Result
0:1
18/02/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Second stage - Main - Round 23
- Referee: Portelli D. (Mlt)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Malta | TVM Sport+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 1 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 1 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 9 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 3', Jonny 🟨,
- 16', Diakite 🟨,
- 23', Cleiton 🟨,
- 45+2', Bjelicic O. 🟨,
- 45+3', Hernandez R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 57', 0 - 1, Mbong J. ⚽,
- 58', Attard S. ↓, Carboni M. ↑,
- 58', Bulevardi D. ↓, Ederson ↑,
- 63', Caruana L. ↓, Alfred S. ↑,
- 63', Cleiton ↓, Akinbule S. ↑,
- 63', Halabaku K. ↓, Lima M. ↑,
- 74', Pedrao ↓, Attard C. ↑,
- 81', Bonnici D. ↓, Abela L. ↑,
- 86', Jonny ↓, Eleke B. ↑,
- 86', Mbong J. ↓, Serber K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Paola Hibernians
13.9% | Draw
21.4% | Hamrun Spartans
64.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paola Hibernians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Hamrun Spartans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paola Hibernians than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamrun Spartans than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Paola Hibernians - Hamrun Spartans Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.56 ↑
(6.3) |
4.24 ↓
(4.45) |
1.41 ↑
(1.38) |
10%
(10.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Paola Hibernians - Hamrun Spartans?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Hibernians will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Hamrun will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hamrun: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hibernians won 2.
- Hibernians is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Hamrun has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Hibernians may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Hamrun has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Hamrun is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hibernians won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:28. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hibernians won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 1.1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Paola Hibernians won against Hamrun Spartans?
Paola Hibernians has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hamrun Spartans won against Paola Hibernians?
Hamrun Spartans has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paola Hibernians - Hamrun Spartans were as follows:
10.02.2026
Hamrun Spartans
-
Paola Hibernians
1:2
27.09.2025
Hamrun Spartans
-
Paola Hibernians
2:0
14.05.2025
Hamrun Spartans
-
Paola Hibernians
1:2
19.01.2025
Paola Hibernians
-
Hamrun Spartans
1:2
21.12.2024
Paola Hibernians
-
Hamrun Spartans
0:3
Latest results of Paola Hibernians
Latest results of Hamrun Spartans
Maltese Premier League Table
Second stage - Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Floriana | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 16:4 | 12 | 20 |
| 2 | Hamrun | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11:1 | 10 | 18 |
| 3 | Marsaxlokk | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 14 |
| 4 | Gzira | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 | Naxxar | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:16 | 1 | 13 |
| 6 | Valletta | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:4 | 7 | 12 |
| 7 | Sliema | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 12 |
| 8 | Birkirkara | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 9 | Hibernians | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 10 |
| 10 | Zabbar | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:10 | -4 | 5 |
| 11 | Tarxien | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6:16 | -10 | 4 |
| 12 | Mosta | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1:16 | -15 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6: )
Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: )
