Result
1:2
01/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Champions League - League phase - Round 2
- Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League |
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Canal+ |
 Azerbaijan | Ictimai TV |
 Belgium | Pickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, TNT Sports, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | BTV Action |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Chile | ESPN Premium |
 China | iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, HRT 2, HRTi, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 6, Oneplay |
 Denmark | TV3+, Viaplay |
 Europe | Go3 Extra Sports Baltic |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1 |
 France | CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1, Free |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3 |
 Hungary | RTL+ |
 Iceland | SÝN Sport 2 |
 India | JioTV app, Sony LIV |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio |
 Ireland | Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two |
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Calcio, TV8 |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka |
 Malta | TSN Malta 6, TVM Sport+ |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 2 |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Nigeria | Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League |
 North-central-america | ESPN Norte |
 North-macedonia | TDM Desporto |
 Norway | TV2 Play |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Papua-new-guinea | TVWan Sports |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Poland | Canal+ Extra 1 |
 Portugal | DAZN 1, DAZN / App |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | RTS 1 |
 Singapore | beIN Sport 1 |
 Slovakia | Kanal A, Voyo |
 South-africa | Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 3 |
 South-america | ESPN South |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+ |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Turkey | Tabii |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 1 |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 4, Virgin TV Go app |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | DAZN USA, Paramount+ |
 Uzbekistan | Zor TV |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.52 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (367/424) | 87% (414/474) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.49 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 39 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (367/424) | 87% (414/474) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (18/40) | 51% (19/37) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (61/82) | 79% (99/126) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (1/5) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.11 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 57% (12/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.49 | 0.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.51 | -0.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 19', 1 - 0, Torres F. ⚽, Rashford M. (A),
- 32', de Jong F. 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 1, Mayulu S. ⚽, Mendes N. (A),
- 44', Mendes N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 57', Olmo D. 🟨,
- 65', Mbaye I. ↓, Hernandez L. ↑,
- 72', Olmo D. ↓, Casado M. ↑,
- 72', Rashford M. ↓, Lewandowski R. ↑,
- 72', Martin G. ↓, Balde A. ↑,
- 72', Ruiz F. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,
- 78', Casado M. 🟨,
- 79', Pedri ↓, Bernal M. ↑,
- 80', Barcola B. ↓, Ndjantou Q. ↑,
- 80', Mayulu S. ↓, Lee Kang-In ↑,
- 86', Garcia E. ↓, Christensen A. ↑,
- 87', Hakimi A. 🟨,
- 90', 1 - 2, Ramos G. ⚽, Hakimi A. (A),
- 90+2', Lamine Yamal 🟨,
Chances of winning
Barcelona
55.2% | Draw
21.9% | Paris Saint-Germain
22.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barcelona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barcelona's performance.Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paris Saint-Germain might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barcelona that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paris Saint-Germain could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Barcelona - Paris Saint-Germain Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.78 ↓
(1.95) |
4.41 ↑
(4.11) |
4.21 ↑
(3.37) |
2.8%
(5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Barcelona - Paris Saint-Germain?
Users Predictions:
90 users predict this event. Barcelona will win (votes: 66 - 73.3%). PSG will win (votes: 9 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barcelona: 64.2% – 82.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 41 high ROI users predict this event. Barcelona (votes: 30 - 73.2%). PSG (votes: 4 - 9.8%). Tie (votes: 7 - 17.1%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 6 - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- AH 0 - Barcelona (1.39) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH -0.75 - PSG (1.99) (votes: 4 - 66.7%) .
- AH -0.5 - PSG (2.22) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- AH -1.5 - Barcelona (2.70) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH -1.25 - PSG (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - PSG (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - PSG (3.27) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- EH -2 - PSG (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- EH -1 - PSG (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - PSG (2.18) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - Barcelona (2.15) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 4 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 2nd Half - Barcelona (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 5.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC, 1st Half - PSG (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5, 2nd Half - Barcelona (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 67 high ROI users predict this event. Barcelona (votes: 38 - 56.7%). PSG (votes: 22 - 32.8%). Tie (votes: 7 - 10.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Playing home matches at a different stadium - Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 2.
- Barcelona has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- PSG is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- PSG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Barcelona is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Barcelona: Garcia J.
(Knee Injury)
Gavi
(Knee Injury)
Lopez F.
(Groin Injury)
Raphinha
(Thigh Injury)
ter Stegen M.
(Back Injury)
- There will not play in PSG: Dembele O.
(Thigh Injury)
Doue D.
(Calf Injury)
Kamara N.
(International duty)
Kvaratskhelia K.
(Muscle Injury)
Marquinhos
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:24. (average 2.1:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Barcelona won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 2.3:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Barcelona won against Paris Saint-Germain?
Barcelona has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paris Saint-Germain won against Barcelona?
Paris Saint-Germain has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barcelona - Paris Saint-Germain were as follows:
16.04.2024
Barcelona
-
Paris Saint-Germain
1:4
10.04.2024
Paris Saint-Germain
-
Barcelona
2:3
Latest results of Barcelona
Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Monaco (21) | PSG (11) | 2 : 2, 2 : 3 |
| 2 | Chelsea (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Galatasaray (20) | Juventus (13) | 2 : 3, 5 : 2 |
| 4 | Liverpool (3) | Bye | |
| 5 | Benfica (24) | Real Madrid (9) | 1 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Manchester City (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Dortmund (17) | Atalanta (15) | 1 : 4, 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bayern Munich (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Qarabag (22) | Newcastle (12) | 2 : 3, 1 : 6 |
| 10 | Barcelona (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Club Brugge KV (19) | Atl. Madrid (14) | 1 : 4, 3 : 3 |
| 12 | Tottenham (4) | Bye | |
| 13 | Bodo/Glimt (23) | Inter (10) | 2 : 1, 3 : 1 |
| 14 | Sporting CP (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Olympiacos Piraeus (18) | Bayer Leverkusen (16) | 0 : 0, 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Arsenal (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | PSG (11) | Chelsea (6) | |
| 2 | Galatasaray (20) | Liverpool (3) | |
| 3 | Real Madrid (9) | Manchester City (8) | |
| 4 | Atalanta (15) | Bayern Munich (2) | |
| 5 | Newcastle (12) | Barcelona (5) | |
| 6 | Atl. Madrid (14) | Tottenham (4) | |
| 7 | Bodo/Glimt (23) | Sporting CP (7) | |
| 8 | Bayer Leverkusen (16) | Arsenal (1) | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
