Paris FC vs Ajaccio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

10/05/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stade Charlety (Paris).

Ligue 2 - Round 34
Referee: Buquet R. (Fra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9
Austria	DAZN
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 1, Cablenet Sports 1
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Israel	5 LIVE Israel
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Russia	Okko Sport
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.32	0.52
Ball Possession
61%	39%
Total shots
17	10
Shots on target
6	1
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
3	3
Passes
92% (561/613)	86% (328/382)
Yellow Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32	0.52
xG on target (xGOT)
0.66	0.43
Total shots
17	10
Shots on target
6	1
Shots off target
7	8
Blocked Shots
4	1
Shots inside the Box
7	5
Shots outside the Box
10	5
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
3	3
Touches in opposition box
28	16
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
13	11
Passes
92% (561/613)	86% (328/382)
Long passes
68% (28/41)	52% (32/61)
Passes in final third
84% (189/224)	78% (69/88)
Crosses
20% (3/15)	36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
2.03	0.51
Throw-ins
11	13
Fouls
11	13
Tackles
62% (8/13)	90% (9/10)
Duels won
42	41
Clearances
7	20
Interceptions
5	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	4
xGOT faced
0.43	0.66
Goals prevented
0.43	-1.34

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Nkambadio O. ↓, Riou R. ↑,
47', 1 - 0, Gory A. ⚽, De Smet T. (A),
54', Junior Pereira da Silva E. 🟨,
62', Junior Pereira da Silva E. ↓, Mangani T. ↑,
62', Gory A. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
62', Hamel P. ↓, Dicko N. ↑,
63', Barreto M. ↓, Puch Herrantz M. ↑,
66', 2 - 0, Krasso J. ⚽, Kebbal I. (A),
75', Huard M. ↓, Ayessa J. ↑,
75', Toure B. ↓, Santelli B. ↑,
77', Marchetti V. ↓, Doucet L. ↑,
80', Krasso J. ↓, Ollila T. ↑,
83', Kante A. ↓, Chegra I. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/2dwp6238

Chances of winning

Paris FC
68.2%

Draw
19.7%

Ajaccio
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

23.8%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

23%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paris FC's performance.

Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Paris FC - Ajaccio Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.51)	4.83 ↑ (3.93)	7.86 ↑ (6.53)	6% (7.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Paris FC - Ajaccio?

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Paris FC will win (votes: 15 - 93.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paris FC: 82% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Paris FC will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 11).
Paris FC is Qualified for Ligue 1
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paris FC won 3.
Paris FC is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Ajaccio has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Paris FC may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Paris FC is the clear favorite.
There will not play in Paris FC: Alakouch S. (Injury) Pembele A. (Inactive) Sissoko O. (Injury)
There will not play in Ajaccio: Soumano M. (Injury) Touzghar Y. (Arm Injury) Youssouf M. (Injury)
There are questionable in Ajaccio: Huard M. (Injury)
We predict that Paris FC will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Paris FC won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 0.9:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Paris FC won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.2:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Paris FC won against Ajaccio?

Paris FC has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Ajaccio won against Paris FC?

Ajaccio has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Paris FC - Ajaccio were as follows:

07.12.2024 Ajaccio - Paris FC 0:2

16.03.2024 Paris FC - Ajaccio 2:0

23.09.2023 Ajaccio - Paris FC 2:1

29.07.2023 Paris FC - Ajaccio 1:2

Latest results of Paris FC

02.05.2025 Martigues - Paris FC 1:1 ✺

26.04.2025 Rodez - Paris FC 1:1 ✺

19.04.2025 Paris FC - Bastia 1:0 ✺

12.04.2025 Grenoble - Paris FC 1:2 ✺

04.04.2025 Paris FC - Clermont 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Ajaccio

02.05.2025 Ajaccio - Lorient 2:1 ✺

25.04.2025 Annecy - Ajaccio 2:0 ✺

18.04.2025 Ajaccio - Pau 1:1 ✺

11.04.2025 Troyes - Ajaccio 0:0 ✺

04.04.2025 Ajaccio - Amiens 2:1 ✺

French Ligue 2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Grenoble	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Le Mans	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Nancy	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	St Etienne	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Amiens	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Bastia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Clermont	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Guingamp	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Montpellier	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Reims	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Troyes	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Laval	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Pau FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Rodez	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Annecy	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Dunkerque	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Red Star	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Ligue 1
      Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
      Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Ligue 2 (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ National