Montpellier vs Paris Saint-Germain – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:4
10/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 33
  • Referee: Vernice M. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Caze TV
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaQQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceDAZN 2, DAZN France
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sport 3
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
indiaIndiaGXR World
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
portugalPortugalSport TV3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 9
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Ligue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.621.50
Ball Possession
33%67%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
48
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
82% (240/291)94% (585/624)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.621.50
xG on target (xGOT)
1.303.41
Total shots
910
Shots on target
48
Shots off target
21
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
67
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
1422
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1114
Passes
82% (240/291)94% (585/624)
Long passes
52% (16/31)71% (20/28)
Passes in final third
70% (43/61)82% (99/121)
Crosses
30% (3/10)0% (0/5)
Expected assists (xA)
0.150.53
Throw-ins
1310
Fouls
1411
Tackles
67% (18/27)72% (13/18)
Duels won
4949
Clearances
1410
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
3.411.30
Goals prevented
-0.59-0.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 39', Beraldo L. 🟨,
  • 42', Ferri J. 🟨,
  • 44', 0 - 1, Mayulu S. , Zaire-Emery W. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 49', 0 - 2, Ramos G. , Mbaye I. (A),
  • 59', 0 - 3, Ramos G. (Pen),
  • 60', Doue D. , Kamara N. ,
  • 64', 1 - 3, Coulibaly T. , Ferri J. (A),
  • 65', 1 - 4, Ramos G. , Tenas A. (A),
  • 67', Tchato E. , Ndollo Bille W. ,
  • 68', Ferri J. , Ndiaye J. ,
  • 68', Barcola B. , Zague Y. ,
  • 84', Nzingoula R. , Dzodic S. ,
  • 84', Chennahi T. , Khazri W. ,
  • 85', Chotard J. , Savanier T. ,

Chances of winning


Montpellier
14.4%
Draw
17%
Paris Saint-Germain
68.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
8.7% 12.7% 78.6%

Montpellier - Paris Saint-Germain Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
6.69
(10.99)
5.6
(7.49)
1.39
(1.21)
5%
(5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
What is the prediction for Montpellier - Paris Saint-Germain?
  • Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Montpellier will win (votes: 4 - 10.5%). PSG will win (votes: 31 - 81.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 7.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 69.3%93.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Montpellier (votes: 1 - 33.3%). PSG (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +1.5 - Montpellier (1.86) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Montpellier is Relegated to Ligue 2
    • PSG is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montpellier won 0.
    • Montpellier has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • PSG has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • PSG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, PSG is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Montpellier: Gueguin A. (Ribs Injury) Issoufou Y. (Injury) Jullien C. (Knee Injury) Maamma O. (International duty) Maksimovic N. (Thigh Injury) Pays N. (Foot Injury) Sagnan M. (Thigh Injury) Sylla I. (Calf Injury)
    • There will not play in PSG: Donnarumma G. (Rest) Hakimi A. (Rest) Kimpembe P. (Leg Injury) Marquinhos (Rest) Mendes N. (Rest) Pacho W. (Rest) Ruiz F. (Rest) Vitinha (Rest)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montpellier won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 16:61. (average 0.8:3.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Montpellier won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 13:25. (average 1.3:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Montpellier - Paris Saint-Germain were as follows:
    23.08.2024 Paris Saint-Germain - Montpellier 6:0
    17.03.2024 Montpellier - Paris Saint-Germain 2:6
    03.11.2023 Paris Saint-Germain - Montpellier 3:0
    01.02.2023 Montpellier - Paris Saint-Germain 1:3
    Latest results of Montpellier
    04.05.2025 Brest - Montpellier 1:0
    27.04.2025 Montpellier - Reims 0:0
    13.04.2025 Angers - Montpellier 2:0
    Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lens15111326:131334
    2PSG15103232:122033
    3Marseille1592435:152029
    4Lille1592429:171229
    5Lyon1473421:15624
    6Rennes1566324:23124
    7Monaco1572626:26023
    8Strasbourg1571725:20522
    9Toulouse1555521:19220
    10Brest1554620:24-419
    11Angers1554613:17-419
    12Nice1552819:27-817
    13Paris FC1544721:26-516
    14Le Havre1536613:21-815
    15Lorient1435618:28-1014
    16Auxerre1533911:21-1012
    17Nantes1525813:24-1111
    18Metz15321015:34-1911

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2