Panetolikos vs Panathinaikos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Greek Super League Panetolikos - Panathinaikos
Result
1:2
28/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 5
  • Referee: Tsakalidis A. (Gre)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 1
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
russiaRussiaTelekanal Futbol
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 5
sloveniaSloveniaSportklub

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.032.43
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
812
Shots on target
15
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
83% (265/320)89% (541/611)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.032.43
xG on target (xGOT)
0.982.34
Total shots
812
Shots on target
15
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
58
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
1028
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1612
Passes
83% (265/320)89% (541/611)
Long passes
41% (18/44)61% (19/31)
Passes in final third
69% (51/74)79% (168/214)
Crosses
33% (3/9)31% (8/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.282.06
Throw-ins
1623
Fouls
1216
Tackles
33% (3/9)67% (14/21)
Duels won
3453
Clearances
346
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
30
xGOT faced
2.340.98
Goals prevented
0.34-0.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Aguirre J. (Pen),
  • 44', Bouchalakis A. , Kontouris S. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 48', Nkololo B. 🟨,
  • 55', Gnezda Cerin A. , Sanches R. ,
  • 56', Djuricic F. , Zaroury A. ,
  • 57', 1 - 1, Tete ,
  • 70', Michalak K. , Smyrlis L. ,
  • 70', Aguirre J. , Aleksic K. ,
  • 75', Swiderski K. , Jeremejeff A. ,
  • 76', Jeremejeff A. 🟨,
  • 78', Nikolaou E. , Manrique C. ,
  • 78', Zaroury A. 🟨,
  • 83', Calabria D. 🟨,
  • 83', Chirivella P. , Siopis M. ,
  • 83', Bakasetas A. , Pantovic M. ,
  • 90+1', Kontouris S. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 1 - 2, Jeremejeff A. ,

Chances of winning


Panetolikos
14.8%
Draw
29%
Panathinaikos
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
15.7% 23.6% 60.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.2% 22.8% 62.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Panetolikos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Panathinaikos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panetolikos than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Panathinaikos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Panetolikos - Panathinaikos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.25
    (5.98)
    3.42
    (3.98)
    1.9
    (1.55)
    -4.2%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Panetolikos - Panathinaikos?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Panetolikos will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Panathinaikos will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Panathinaikos: 38.6%83.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Panetolikos (votes: 2 - 40%). Panathinaikos (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Panetolikos won 0.
    • Panetolikos has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Panathinaikos has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Panetolikos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Panathinaikos is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Panetolikos: Apostolopoulos A. (Injury) Garcia U. (Red Card) Mavrias Ch. (Muscle Injury) Mladen S. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Panathinaikos: Kyriopoulos G. (Knee Injury) Pellistri F. (Knock)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Panetolikos won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 10:35. (average 0.5:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Panetolikos won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Panetolikos - Panathinaikos were as follows:
    01.03.2025 Panathinaikos - Panetolikos 2:0
    24.11.2024 Panetolikos - Panathinaikos 1:2
    07.01.2024 Panathinaikos - Panetolikos 2:1
    16.09.2023 Panetolikos - Panathinaikos 0:5
    06.03.2023 Panathinaikos - Panetolikos 2:0
    Latest results of Panetolikos
    24.09.2025 AEK Athens - Panetolikos 2:1
    20.09.2025 PAOK - Panetolikos 0:0
    17.09.2025 Panetolikos - Aris 0:1
    13.09.2025 Panetolikos - Volos 1:2
    30.08.2025 Aris - Panetolikos 0:2
    Latest results of Panathinaikos
    Greek Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olympiacos Piraeus541013:31013
    2AEK Athens FC54106:1513
    3PAOK53207:4311
    4Aris53116:4210
    5Levadiakos521210:737
    6Kifisia52129:817
    7Volos52034:7-36
    8Panathinaikos41216:605
    9Atromitos51225:505
    10AEL Larissa50415:6-14
    11Panetolikos51134:6-24
    12OFI Crete41033:9-63
    13Asteras Tripolis50236:10-42
    14Panserraikos50232:10-82

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