Result
0:2
04/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 28
- Referee: Orel P. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.01 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (271/377) | 71% (242/341) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 1.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (271/377) | 71% (242/341) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (34/78) | 45% (26/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (62/111) | 60% (71/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 9% (2/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.99 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 18 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.20 | 0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 33', Hlavaty M. ↓, Jelinek T. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 52', Pekhart T. 🟨,
- 57', Penxa L. ↓, Zitny M. ↑,
- 57', Unusic B. ↓, Kozma D. ↑,
- 57', Pekhart T. ↓, Milla K. ↑,
- 61', 0 - 1, Patrak V. ⚽, Simek S. (A),
- 65', Patrak V. ↓, Botos G. ↑,
- 65', Boledovic T. ↓, Mahuta R. ↑,
- 69', Pourzitidis M. ↓, Sehovic Z. ↑,
- 69', Kreiker D. ↓, Diallo B. ↑,
- 78', Gilbert D. ↓, Mikus R. ↑,
- 80', Diallo B. 🟨,
- 82', Sustr P. 🟨,
- 83', Smekal D. ↓, Tredl J. ↑,
- 86', Mikus R. 🟨,
- 86', Bammens S. 🟨,
- 87', 0 - 2, Tijani S. (Own goal),
- 90+1', Tanko A. ↓, Vecheta F. ↑,
- 90+1', Hunal E. 🟨,
- 90+5', Vecheta F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Dukla Prague
32.5% | Draw
29.6% | Pardubice
38% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dukla Prague has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)Pardubice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pardubice's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dukla Prague than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dukla Prague, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pardubice than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pardubice, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Dukla Prague - Pardubice Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.88 ↑
(2.49) |
3.15 ↑
(3.11) |
2.48 ↓
(2.83) |
6.8%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Dukla Prague - Pardubice?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Dukla Prague will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Pardubice will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dukla Prague: 4% – 71%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dukla Prague won 3.
- Recent performances by Dukla Prague have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Pardubice's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Dukla Prague: Cisse N.
(Injury)
Kadak J.
(Knee Injury)
Mikus R.
(Knee Injury)
Sehovic Z.
(Injury)
Svozil J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Pardubice: Konecny M.
(Knee Injury)
Samuel V.
(Elbow Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Dukla Prague won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:18. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dukla Prague won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Dukla Prague won against Pardubice?
Dukla Prague has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pardubice won against Dukla Prague?
Pardubice has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dukla Prague - Pardubice were as follows:
01.11.2025
Pardubice
-
Dukla Prague
1:1
03.05.2025
Dukla Prague
-
Pardubice
2:0
15.03.2025
Pardubice
-
Dukla Prague
0:1
19.10.2024
Dukla Prague
-
Pardubice
2:1
03.07.2024
Pardubice
-
Dukla Prague
1:1
Latest results of Dukla Prague
Latest results of Pardubice
Czech 1 Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Slavia Prague ✔ | 27 | 20 | 7 | 0 | 60:20 | 40 | 67 |
| 2 | Sparta Prague ✔ | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 56:30 | 26 | 57 |
| 3 | Plzen ✔ | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 49:33 | 16 | 49 |
| 4 | Jablonec | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 35:27 | 8 | 48 |
| 5 | Liberec | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 40:26 | 14 | 42 |
| 6 | Hradec Kralove | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 37:32 | 5 | 40 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 30:29 | 1 | 40 |
| 8 | Karvina | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 38:46 | -8 | 33 |
| 9 | FK Pardubice | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 33:44 | -11 | 32 |
| 10 | Zlin | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 32:41 | -9 | 31 |
| 11 | Mlada Boleslav | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 40:51 | -11 | 30 |
| 12 | Teplice | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 27:33 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 | Bohemians | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 20:34 | -14 | 27 |
| 14 | Slovacko | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 23:38 | -15 | 23 |
| 15 | Ostrava | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 24:38 | -14 | 22 |
| 16 | Dukla Prague ✔ | 27 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 16:38 | -22 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Slavia Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Sparta Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Plzen is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Dukla Prague is Chance Liga (Relegation Group )
