Barcelona vs Paris Saint-Germain – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Football UEFA Champions League Barcelona - Paris Saint-Germain
Result
1:2
01/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 2
  • Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaCanal+
azerbaijanAzerbaijanIctimai TV
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, TNT Sports, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaBTV Action
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileESPN Premium
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, HRT 2, HRTi, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3+, Viaplay
europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
franceFranceCANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1, Free
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport 2
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
irelandIrelandVirgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Calcio, TV8
kenyaKenyaGotv
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
maltaMaltaTSN Malta 6, TVM Sport+
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
papua-new-guineaPapua-new-guineaTVWan Sports
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 1
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaRTS 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaKanal A, Voyo
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 3
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 4, Virgin TV Go app
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN USA, Paramount+
uzbekistanUzbekistanZor TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.311.52
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1215
Shots on target
37
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
49
Passes
87% (367/424)87% (414/474)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
1.311.52
xG on target (xGOT)
0.611.49
Total shots
1215
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
810
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
49
Touches in opposition box
2639
Accurate through passes
12
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1412
Passes
87% (367/424)87% (414/474)
Long passes
45% (18/40)51% (19/37)
Passes in final third
74% (61/82)79% (99/126)
Crosses
20% (1/5)21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.701.11
Throw-ins
1514
Fouls
1214
Tackles
65% (11/17)57% (12/21)
Duels won
5144
Clearances
179
Interceptions
116
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
50
xGOT faced
1.490.61
Goals prevented
-0.51-0.39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 19', 1 - 0, Torres F. ⚽, Rashford M. (A),
  • 32', de Jong F. 🟨,
  • 38', 1 - 1, Mayulu S. ⚽, Mendes N. (A),
  • 44', Mendes N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 57', Olmo D. 🟨,
  • 65', Mbaye I. ↓, Hernandez L. ↑,
  • 72', Olmo D. ↓, Casado M. ↑,
  • 72', Rashford M. ↓, Lewandowski R. ↑,
  • 72', Martin G. ↓, Balde A. ↑,
  • 72', Ruiz F. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,
  • 78', Casado M. 🟨,
  • 79', Pedri ↓, Bernal M. ↑,
  • 80', Barcola B. ↓, Ndjantou Q. ↑,
  • 80', Mayulu S. ↓, Lee Kang-In ↑,
  • 86', Garcia E. ↓, Christensen A. ↑,
  • 87', Hakimi A. 🟨,
  • 90', 1 - 2, Ramos G. ⚽, Hakimi A. (A),
  • 90+2', Lamine Yamal 🟨,

Chances of winning


Barcelona
55.2%		Draw
21.9%		Paris Saint-Germain
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.7% 23.1% 28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1% 22.9% 28%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barcelona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barcelona's performance.
  • Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paris Saint-Germain might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barcelona that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paris Saint-Germain could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Barcelona - Paris Saint-Germain Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.78 ↓
    (1.95)    		 4.41 ↑
    (4.11)    		 4.21 ↑
    (3.37)    		 2.8%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Barcelona - Paris Saint-Germain?
  • Users Predictions: 90 users predict this event. Barcelona will win (votes: 66 - 73.3%). PSG will win (votes: 9 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Barcelona: 64.2% – 82.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 18 high ROI users predict this event. Barcelona (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 6 - 75%).
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 2.
    • Barcelona has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • PSG is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • PSG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Barcelona is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Barcelona: Garcia J. (Knee Injury) Gavi (Knee Injury) Lopez F. (Groin Injury) Raphinha (Thigh Injury) ter Stegen M. (Back Injury)
    • There will not play in PSG: Dembele O. (Thigh Injury) Doue D. (Calf Injury) Kamara N. (International duty) Kvaratskhelia K. (Muscle Injury) Marquinhos (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:24. (average 2.1:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Barcelona won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 2.3:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barcelona - Paris Saint-Germain were as follows:
    16.04.2024 Barcelona - Paris Saint-Germain 1:4
    10.04.2024 Paris Saint-Germain - Barcelona 2:3
    Latest results of Barcelona
    28.09.2025 Barcelona - Real Sociedad 2:1 ✺
    25.09.2025 Real Oviedo - Barcelona 1:3 ✺
    21.09.2025 Barcelona - Getafe 3:0 ✺
    18.09.2025 Newcastle United - Barcelona 1:2 ✺
    14.09.2025 Barcelona - Valencia 6:0 ✺
    Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
    27.09.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Auxerre 2:0 ✺
    22.09.2025 Olympique Marseille - Paris Saint-Germain 1:0 ✺
    17.09.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Atalanta 4:0 ✺
    14.09.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Lens 2:0 ✺
    30.08.2025 Toulouse - Paris Saint-Germain 3:6 ✺
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG330013:3109
    2Bayern Munich330012:2109
    3Inter33009:099
    4Arsenal33008:089
    5Real Madrid33008:179
    6Dortmund321012:757
    7Manchester City32106:247
    8Newcastle32018:266
    9Barcelona32019:456
    10Liverpool32018:446
    11Chelsea32017:436
    12Sporting CP32017:436
    13Qarabag32016:516
    14Galatasaray32015:6-16
    15Tottenham31203:215
    16PSV31118:624
    17Atalanta31112:5-34
    18Marseille31026:423
    19Atl. Madrid31027:8-13
    20Club Brugge KV31025:7-23
    21Ath Bilbao31024:7-33
    22Eintracht Frankfurt31027:11-43
    23Napoli31024:9-53
    24Royale Union SG31023:9-63
    25Juventus30216:7-12
    26Bodo/Glimt30215:7-22
    27Monaco30213:6-32
    28Slavia Prague30212:5-32
    29Pafos30211:5-42
    30Bayer Leverkusen30215:10-52
    31Villarreal30122:5-31
    32FC Copenhagen30124:8-41
    33Olympiacos Piraeus30121:8-71
    34Kairat Almaty30121:9-81
    35Benfica30032:7-50
    36Ajax30031:11-100

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