Leça vs Paredes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:5
25/05/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group - Round 5
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
412
Shots on target
36
Corner Kicks
34
Red Cards
10
Total shots
412
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
16
Blocked Shots
00
Corner Kicks
34
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
00
Throw-ins
00
Fouls
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 40', 1 - 0, Afonso A. ,
  • 41', 1 - 1, Santos Outeiro D. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 4)
  • 53', 2 - 1, ,
  • 60', 2 - 2, Delcio ,
  • 65', 2 - 3, Miguel ,
  • 76', 2 - 4, Santana E. ,
  • 79', 2 - 5, Ze Thiago ,
  • 86', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Leça
31.4%
Draw
28.1%
Paredes
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.2% 28.2% 40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29% 26.2% 43.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leça has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Paredes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leça than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paredes than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • Leça - Paredes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.88
    (2.71)
    3.22
    (3)
    2.24
    (2.08)
    10.5%
    (18.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leça won 2.
    • Leça is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Paredes has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Leça won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Leça won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leça - Paredes were as follows:
    04.05.2025 Paredes - Leça 2:0
    Latest results of Leça
    18.05.2025 Marco 09 - Leça 3:2
    04.05.2025 Paredes - Leça 2:0
    27.04.2025 Leça - Marco 09 1:0
    13.04.2025 Machico - Leça 1:1
    Latest results of Paredes
    11.05.2025 Marco 09 - Paredes 0:0
    04.05.2025 Paredes - Leça 2:0
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1GD Braganca23125634:27741
    2SC Vianense23116639:271239
    3Brito22114730:21937
    4AD Limianos22107531:25637
    5Celoricense2398632:221035
    6Tirsense23811429:21835
    7Camacha2389629:21833
    8Chaves B2387835:27831
    9Machico23851026:30-429
    10SC Mirandela23921219:26-729
    11Sao Martinho23841117:28-1128
    12Vilaverdense23491015:24-921
    13Ribeira Brava2148918:36-1820
    14Desportivo Moncao23451425:44-1917

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