Result
2:0
09/11/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 15
- Referee: Orel P. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1, Oneplay Sport 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 0.09 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (318/418) | 67% (183/275) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 0.09 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 3 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (318/418) | 67% (183/275) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (28/68) | 38% (25/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (71/109) | 44% (35/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (6/25) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.12 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 34 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.54 | 1.52 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.46 | -0.48 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 28', Kostadinov T. 🟨,
- 44', Kral J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Saarma R. ↓, Solil T. ↑,
- 50', Lurvink L. 🟨,
- 56', Botos G. ↓, Tredl J. ↑,
- 68', Kostadinov T. ↓, Janosek D. ↑,
- 72', Kral J. ↓, Huk T. ↑,
- 72', Sip J. ↓, Dolznikov A. ↑,
- 75', Krobot L. ↓, Vecheta F. ↑,
- 78', 1 - 0, Vasulin D. ⚽, Ghali A. (A),
- 78', Serak J. 🟨,
- 84', Surzyn M. 🟨,
- 88', Lurvink L. 🟥,
- 89', 2 - 0, Janosek D. (Pen),
- 90', Surzyn M. ↓, Simek D. ↑,
- 90', Simek S. ↓, Lexa M. ↑,
- 90+2', Mikulenka M. ↓, Langer S. ↑,
- 90+2', Vasulin D. ↓, Tijani M. ↑,
- 90+9', Dolznikov A. 🟥,
- 90+10', Mahuta R. 🟥,
- 90+11', Tredl J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sigma Olomouc
52.5% | Draw
26% | Pardubice
21.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sigma Olomouc has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Pardubice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sigma Olomouc than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sigma Olomouc, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pardubice than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Sigma Olomouc - Pardubice Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↑
(1.63) |
3.58 ↓
(3.74) |
4.46 ↓
(4.96) |
6.9%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sigma Olomouc - Pardubice?
Users Predictions:
Sigma Olomouc will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sigma Olomouc will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sigma won 1.
- Sigma is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Pardubice has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Pardubice may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Pardubice has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Sigma is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Sigma: Kliment J.
(Broken calfbone)
Leibl M.
(Injury)
Michez S.
(Injury)
Muritala Y.
(Knee Injury)
Slama J.
(Ankle Injury)
Tkac D.
(Muscle Injury)
Vrastil L.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Pardubice: Alijagic D.
(Convalescence)
Darmovzal D.
(Injury)
Konecny M.
(Broken ankle)
Masek D.
(Injury)
Vacek K.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Sigma: Dumitrescu A.
(Injury)
Yasser M.
(Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Sigma won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 32:17. (average 1.9:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sigma won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.7:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sigma Olomouc won against Pardubice?
Sigma Olomouc has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pardubice won against Sigma Olomouc?
Pardubice has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sigma Olomouc - Pardubice were as follows:
15.02.2025
Sigma Olomouc
-
Pardubice
4:0
04.12.2024
Pardubice
-
Sigma Olomouc
2:2
30.03.2024
Sigma Olomouc
-
Pardubice
0:2
21.10.2023
Pardubice
-
Sigma Olomouc
1:1
26.02.2023
Sigma Olomouc
-
Pardubice
2:2
Latest results of Sigma Olomouc
Latest results of Pardubice
Czech 1 Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Slavia Prague ✔ | 26 | 19 | 7 | 0 | 58:20 | 38 | 64 |
| 2 | Sparta Prague ✔ | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 54:30 | 24 | 54 |
| 3 | Plzen | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 47:31 | 16 | 48 |
| 4 | Jablonec | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 32:27 | 5 | 45 |
| 5 | Sigma Olomouc | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 28:25 | 3 | 40 |
| 6 | Liberec | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 38:25 | 13 | 39 |
| 7 | Hradec Kralove | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 35:32 | 3 | 37 |
| 8 | Karvina | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 38:44 | -6 | 33 |
| 9 | Zlin | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32:38 | -6 | 31 |
| 10 | FK Pardubice | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 31:44 | -13 | 29 |
| 11 | Teplice | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 25:31 | -6 | 28 |
| 12 | Bohemians | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 20:32 | -12 | 27 |
| 13 | Mlada Boleslav | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 36:49 | -13 | 27 |
| 14 | Slovacko | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 22:36 | -14 | 23 |
| 15 | Ostrava | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 24:36 | -12 | 22 |
| 16 | Dukla Prague | 26 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 16:36 | -20 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Slavia Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Sparta Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
