Result
1:1
02/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 33
- Referee: Petit A. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA 9, beIN Sports MENA French 2 |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 1.40 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (253/349) | 82% (346/424) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 1.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 1.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (253/349) | 82% (346/424) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 26% (16/61) | 56% (39/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (60/101) | 70% (70/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (8/18) | 23% (5/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.55 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.85 | 1.56 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 7', Cafaro M. ↓, Kebbal I. ↑,
- 34', Saintini N. 🟨,
- 38', De Smet T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 49', 0 - 1, Hamel P. ⚽,
- 58', Doucet L. ↓, Kante M. ↑,
- 59', 1 - 1, Orinel O. ⚽, Mendy O. (A),
- 72', Orinel O. ↓, Ipiele A. ↑,
- 72', Siby M. ↓, Montiel R. ↑,
- 81', Mendy O. ↓, Shamal S. ↑,
- 82', Krasso J. ↓, Dicko N. ↑,
- 90', Tlili K. ↓, Kembolo F. ↑,
- 90', Belloumou S. ↓, Zouaoui I. ↑,
- 90+3', Mbow M. 🟨,
- 90+3', Solvet S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Martigues
20.5% | Draw
24.8% | Paris FC
54.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Martigues has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Martigues's performance.Paris FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paris FC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martigues than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Martigues that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (+12.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paris FC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Martigues - Paris FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.62 ↓
(6.31) |
3.78 ↓
(4.59) |
1.73 ↑
(1.45) |
6%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Martigues - Paris FC?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Martigues will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Paris FC will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paris FC: 44.9% – 88.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Martigues (votes: 2 - 50%). Paris FC (votes: 2 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).
- Recent performances by Martigues have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Paris FC is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, Paris FC is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Martigues: Djaha A.
(Injury)
Marillat Y.
(Injury)
Zouaoui I.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Paris FC: Alakouch S.
(Injury)
Gueye L.
(Knee Injury)
Kebbal I.
(Injury)
Kolodziejczak T.
(Suspended)
Lopez J.
(Red Card)
Lopez M.
(Yellow Cards)
Pembele A.
(Inactive)
Sissoko O.
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Martigues won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Martigues won against Paris FC?
Martigues has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paris FC won against Martigues?
Paris FC has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Martigues - Paris FC were as follows:
03.01.2025
Paris FC
-
Martigues
1:2
Latest results of Martigues
Latest results of Paris FC
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 38:25 | 13 | 45 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 41:29 | 12 | 43 |
| 3 | Reims | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 37:23 | 14 | 41 |
| 4 | Le Mans | 24 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 30:24 | 6 | 40 |
| 5 | Red Star | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 30:25 | 5 | 40 |
| 6 | Dunkerque | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 40:25 | 15 | 38 |
| 7 | Annecy | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 32:25 | 7 | 36 |
| 8 | Rodez | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 36 |
| 9 | Montpellier | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 28:25 | 3 | 34 |
| 10 | Guingamp | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 35:36 | -1 | 34 |
| 11 | Pau FC | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 37:39 | -2 | 34 |
| 12 | Grenoble | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 24:29 | -5 | 28 |
| 13 | Nancy | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 21:32 | -11 | 26 |
| 14 | Boulogne | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 26 |
| 15 | Clermont | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 27:32 | -5 | 25 |
| 16 | Amiens | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 28:39 | -11 | 23 |
| 17 | Bastia | 24 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 12:25 | -13 | 18 |
| 18 | Laval | 24 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 18:34 | -16 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
