Leça vs Paredes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:5
25/05/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group - Round 5
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
412
Shots on target
36
Corner Kicks
34
Red Cards
10
Total shots
412
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
16
Blocked Shots
00
Corner Kicks
34
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
00
Throw-ins
00
Fouls
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 40', 1 - 0, Afonso A. ,
  • 41', 1 - 1, Santos Outeiro D. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 4)
  • 53', 2 - 1, ,
  • 60', 2 - 2, Delcio ,
  • 65', 2 - 3, Miguel ,
  • 76', 2 - 4, Santana E. ,
  • 79', 2 - 5, Ze Thiago ,
  • 86', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Leça
31.4%
Draw
28.1%
Paredes
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.2% 28.2% 40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29% 26.2% 43.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leça has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Paredes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leça than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paredes than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • Leça - Paredes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.88
    (2.71)
    3.22
    (3)
    2.24
    (2.08)
    10.5%
    (18.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leça won 2.
    • Leça is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Paredes has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Leça won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Leça won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leça - Paredes were as follows:
    04.05.2025 Paredes - Leça 2:0
    Latest results of Leça
    18.05.2025 Marco 09 - Leça 3:2
    04.05.2025 Paredes - Leça 2:0
    27.04.2025 Leça - Marco 09 1:0
    13.04.2025 Machico - Leça 1:1
    Latest results of Paredes
    11.05.2025 Marco 09 - Paredes 0:0
    04.05.2025 Paredes - Leça 2:0
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1GD Braganca20115429:20938
    2AD Limianos1996426:20633
    3Celoricense2096532:191333
    4Brito1994624:18631
    5SC Vianense2086629:26330
    6Tirsense20610426:21528
    7Sao Martinho2083917:24-727
    8Camacha2069522:16627
    9SC Mirandela20811117:24-725
    10Chaves B2067728:24425
    11Machico2065922:28-623
    12Ribeira Brava1848617:27-1020
    13Vilaverdense2039814:20-618
    14Desportivo Moncao20351219:35-1614

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