Paphos vs Monaco, UEFA Champions League – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
26/11/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 5
  • Referee: Kruzliak I. (Svk)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, TNT Sports, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaBTV Action
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
franceFranceCANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
hungaryHungaryRTL+, Sport 1
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
italyItalySky Sport 254
japanJapanWowow Live
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoART Sport 2
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
maltaMaltaTSN Malta 7
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV, FOX One, Fox Sports
moldovaMoldovaWe Sport
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 2
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
papua-new-guineaPapua-new-guineaTVWan Sports
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Prima Sport 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 2
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 9, Blue Sport 9
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyTabii Spor 1, Tabii
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 4, TNT Sports Ultimate, Virgin Media More
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.181.52
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1714
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
79% (314/398)83% (372/446)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.181.52
xG on target (xGOT)
1.371.76
Total shots
1714
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
73
Shots inside the Box
1111
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
2631
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
914
Passes
79% (314/398)83% (372/446)
Long passes
44% (28/63)44% (20/45)
Passes in final third
70% (83/119)76% (109/143)
Crosses
27% (7/26)9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.221.30
Throw-ins
2112
Fouls
149
Tackles
61% (11/18)50% (8/16)
Duels won
4160
Clearances
2131
Interceptions
612
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
1.761.37
Goals prevented
-0.240.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Minamino T. , Akliouche M. (A),
  • 18', 1 - 1, David Luiz , Orsic M. (A),
  • 21', Camara L. 🟨,
  • 26', 1 - 2, Balogun F. ,
  • 28', Golovin A. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Goldar D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Goldar D. , Langa B. ,
  • 56', Carcedo J. 🟨,
  • 57', Quina D. , Jaja ,
  • 65', Golovin A. , Michal L. ,
  • 65', Camara L. , Coulibaly M. ,
  • 69', Anderson Silva , Bassouamina M. ,
  • 76', Vanderson , Kehrer T. ,
  • 76', Minamino T. , Fati A. ,
  • 79', Dragomir V. , Dimata L. ,
  • 88', 2 - 2, Salisu M. (Own goal),
  • 88', David Luiz 🟨,
  • 89', Balogun F. , Biereth M. ,
  • 90+1', Salisu M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Paphos
14.8%
Draw
22.1%
Monaco
63.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.4% 22.5% 59%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.9% 21.9% 60.6%

Paphos - Monaco Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
6.51
(5.16)
4.34
(4.22)
1.53
(1.61)
3.6%
(5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Paphos - Monaco?
  • Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Paphos will win (votes: 5 - 11.4%). Monaco will win (votes: 35 - 79.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Monaco: 67.6%91.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Paphos (2.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Monaco (1.70) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 50%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 - Paphos (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Paphos (5.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Monaco will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 16 high ROI users predict this event. Paphos (votes: 4 - 25%). Monaco (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - Alphamega Stadium.
    • Paphos is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Monaco has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Paphos has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Monaco is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Paphos: Brito A. (Inactive) Correia J. (Red Card) Mimovic O. (Inactive) Odefalk W. (Inactive) Papadoudis A. (Inactive) Pedrao (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Monaco: Dier E. (Calf Injury) Mawissa C. (Hamstring Injury)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Paphos
    21.11.2025 Paphos - Aris Limassol 2:1
    09.11.2025 Anorthosis - Paphos 1:1
    05.11.2025 Paphos - Villarreal 1:0
    02.11.2025 Paphos - AEL Limassol 1:0
    30.10.2025 Paphos - AEK Larnaca 1:2
    Latest results of Monaco
    22.11.2025 Rennes - Monaco 4:1
    08.11.2025 Monaco - Lens 1:4
    04.11.2025 Bodø Glimt - Monaco 0:1
    01.11.2025 Monaco - Paris FC 0:1
    29.10.2025 Nantes - Monaco 3:5
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal ✔ 770020:21821
    2Bayern Munich ✔ 760120:71318
    3Real Madrid750219:81115
    4Liverpool750214:8615
    5Tottenham742115:7814
    6PSG741220:101013
    7Newcastle741216:61013
    8Chelsea741214:8613
    9Barcelona741218:13513
    10Sporting CP741214:9513
    11Manchester City741213:9413
    12Atl. Madrid741216:13313
    13Atalanta741210:9113
    14Inter740313:7612
    15Juventus733114:10412
    16Dortmund732219:15411
    17Galatasaray73139:9010
    18Qarabag731313:15-210
    19Marseille730411:1109
    20Bayer Leverkusen723210:14-49
    21Monaco72328:14-69
    22PSV722315:1418
    23Ath Bilbao72237:11-48
    24Olympiacos Piraeus72238:13-58
    25Napoli72237:12-58
    26FC Copenhagen722311:17-68
    27Club Brugge KV721412:17-57
    28Bodo/Glimt713312:14-26
    29Benfica72056:10-46
    30Pafos71334:10-66
    31Royale Union SG72057:17-106
    32Ajax72057:19-126
    33Eintracht Frankfurt711510:19-94
    34Slavia Prague70344:15-113
    35Villarreal70165:15-101
    36Kairat Almaty70165:19-141

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Arsenal is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Bayern Munich is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)