Hamrun Spartans vs Paola Hibernians – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Maltese FA Trophy Hamrun Spartans - Paola Hibernians
Result
1:2
14/05/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FA Trophy - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
118
Shots on target
55
Corner Kicks
44
Yellow Cards
10
Red Cards
10
Total shots
118
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
63
Corner Kicks
44
Goalkeeper Saves
34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 31', 0 - 1, Degabriele J. ,
  • 40', Prsa R. 🟨,
  • 43', 0 - 2, Villela L. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Talison , Xerri S. ,
  • 57', 1 - 2, Mbong J. ,
  • 64', Cadjenovic J. , Eder ,
  • 70', Alfred S. , Xuereb D. ,
  • 70', Degabriele J. , Alex Bruno ,
  • 76', Miullen , Ellul M. ,
  • 80', Mihana R. , Menacho C. ,
  • 90', Kristensen B. , Sorokin S. ,
  • 90+7', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Hamrun Spartans
56%
Draw
25.6%
Paola Hibernians
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.6% 24.6% 20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7% 23.7% 20%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hamrun Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Paola Hibernians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamrun Spartans than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paola Hibernians than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Hamrun Spartans - Paola Hibernians Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.67)
    3.58
    (3.7)
    4.97
    (4.39)
    9.3%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hamrun won 3.
    • Hamrun is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Hibernians has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Hibernians may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Hamrun has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Hibernians has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Hamrun is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Hamrun will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hamrun won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:21. (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hamrun won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 0.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hamrun Spartans - Paola Hibernians were as follows:
    19.01.2025 Paola Hibernians - Hamrun Spartans 1:2
    21.12.2024 Paola Hibernians - Hamrun Spartans 0:3
    02.10.2024 Hamrun Spartans - Paola Hibernians 0:2
    04.05.2024 Hamrun Spartans - Paola Hibernians 1:1
    20.01.2024 Paola Hibernians - Hamrun Spartans 1:2
    Latest results of Hamrun Spartans
    Latest results of Paola Hibernians
    Draw
    2024/25

    1/32-finals
    1FguraBye
    2ByeAttard
    3BirkirkaraBye
    4ByeBalzan
    5GudjaBye
    6ByeGzira
    7VallettaNadur3 : 1
    8MgarrVictoria Wanderers2 : 3
    9XaghraBye
    10Victoria HotspursSenglea3 : 0
    11FlorianaBye
    12ByeXewkija
    13MarsaxlokkBye
    14ByeMosta
    15SirensSanta Lucia3 : 1
    16ByeQrendi
    17LijaBye
    18ByeZabbar
    19HamrunBye
    20SwieqiMtarfa1 : 0
    21PietaBye
    22ByeMarsa
    23SliemaBye
    24ByeGhajnsielem
    25Qala SaintsBye
    26ByeSt. Andrews
    27HiberniansBye
    28ZebbugOratory6 : 1
    29ZurrieqBye
    30TarxienMellieha1 : 2
    31NaxxarBye
    32ByeMelita

    1/16-finals
    1FguraAttard3 : 1
    2BirkirkaraBalzan2 : 1
    3GudjaGzira0 : 5
    4VallettaVictoria Wanderers4 : 0
    5XaghraVictoria Hotspurs1 : 5
    6FlorianaXewkija2 : 0
    7MarsaxlokkMosta0 : 3
    8SirensQrendi0 : 2
    9LijaZabbar0 : 5
    10HamrunSwieqi5 : 0
    11PietaMarsa1 : 5
    12SliemaGhajnsielem8 : 0
    13Qala SaintsSt. Andrews2 : 0
    14HiberniansZebbug3 : 0
    15ZurrieqMellieha1 : 0
    16NaxxarMelita4 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1FguraBirkirkara0 : 3
    2GziraValletta0 : 1
    3Victoria HotspursFloriana1 : 4
    4MostaQrendi4 : 0
    5ZabbarHamrun1 : 2
    6MarsaSliema0 : 4
    7Qala SaintsHibernians0 : 3
    8ZurrieqNaxxar0 : 4

    Quarter-finals
    1BirkirkaraValletta3 : 1
    2FlorianaMosta2 : 0
    3HamrunSliema2 : 0
    4HiberniansNaxxar2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1BirkirkaraFloriana2 : 1
    2HamrunHibernians1 : 2

    Final
    1BirkirkaraHibernians1 : 2