Lugano II vs Paradiso – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Swiss Promotion League Lugano II - Paradiso
Result
2:2
04/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Promotion League

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Frizzi R. ,
  • 23', 1 - 1, Cirone G. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 48', 1 - 2, Cirone G. ,
  • 70', 2 - 2, Parente J. ,

Chances of winning


Lugano II
24.9%
Draw
26.9%
Paradiso
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.4% 24% 28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8% 23.2% 29.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lugano II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lugano II's form might have worsened.
  • Paradiso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paradiso's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano II than the current prediction. (+20.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lugano II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paradiso than the current prediction. (-18.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paradiso, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Lugano II - Paradiso Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.74
    (1.91)
    4.38
    (3.77)
    2.45
    (3.17)
    -15.2%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugano II won 1.
    • Recent performances by Lugano II have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Paradiso's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Lugano II won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lugano II won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lugano II - Paradiso were as follows:
    26.04.2025 Lugano II - Paradiso 1:1
    30.11.2024 Paradiso - Lugano II 2:1
    09.03.2024 Paradiso - Lugano II 1:0
    02.09.2023 Lugano II - Paradiso 2:1
    20.05.2023 Lugano II - Paradiso 0:1
    Latest results of Lugano II
    28.09.2025 Basel II - Lugano II 3:2
    21.09.2025 Lugano II - Bulle 1:1
    17.09.2025 Lugano II - Luzern II 2:2
    14.09.2025 Zurich II - Lugano II 1:2
    30.08.2025 Brühl - Lugano II 4:1
    Latest results of Paradiso
    27.09.2025 Paradiso - Biel-Bienne 2:2
    20.09.2025 Bavois - Paradiso 3:2
    13.09.2025 Paradiso - Young Boys II 2:4
    06.09.2025 Grand-Saconnex - Paradiso 2:3
    30.08.2025 Basel II - Paradiso 5:0
    Swiss Promotion League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kriens1192038:132529
    2Bruhl1291226:131328
    3Bavois1282226:151126
    4Young Boys II1272325:19623
    5Basel II1255229:21820
    6Biel1261528:23519
    7Cham1252526:24217
    8Lausanne II1251630:25516
    9Schaffhausen1243519:19015
    10Zurich II1243525:26-115
    11Luzern II1142526:30-414
    12Breitenrain1242616:19-314
    13Bulle1234522:27-513
    14Kreuzlingen1234515:26-1113
    15Lugano II1226417:26-912
    16Paradiso1224624:37-1310
    17Grand-Saconnex1223721:31-109
    18Vevey120397:26-190

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