Paphos vs Monaco, UEFA Champions League – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Result
2:2
26/11/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 5
  • Referee: Kruzliak I. (Svk)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, TNT Sports, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaBTV Action
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
franceFranceCANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
hungaryHungaryRTL+, Sport 1
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
italyItalySky Sport 254
japanJapanWowow Live
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoART Sport 2
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
maltaMaltaTSN Malta 7
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV, FOX One, Fox Sports
moldovaMoldovaWe Sport
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 2
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
papua-new-guineaPapua-new-guineaTVWan Sports
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Prima Sport 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 2
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 9, Blue Sport 9
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyTabii Spor 1, Tabii
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 4, TNT Sports Ultimate, Virgin Media More
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.181.52
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1714
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
79% (314/398)83% (372/446)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.181.52
xG on target (xGOT)
1.371.76
Total shots
1714
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
73
Shots inside the Box
1111
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
2631
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
914
Passes
79% (314/398)83% (372/446)
Long passes
44% (28/63)44% (20/45)
Passes in final third
70% (83/119)76% (109/143)
Crosses
27% (7/26)9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.221.30
Throw-ins
2112
Fouls
149
Tackles
61% (11/18)50% (8/16)
Duels won
4160
Clearances
2131
Interceptions
612
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
1.761.37
Goals prevented
-0.240.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Minamino T. ⚽, Akliouche M. (A),
  • 18', 1 - 1, David Luiz ⚽, Orsic M. (A),
  • 21', Camara L. 🟨,
  • 26', 1 - 2, Balogun F. ⚽,
  • 28', Golovin A. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Goldar D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Goldar D. ↓, Langa B. ↑,
  • 56', Carcedo J. 🟨,
  • 57', Quina D. ↓, Jaja ↑,
  • 65', Golovin A. ↓, Michal L. ↑,
  • 65', Camara L. ↓, Coulibaly M. ↑,
  • 69', Anderson Silva ↓, Bassouamina M. ↑,
  • 76', Vanderson ↓, Kehrer T. ↑,
  • 76', Minamino T. ↓, Fati A. ↑,
  • 79', Dragomir V. ↓, Dimata L. ↑,
  • 88', 2 - 2, Salisu M. (Own goal),
  • 88', David Luiz 🟨,
  • 89', Balogun F. ↓, Biereth M. ↑,
  • 90+1', Salisu M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Paphos
14.8%		Draw
22.1%		Monaco
63.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.4% 22.5% 59%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.9% 21.9% 60.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paphos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paphos than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
    •

    Paphos - Monaco Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 6.51 ↑
    (5.16)    		 4.34 ↑
    (4.22)    		 1.53 ↓
    (1.61)    		 3.6%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Paphos - Monaco?
  • Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Paphos will win (votes: 5 - 11.4%). Monaco will win (votes: 35 - 79.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Monaco: 67.6% – 91.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 16 high ROI users predict this event. Paphos (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Monaco (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Paphos (2.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Monaco (1.70) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 50%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 - Paphos (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Paphos (5.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 23 high ROI users predict this event. Paphos (votes: 5 - 21.7%). Monaco (votes: 15 - 65.2%). Tie (votes: 3 - 13%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - Alphamega Stadium.
    • Paphos is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Monaco has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Paphos has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Monaco is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Paphos: Brito A. (Inactive) Correia J. (Red Card) Mimovic O. (Inactive) Odefalk W. (Inactive) Papadoudis A. (Inactive) Pedrao (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Monaco: Dier E. (Calf Injury) Mawissa C. (Hamstring Injury)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Paphos
    21.11.2025 Paphos - Aris Limassol 2:1 ✺
    09.11.2025 Anorthosis - Paphos 1:1 ✺
    05.11.2025 Paphos - Villarreal 1:0 ✺
    02.11.2025 Paphos - AEL Limassol 1:0 ✺
    30.10.2025 Paphos - AEK Larnaca 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Monaco
    22.11.2025 Rennes - Monaco 4:1 ✺
    08.11.2025 Monaco - Lens 1:4 ✺
    04.11.2025 Bodø Glimt - Monaco 0:1 ✺
    01.11.2025 Monaco - Paris FC 0:1 ✺
    29.10.2025 Nantes - Monaco 3:5 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Monaco (21)PSG (11)2 : 2, 2 : 3
    2Chelsea (6)Bye
    3Galatasaray (20)Juventus (13)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    4Liverpool (3)Bye
    5Benfica (24)Real Madrid (9)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    6Manchester City (8)Bye
    7Dortmund (17)Atalanta (15)1 : 4, 2 : 0
    8Bayern Munich (2)Bye
    9Qarabag (22)Newcastle (12)2 : 3, 1 : 6
    10Barcelona (5)Bye
    11Club Brugge KV (19)Atl. Madrid (14)1 : 4, 3 : 3
    12Tottenham (4)Bye
    13Bodo/Glimt (23)Inter (10)2 : 1, 3 : 1
    14Sporting CP (7)Bye
    15Olympiacos Piraeus (18)Bayer Leverkusen (16)0 : 0, 0 : 2
    16Arsenal (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1PSG (11)Chelsea (6)
    2Galatasaray (20)Liverpool (3)
    3Real Madrid (9)Manchester City (8)
    4Atalanta (15)Bayern Munich (2)
    5Newcastle (12)Barcelona (5)
    6Atl. Madrid (14)Tottenham (4)
    7Bodo/Glimt (23)Sporting CP (7)
    8Bayer Leverkusen (16)Arsenal (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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