Result
16/03/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 26
- Referee: Turpin C. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Albania | K-Sport 1, SuperSport 3 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 Armenia | Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports |
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 Belgium | DAZN 1, VOOsport World 2 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3 |
 Denmark | TV3 Sport, Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
 France | beIN Sports MENA French 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, DAZN 1, DAZN France |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 India | GXR World |
 Israel | 5 LIVE Israel |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | K Sport 1 |
 Mexico | Caliente TV App, Caliente TV |
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 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 5 Norte |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV4 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 3 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 4 |
 South-america | ESPN 4 South |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | beIN Sports |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Extra |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Tajikistan | Futbol TV |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3 |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.73 | 0.98 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 29 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (555/612) | 85% (347/406) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 78% (68/87) | 75% (73/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (6/15) | 9% (1/11) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (13/20) | 72% (18/25) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 17', 1 - 0, Dembele O. ⚽, Ruiz F. (A),
- 26', Mendes N. 🟨,
- 42', 2 - 0, Mendes N. ⚽, Ruiz F. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 51', 2 - 1, Gouiri A. ⚽, Rabiot A. (A),
- 63', Nadir B. ↓, Greenwood M. ↑,
- 63', Dedic A. ↓, Merlin Q. ↑,
- 63', Luiz Felipe ↓, Lirola P. ↑,
- 64', Zaire-Emery W. ↓, Barcola B. ↑,
- 72', Doue D. ↓, Neves J. ↑,
- 76', 3 - 1, Lirola P. (Own goal), Hakimi A. (A),
- 80', Kvaratskhelia K. ↓, Hernandez L. ↑,
- 80', Dembele O. ↓, Lee Kang-In ↑,
- 84', Rongier V. ↓, Maupay N. ↑,
- 89', Kondogbia G. ↓, Bakola D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Paris Saint-Germain
67.4% | Draw
18.9% | Olympique Marseille
13.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Olympique Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+2%)
Paris Saint-Germain - Olympique Marseille Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.41 ↓
(1.47) |
5.05 ↑
(5.01) |
6.94 ↑
(5.85) |
4.9%
(5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers) Network on : beIN SPORTS
What is the prediction for Paris Saint-Germain - Olympique Marseille?
Users Predictions:
57 users predict this event. PSG will win (votes: 39 - 68.4%). Marseille will win (votes: 8 - 14%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 17.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 56.3% – 80.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches PSG won 4.
- PSG is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches Marseille is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- PSG could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match PSG is indisputable favorite.
- There will not play in PSG: Tenas A.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There will not play in Marseille: Blanco R.
(Ankle Injury)
Harit A.
(Calf Injury)
Hojbjerg P.
(Calf Injury)
Mbemba Ch.
(Injury)
Moumbagna F.
(Knee Injury)
Murillo M.
(Injury)
- Our prediction for today's PSG to win the game is with odds 1.44.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches PSG won 15 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 46:11 (average 2.3:0.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams PSG won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 22:4 (average 2.2:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Paris Saint-Germain won against Olympique Marseille?
Paris Saint-Germain has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Olympique Marseille won against Paris Saint-Germain?
Olympique Marseille has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paris Saint-Germain - Olympique Marseille were as follows:
27.10.2024
Olympique Marseille
-
Paris Saint-Germain
0:3
31.03.2024
Olympique Marseille
-
Paris Saint-Germain
0:2
24.09.2023
Paris Saint-Germain
-
Olympique Marseille
4:0
26.02.2023
Olympique Marseille
-
Paris Saint-Germain
0:3
08.02.2023
Olympique Marseille
-
Paris Saint-Germain
2:1
Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
Latest results of Olympique Marseille
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lyon | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Toulouse | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | PSG | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Strasbourg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Lille | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Lorient | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
| 7 | Marseille | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Monaco | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Nice | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Lens | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Angers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Auxerre | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | Rennes | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 3 |
| 14 | Brest | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | Nantes | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Le Havre | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
| 17 | Paris FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | Metz | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
