crete | 22 | 9 | 1 | 12 | 30:37 | -7 | 28 |
| 7 | Aris | 23 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 28 |
| 8 | Atromitos | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 24:27 | -3 | 27 |
| 9 | Volos | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 23:34 | -11 | 27 |
| 10 | Kifisia | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 28:33 | -5 | 24 |
| 11 | Panetolikos | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 22:37 | -15 | 21 |
| 12 | AEL Larissa | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 21:37 | -16 | 21 |
| 13 | Asteras Tripolis ✔ | 23 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 20:37 | -17 | 16 |
| 14 | Panserraikos ✔ | 23 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15:55 | -40 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Olympiacos Piraeus is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
AEK Athens is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
PAOK is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Asteras Tripolis is Super League (Relegation Group )
Panserraikos is Super League (Relegation Group )
