Birkirkara vs Paola Hibernians – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
18/01/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Second stage - Main - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
maltaMaltaTVM Sport+

Match Stats

Ball possession
42%58%
Total shots
712
Shots on target
43
Corner kicks
18
Yellow cards
62
Total shots
712
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
39
Corner kicks
18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 9', Diakite 🟨,
  • 26', Roni Santos 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Acheampong G. , Garzia A. ,
  • 46', Cross N. , Dimech S. ,
  • 48', 1 - 0, Makoma D. ,
  • 58', 2 - 0, Reid K. ,
  • 60', Reid K. 🟨,
  • 61', 3 - 0, Makoma D. ,
  • 67', 🟨,
  • 69', Reid K. , Vrcic J. ,
  • 70', Bonnici D. , Norenkov D. ,
  • 70', Diakite , Attard C. ,
  • 76', Bayo J. , Fenech K. ,
  • 81', Viveros S. 🟨,
  • 84', Lima M. , Alfred S. ,
  • 86', Viveros S. , Busuttil J. ,
  • 89', Coppola A. 🟨,
  • 89', Cleiton 🟨,
  • 90+2', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Birkirkara
38.3%
Draw
28.6%
Paola Hibernians
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.5% 28.4% 30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8% 30% 28.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Birkirkara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Paola Hibernians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birkirkara than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Birkirkara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paola Hibernians than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • Birkirkara - Paola Hibernians Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.37
    (2.19)
    3.18
    (3.2)
    2.73
    (3.01)
    10.3%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Birkirkara - Paola Hibernians?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Hibernians (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Hibernians (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birkirkara won 2.
    • Birkirkara has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Hibernians is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Birkirkara has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Hibernians has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Birkirkara won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 30:25. (average 1.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Birkirkara won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.8:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Birkirkara - Paola Hibernians were as follows:
    13.09.2025 Paola Hibernians - Birkirkara 2:1
    18.05.2025 Birkirkara - Paola Hibernians 1:2
    01.03.2025 Birkirkara - Paola Hibernians 2:0
    14.12.2024 Birkirkara - Paola Hibernians 0:2
    14.09.2024 Paola Hibernians - Birkirkara 0:2
    Latest results of Birkirkara
    11.01.2026 Marsaxlokk - Birkirkara 2:1
    07.01.2026 Valletta - Birkirkara 2:0
    13.12.2025 Floriana - Birkirkara 2:0
    Latest results of Paola Hibernians
    Maltese Premier League Table
    Second stage - Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Floriana1174020:71325
    2Hamrun1164116:41222
    3Marsaxlokk1154212:12019
    4Naxxar1153320:18218
    5Valletta1145216:7917
    6Gzira1152414:12217
    7Sliema1144310:11-116
    8Birkirkara1134412:12013
    9Hibernians1132611:17-611
    10Zabbar1124513:15-210
    11Tarxien111379:21-126
    12Mosta111197:24-174

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