Paris Saint-Germain vs Flamengo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1 penalties
17/12/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FIFA Intercontinental Cup - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
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indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
italyItalyDAZN Italia
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singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
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switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, M6, M6, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.921.24
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
2311
Shots on target
92
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
103
Passes
89% (704/789)78% (371/473)
Yellow Cards
36
Expected Goals (xG)
1.921.24
xG on target (xGOT)
1.590.83
Total shots
2311
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
65
Shots inside the Box
155
Shots outside the Box
86
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
103
Touches in opposition box
4421
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1615
Passes
89% (704/789)78% (371/473)
Long passes
60% (37/62)48% (31/64)
Passes in final third
79% (148/187)56% (57/102)
Crosses
31% (5/16)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.960.26
Throw-ins
1918
Fouls
1516
Tackles
54% (13/24)63% (22/35)
Duels won
7678
Clearances
2226
Interceptions
1010
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
17
xGOT faced
0.831.59
Goals prevented
-0.170.59

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 20', Jorginho 🟨,
  • 24', Alex Sandro 🟨,
  • 33', Ruiz F. 🟨,
  • 35', Lee Kang-In , Mayulu S. ,
  • 38', 1 - 0, Kvaratskhelia K. ,
  • 44', Vitinha 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 56', Carrascal J. , Pedro ,
  • 62', 1 - 1, Jorginho (Penalty Awarded),
  • 64', Pulgar E. 🟨,
  • 64', Mayulu S. , Barcola B. ,
  • 74', de Arrascaeta G. , Everton ,
  • 75', Jorginho , Niguez S. ,
  • 75', Pulgar E. , de la Cruz N. ,
  • 78', Doue D. , Dembele O. ,
  • 85', Pacho W. 🟨,
  • 90', Kvaratskhelia K. , Mbaye I. ,
  • 90+2', Bruno Henrique , Luiz Araujo ,
  • 90+5', Plata G. 🟨,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 96', Niguez S. 🟨,
  • 105', Ruiz F. , Ndjantou Q. ,
  • 108', Plata G. , Samuel Lino ,
  • 120', Juninho 🟨,
  • Penalties (2 - 1)
  • 1, de la Cruz N. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 1, Vitinha (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Niguez S. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Dembele O. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Pedro (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Mendes N. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Leo Pereira (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Barcola B. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, Luiz Araujo (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Paris Saint-Germain
58.3%
Draw
26.6%
Flamengo
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.7% 24% 20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1% 26.8% 18.3%

Paris Saint-Germain - Flamengo Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.7
(1.69)
3.73
(3.92)
6.56
(4.62)
1%
(6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Paris Saint-Germain - Flamengo?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • TQ, OT - PSG (1.31) (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Users Predictions: Paris Saint-Germain will win (57 of 59 users predict this - 96.61%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 91.99%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Paris Saint-Germain will win (16 of 16 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Neutral location - Ahmad bin Ali Stadium.
    • PSG is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Flamengo is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • PSG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, PSG is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in PSG: Hakimi A. (International duty) Mbaye I. (International duty)
    • There will not play in Flamengo: Allan (Heel Injury) Vina M. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Flamengo: Douglas Telles (Injury)
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
    Latest results of Flamengo
    13.12.2025 Flamengo - Pyramids 2:0
    10.12.2025 Cruz Azul - Flamengo 1:2
    06.12.2025 Mirassol - Flamengo 3:3
    03.12.2025 Flamengo - Ceará 1:0
    29.11.2025 Palmeiras - Flamengo 0:1
    Draw
    2025

    1/8-finals
    1PSGBye
    5Cruz AzulBye
    6ByeFlamengo RJ
    7Al Ahli SCBye
    8PyramidsAuckland City3 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1PSGBye
    3Cruz AzulFlamengo RJ1 : 2
    4Al Ahli SCPyramids1 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1PSGBye
    2Flamengo RJPyramids2 : 0

    Final
    1PSGFlamengo RJ2 : 1