Birkirkara vs Paola Hibernians – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Maltese FA Trophy Birkirkara - Paola Hibernians
Result
1:2
18/05/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FA Trophy - Final

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
66
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
35
Yellow Cards
15
Red Cards
10
Total shots
66
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
23
Corner Kicks
35
Goalkeeper Saves
13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 13', Coppola A. 🟥,
  • 16', 0 - 1, Martinis A. ,
  • 17', Lacunza L. 🟨,
  • 37', Alfred S. 🟨,
  • 40', Pedrao 🟨,
  • 44', Kristensen B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 62', Agius N. J. , Reid K. ,
  • 65', Miullen , Alex Bruno ,
  • 65', Degabriele J. , Ellul M. ,
  • 71', Khevin Fraga 🟨,
  • 72', 1 - 1, Maxuell Samurai ,
  • 78', Alfred S. , Xuereb D. ,
  • 80', 1 - 2, Shaw K. ,
  • 81', Gaitan P. , Yikpe G. G. ,
  • 90+7', Villela L. , Falcone F. ,
  • 90+9', Sanchez P. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Birkirkara
39.6%
Draw
28.6%
Paola Hibernians
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.2% 28.9% 30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4% 28.1% 30%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Birkirkara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Paola Hibernians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birkirkara than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paola Hibernians than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Birkirkara - Paola Hibernians Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (2.27)
    3.17
    (3.15)
    2.84
    (2.95)
    10.6%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Neutral location - Ta'Qali National Stadium.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birkirkara won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Hibernians may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Birkirkara won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:22. (average 1.6:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Birkirkara won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:12. (average 1.9:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Birkirkara - Paola Hibernians were as follows:
    01.03.2025 Birkirkara - Paola Hibernians 2:0
    14.12.2024 Birkirkara - Paola Hibernians 0:2
    14.09.2024 Paola Hibernians - Birkirkara 0:2
    17.02.2024 Birkirkara - Paola Hibernians 1:1
    30.09.2023 Paola Hibernians - Birkirkara 0:1
    Latest results of Birkirkara
    14.05.2025 Birkirkara - Floriana 2:1
    30.04.2025 Floriana - Birkirkara 1:1
    27.04.2025 Birkirkara - Marsaxlokk 1:1
    Latest results of Paola Hibernians
    Draw
    2024/25

    1/32-finals
    1FguraBye
    2ByeAttard
    3BirkirkaraBye
    4ByeBalzan
    5GudjaBye
    6ByeGzira
    7VallettaNadur3 : 1
    8MgarrVictoria Wanderers2 : 3
    9XaghraBye
    10Victoria HotspursSenglea3 : 0
    11FlorianaBye
    12ByeXewkija
    13MarsaxlokkBye
    14ByeMosta
    15SirensSanta Lucia3 : 1
    16ByeQrendi
    17LijaBye
    18ByeZabbar
    19HamrunBye
    20SwieqiMtarfa1 : 0
    21PietaBye
    22ByeMarsa
    23SliemaBye
    24ByeGhajnsielem
    25Qala SaintsBye
    26ByeSt. Andrews
    27HiberniansBye
    28ZebbugOratory6 : 1
    29ZurrieqBye
    30TarxienMellieha1 : 2
    31NaxxarBye
    32ByeMelita

    1/16-finals
    1FguraAttard3 : 1
    2BirkirkaraBalzan2 : 1
    3GudjaGzira0 : 5
    4VallettaVictoria Wanderers4 : 0
    5XaghraVictoria Hotspurs1 : 5
    6FlorianaXewkija2 : 0
    7MarsaxlokkMosta0 : 3
    8SirensQrendi0 : 2
    9LijaZabbar0 : 5
    10HamrunSwieqi5 : 0
    11PietaMarsa1 : 5
    12SliemaGhajnsielem8 : 0
    13Qala SaintsSt. Andrews2 : 0
    14HiberniansZebbug3 : 0
    15ZurrieqMellieha1 : 0
    16NaxxarMelita4 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1FguraBirkirkara0 : 3
    2GziraValletta0 : 1
    3Victoria HotspursFloriana1 : 4
    4MostaQrendi4 : 0
    5ZabbarHamrun1 : 2
    6MarsaSliema0 : 4
    7Qala SaintsHibernians0 : 3
    8ZurrieqNaxxar0 : 4

    Quarter-finals
    1BirkirkaraValletta3 : 1
    2FlorianaMosta2 : 0
    3HamrunSliema2 : 0
    4HiberniansNaxxar2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1BirkirkaraFloriana2 : 1
    2HamrunHibernians1 : 2

    Final
    1BirkirkaraHibernians1 : 2