Paris FC vs Ajaccio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 2 Paris FC - Ajaccio
Result
2:0
10/05/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 34
  • Referee: Buquet R. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9
austriaAustriaDAZN
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 1, Cablenet Sports 1
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
israelIsrael5 LIVE Israel
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.320.52
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
1710
Shots on target
61
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
92% (561/613)86% (328/382)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.320.52
xG on target (xGOT)
0.660.43
Total shots
1710
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
78
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
75
Shots outside the Box
105
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
2816
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1311
Passes
92% (561/613)86% (328/382)
Long passes
68% (28/41)52% (32/61)
Passes in final third
84% (189/224)78% (69/88)
Crosses
20% (3/15)36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
2.030.51
Throw-ins
1113
Fouls
1113
Tackles
62% (8/13)90% (9/10)
Duels won
4241
Clearances
720
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.430.66
Goals prevented
0.43-1.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Nkambadio O. , Riou R. ,
  • 47', 1 - 0, Gory A. , De Smet T. (A),
  • 54', Junior Pereira da Silva E. 🟨,
  • 62', Junior Pereira da Silva E. , Mangani T. ,
  • 62', Gory A. , Lopez J. ,
  • 62', Hamel P. , Dicko N. ,
  • 63', Barreto M. , Puch Herrantz M. ,
  • 66', 2 - 0, Krasso J. , Kebbal I. (A),
  • 75', Huard M. , Ayessa J. ,
  • 75', Toure B. , Santelli B. ,
  • 77', Marchetti V. , Doucet L. ,
  • 80', Krasso J. , Ollila T. ,
  • 83', Kante A. , Chegra I. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/2dwp6238

Chances of winning


Paris FC
68.2%
Draw
19.7%
Ajaccio
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.9% 23.8% 14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64% 23% 13.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paris FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paris FC's performance.
  • Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • Paris FC - Ajaccio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.38
    (1.51)
    4.83
    (3.93)
    7.86
    (6.53)
    6%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Paris FC - Ajaccio?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Paris FC will win (votes: 15 - 93.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Paris FC: 82%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Paris FC will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 11).
    • Paris FC is Qualified for Ligue 1
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paris FC won 3.
    • Paris FC is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Ajaccio has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Paris FC may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Paris FC is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Paris FC: Alakouch S. (Injury) Pembele A. (Inactive) Sissoko O. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Ajaccio: Soumano M. (Injury) Touzghar Y. (Arm Injury) Youssouf M. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ajaccio: Huard M. (Injury)
    • We predict that Paris FC will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Paris FC won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 0.9:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Paris FC won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paris FC - Ajaccio were as follows:
    07.12.2024 Ajaccio - Paris FC 0:2
    16.03.2024 Paris FC - Ajaccio 2:0
    23.09.2023 Ajaccio - Paris FC 2:1
    29.07.2023 Paris FC - Ajaccio 1:2
    Latest results of Paris FC
    02.05.2025 Martigues - Paris FC 1:1
    26.04.2025 Rodez - Paris FC 1:1
    19.04.2025 Paris FC - Bastia 1:0
    12.04.2025 Grenoble - Paris FC 1:2
    04.04.2025 Paris FC - Clermont 2:0
    Latest results of Ajaccio
    02.05.2025 Ajaccio - Lorient 2:1
    25.04.2025 Annecy - Ajaccio 2:0
    18.04.2025 Ajaccio - Pau 1:1
    11.04.2025 Troyes - Ajaccio 0:0
    04.04.2025 Ajaccio - Amiens 2:1
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Grenoble00000:000
    2Le Mans00000:000
    3Nancy00000:000
    4St Etienne00000:000
    5Amiens00000:000
    6Bastia00000:000
    7Clermont00000:000
    8Guingamp00000:000
    9Montpellier00000:000
    10Reims00000:000
    11Troyes00000:000
    12Laval00000:000
    13Pau FC00000:000
    14Rodez00000:000
    15Annecy00000:000
    16Dunkerque00000:000
    17Red Star00000:000

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National