Martigues vs Paris FC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
02/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 33
  • Referee: Petit A. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA 9, beIN Sports MENA French 2
austriaAustriaDAZN
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.481.40
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1217
Shots on target
47
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
21
Passes
72% (253/349)82% (346/424)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.481.40
xG on target (xGOT)
1.561.85
Total shots
1217
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
46
Shots inside the Box
913
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
21
Touches in opposition box
2132
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1712
Passes
72% (253/349)82% (346/424)
Long passes
26% (16/61)56% (39/70)
Passes in final third
59% (60/101)70% (70/100)
Crosses
44% (8/18)23% (5/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.750.55
Throw-ins
2121
Fouls
1217
Tackles
70% (7/10)55% (6/11)
Duels won
4954
Clearances
2223
Interceptions
1315
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
63
xGOT faced
1.851.56
Goals prevented
0.850.56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 7', Cafaro M. , Kebbal I. ,
  • 34', Saintini N. 🟨,
  • 38', De Smet T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 49', 0 - 1, Hamel P. ,
  • 58', Doucet L. , Kante M. ,
  • 59', 1 - 1, Orinel O. , Mendy O. (A),
  • 72', Orinel O. , Ipiele A. ,
  • 72', Siby M. , Montiel R. ,
  • 81', Mendy O. , Shamal S. ,
  • 82', Krasso J. , Dicko N. ,
  • 90', Tlili K. , Kembolo F. ,
  • 90', Belloumou S. , Zouaoui I. ,
  • 90+3', Mbow M. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Solvet S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Martigues
20.5%
Draw
24.8%
Paris FC
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
14.9% 20.4% 64.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.3% 19.6% 67.2%

Martigues - Paris FC Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
4.62
(6.31)
3.78
(4.59)
1.73
(1.45)
6%
(6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Martigues - Paris FC?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Martigues will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Paris FC will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Paris FC: 44.9%88.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Martigues (votes: 1 - 50%). Paris FC (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
    • BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).
    • Recent performances by Martigues have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Paris FC is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In this match, Paris FC is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Martigues: Djaha A. (Injury) Marillat Y. (Injury) Zouaoui I. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Paris FC: Alakouch S. (Injury) Gueye L. (Knee Injury) Kebbal I. (Injury) Kolodziejczak T. (Suspended) Lopez J. (Red Card) Lopez M. (Yellow Cards) Pembele A. (Inactive) Sissoko O. (Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Martigues won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Martigues - Paris FC were as follows:
    03.01.2025 Paris FC - Martigues 1:2
    Latest results of Martigues
    25.04.2025 Guingamp - Martigues 2:1
    18.04.2025 Caen - Martigues 0:3
    11.04.2025 Martigues - Metz 1:4
    04.04.2025 Rodez - Martigues 1:0
    28.03.2025 Martigues - Ajaccio 2:0
    Latest results of Paris FC
    26.04.2025 Rodez - Paris FC 1:1
    19.04.2025 Paris FC - Bastia 1:0
    12.04.2025 Grenoble - Paris FC 1:2
    04.04.2025 Paris FC - Clermont 2:0
    31.03.2025 Paris FC - Caen 4:2
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes1594227:141331
    2St Etienne1592433:221129
    3Red Star1584321:15628
    4Reims1574428:20825
    5Montpellier1573517:14324
    6Le Mans1566319:16324
    7Guingamp1565424:25-123
    8Pau FC1565421:23-223
    9Dunkerque1556426:18821
    10Annecy1554617:16119
    11Clermont1546515:19-418
    12Grenoble1545617:20-317
    13Rodez1545615:21-617
    14Laval1536612:16-415
    15Amiens1543819:24-515
    16Nancy1543814:21-715
    17Boulogne1543816:23-715
    18Bastia1514106:20-147

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National