Result
2:0
27/09/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - First stage - Main - Round 7
- Referee: Johnson A. (Mlt)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Malta | TVM Sport+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Smajlagic S. ⚽,
- 38', Bjelicic O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 60', 2 - 0, Mbong J. ⚽,
- 71', 🟨,
- 71', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Hamrun Spartans
52.7% | Draw
27.6% | Paola Hibernians
19.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hamrun Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hamrun Spartans's performance.Paola Hibernians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paola Hibernians might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamrun Spartans than the current prediction. (-13.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hamrun Spartans that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paola Hibernians than the current prediction. (+11.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paola Hibernians could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Hamrun Spartans - Paola Hibernians Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.87 ↓
(2.38) |
3.58 ↑
(3.05) |
5.01 ↑
(2.72) |
1.2%
(11.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Hamrun Spartans - Paola Hibernians?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Hamrun will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Hibernians will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Hamrun (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (First stage ~ Top 6: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (First stage ~ Top 6: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hamrun won 2.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- Hamrun will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hamrun won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:22. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hamrun won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 0.9:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Hamrun Spartans won against Paola Hibernians?
Hamrun Spartans has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paola Hibernians won against Hamrun Spartans?
Paola Hibernians has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hamrun Spartans - Paola Hibernians were as follows:
14.05.2025
Hamrun Spartans
-
Paola Hibernians
1:2
19.01.2025
Paola Hibernians
-
Hamrun Spartans
1:2
21.12.2024
Paola Hibernians
-
Hamrun Spartans
0:3
02.10.2024
Hamrun Spartans
-
Paola Hibernians
0:2
04.05.2024
Hamrun Spartans
-
Paola Hibernians
1:1
Latest results of Hamrun Spartans
Latest results of Paola Hibernians
Maltese Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Floriana | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 19 |
| 2 | Valletta | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14:5 | 9 | 18 |
| 3 | Hamrun | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 15 |
| 4 | Hibernians | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | Sliema | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 14 |
| 6 | Birkirkara | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Marsaxlokk | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Zabbar | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 6 |
| 9 | Gzira | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
| 10 | Tarxien | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:13 | -6 | 5 |
| 11 | Naxxar | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8:12 | -4 | 4 |
| 12 | Mosta | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8:18 | -10 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (First stage ~ Top 6: )
Premier League (First stage ~ Play Out: )
