Žalgiris vs Panevėžys – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
27/02/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • TOPLYGA - Round 2
  • Referee: Bartuskevicius K. (Ltu)

Match Stats

Ball possession
53%47%
Total shots
157
Shots on target
103
Corner kicks
13
Yellow cards
41
Total shots
157
Shots on target
103
Shots off target
54
Corner kicks
13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 16', 0 - 1, Rasimavicius R. ,
  • 33', Golubickas P. 🟨,
  • 38', 1 - 1, Sesplaukis D. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 48', 2 - 1, Sesplaukis D. , Matulevicius G. (A),
  • 51', 3 - 1, Janusevskis J. (Own goal),
  • 53', Capan M. 🟨,
  • 59', Turda G. 🟨,
  • 63', 🟨,
  • 64', Antal L. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 64', 4 - 1, Kendysh Y. ,
  • 64', Kouadio S. , Adah J. ,
  • 64', Kurtsev O. , Burdzilauskas E. ,
  • 68', Capan M. , Verbickas O. ,
  • 68', Antal L. , Teixeira B. ,
  • 72', Rasimavicius R. , van den Bos M. ,
  • 72', Muratovic E. , Bacanin M. ,
  • 76', Upstas K. , Setkus M. ,
  • 76', Golubickas P. , Jarusevicius G. ,
  • 90+3', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Žalgiris
52.9%
Draw
25.2%
Panevėžys
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.6% 24.7% 23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7% 25.2% 23.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Žalgiris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Panevėžys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Žalgiris than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panevėžys than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • Žalgiris - Panevėžys Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (1.8)
    3.64
    (3.77)
    4.2
    (3.92)
    8.8%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Žalgiris - Panevėžys?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Žalgiris (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Žalgiris will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Žalgiris won 2.
    • Recent performances by Žalgiris have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Panevėžys is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Žalgiris is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Žalgiris won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:24. (average 1.6:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Žalgiris won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:15. (average 1.8:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Žalgiris - Panevėžys were as follows:
    08.11.2025 Panevėžys - Žalgiris 3:1
    31.08.2025 Žalgiris - Panevėžys 2:1
    29.06.2025 Panevėžys - Žalgiris 2:4
    25.04.2025 Žalgiris - Panevėžys 2:3
    03.11.2024 Žalgiris - Panevėžys 2:4
    Latest results of Žalgiris
    14.02.2026 Žalgiris - Ogre United 2:1
    04.02.2026 RFS - Žalgiris 4:2
    31.01.2026 Žalgiris - FA Šiauliai 4:2
    Latest results of Panevėžys