Martigues vs Paris FC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

02/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stade Francis Turcan (Martigues).

Ligue 2 - Round 33
Referee: Petit A. (Fra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA 9, beIN Sports MENA French 2
Austria	DAZN
Canada	beIN Connect
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.48	1.40
Ball Possession
45%	55%
Total shots
12	17
Shots on target
4	7
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
2	1
Passes
72% (253/349)	82% (346/424)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.48	1.40
xG on target (xGOT)
1.56	1.85
Total shots
12	17
Shots on target
4	7
Shots off target
4	4
Blocked Shots
4	6
Shots inside the Box
9	13
Shots outside the Box
3	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
2	1
Touches in opposition box
21	32
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	3
Free Kicks
17	12
Passes
72% (253/349)	82% (346/424)
Long passes
26% (16/61)	56% (39/70)
Passes in final third
59% (60/101)	70% (70/100)
Crosses
44% (8/18)	23% (5/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.75	0.55
Throw-ins
21	21
Fouls
12	17
Tackles
70% (7/10)	55% (6/11)
Duels won
49	54
Clearances
22	23
Interceptions
13	15
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
6	3
xGOT faced
1.85	1.56
Goals prevented
0.85	0.56

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Cafaro M. ↓, Kebbal I. ↑,
34', Saintini N. 🟨,
38', De Smet T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 0 - 1, Hamel P. ⚽,
58', Doucet L. ↓, Kante M. ↑,
59', 1 - 1, Orinel O. ⚽, Mendy O. (A),
72', Orinel O. ↓, Ipiele A. ↑,
72', Siby M. ↓, Montiel R. ↑,
81', Mendy O. ↓, Shamal S. ↑,
82', Krasso J. ↓, Dicko N. ↑,
90', Tlili K. ↓, Kembolo F. ↑,
90', Belloumou S. ↓, Zouaoui I. ↑,
90+3', Mbow M. 🟨,
90+3', Solvet S. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Martigues
20.5%

Draw
24.8%

Paris FC
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.9%

20.4%

64.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.3%

19.6%

67.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Martigues has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Martigues's performance.

Paris FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paris FC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martigues than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Martigues that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paris FC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Martigues - Paris FC Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.62 ↓ (6.31)	3.78 ↓ (4.59)	1.73 ↑ (1.45)	6% (6.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Martigues - Paris FC?

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Martigues will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Paris FC will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paris FC: 44.9% – 88.5%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Martigues (votes: 1 - 50%). Paris FC (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).

BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).
Recent performances by Martigues have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Paris FC is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In this match, Paris FC is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Martigues: Djaha A. (Injury) Marillat Y. (Injury) Zouaoui I. (Injury)
There will not play in Paris FC: Alakouch S. (Injury) Gueye L. (Knee Injury) Kebbal I. (Injury) Kolodziejczak T. (Suspended) Lopez J. (Red Card) Lopez M. (Yellow Cards) Pembele A. (Inactive) Sissoko O. (Injury)
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Martigues won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Martigues won against Paris FC?

Martigues has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Paris FC won against Martigues?

Paris FC has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Martigues - Paris FC were as follows:

03.01.2025 Paris FC - Martigues 1:2

Latest results of Martigues

25.04.2025 Guingamp - Martigues 2:1 ✺

18.04.2025 Caen - Martigues 0:3 ✺

11.04.2025 Martigues - Metz 1:4 ✺

04.04.2025 Rodez - Martigues 1:0 ✺

28.03.2025 Martigues - Ajaccio 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Paris FC

26.04.2025 Rodez - Paris FC 1:1 ✺

19.04.2025 Paris FC - Bastia 1:0 ✺

12.04.2025 Grenoble - Paris FC 1:2 ✺

04.04.2025 Paris FC - Clermont 2:0 ✺

31.03.2025 Paris FC - Caen 4:2 ✺

French Ligue 2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Grenoble	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Le Mans	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Nancy	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	St Etienne	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Amiens	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Bastia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Clermont	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Guingamp	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Montpellier	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Reims	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Troyes	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Laval	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Pau FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Rodez	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Annecy	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Dunkerque	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Red Star	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Ligue 1
      Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
      Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Ligue 2 (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ National