Result
2:4
29/06/2025 at 11:25 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A Lyga - Round 18
- Referee: Svegzda D. (Ltu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Lithuania | LRT Plius, LRT TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 16', 0 - 1, Lukasevic K. ⚽, Antal L. (A),
- 18', Dante A. 🟨,
- 22', Rasimavicius R. ↓, Kerkez S. ↑,
- 23', 0 - 2, Antal L. ⚽, Lukasevic K. (A),
- 28', Basila T. 🟨,
- 29', 1 - 2, Veliulis E. (Pen),
- 32', Ofori E. 🟨,
- 37', 2 - 2, Dante A. ⚽, Steponavicius F. (A),
- 45', Vaicekauskas D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Dumancic L. ↓, Radenovic V. ↑,
- 55', Matulevicius G. 🟨,
- 56', Janusevskis J. 🟨,
- 64', 2 - 3, Antal L. ⚽, Moutachy J. (A),
- 67', Radunovic P. 🟨,
- 73', Vaicekauskas D. ↓, Asante I. ↑,
- 73', Steponavicius F. ↓, Smith A. ↑,
- 82', Antal L. ↓, Henrique ↑,
- 82', Lukasevic K. ↓, Matyzonok P. ↑,
- 85', 2 - 4, Henrique ⚽, Salcinovic D. (A),
- 86', Krasniqi L. ↓, Elivelton ↑,
Chances of winning
Panevėžys
29.2% | Draw
26.8% | Žalgiris
44% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Panevėžys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Panevėžys's form might have worsened.Žalgiris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Žalgiris's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panevėžys than the current prediction. (+9.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Panevėžys, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Žalgiris than the current prediction. (-9.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Žalgiris, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Panevėžys - Žalgiris Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.1 ↑
(2.38) |
3.38
(3.38) |
2.06 ↓
(2.54) |
10.4%
(11%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Panevėžys - Žalgiris?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Panevėžys will win (votes: 5 - 21.7%). Žalgiris will win (votes: 17 - 73.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Žalgiris: 56% – 91.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Žalgiris will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 and 8)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Panevėžys won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Recently, Panevėžys has had a series of away games.
- Žalgiris could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Panevėžys won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:29. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Panevėžys won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Panevėžys won against Žalgiris?
Panevėžys has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Žalgiris won against Panevėžys?
Žalgiris has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Panevėžys - Žalgiris were as follows:
25.04.2025
Žalgiris
-
Panevėžys
2:3
03.11.2024
Žalgiris
-
Panevėžys
2:4
11.08.2024
Panevėžys
-
Žalgiris
0:0
16.06.2024
Žalgiris
-
Panevėžys
2:1
06.05.2024
Žalgiris
-
Panevėžys
2:1
Latest results of Panevėžys
Latest results of Žalgiris
Lithuanian A Lyga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kauno Zalgiris | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 41:10 | 31 | 46 |
| 2 | Suduva | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 29:16 | 13 | 38 |
| 3 | Hegelmann | 19 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 32:27 | 5 | 37 |
| 4 | Siauliai FA | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 33:29 | 4 | 32 |
| 5 | Zalgiris | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 26:24 | 2 | 28 |
| 6 | Dziugas Telsiai | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 17:21 | -4 | 28 |
| 7 | FK Panevezys | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 31:28 | 3 | 28 |
| 8 | Banga | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 16:23 | -7 | 22 |
| 9 | Riteriai | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 24:44 | -20 | 14 |
| 10 | Dainava Alytus | 21 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 16:43 | -27 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
A Lyga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ I Lyga
