Paris Saint-Germain vs Olympique Marseille – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Football French Ligue 1 Paris Saint-Germain - Olympique Marseille
16/03/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 26
  • Referee: Turpin C. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
albaniaAlbaniaK-Sport 1, SuperSport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 4
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 2, Fast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, VOOsport World 2
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Caze TV
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaQQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport 2
franceFrancebeIN Sports MENA French 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, DAZN 1, DAZN France
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
indiaIndiaGXR World
israelIsrael5 LIVE Israel
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoK Sport 1
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
montenegroMontenegroArena Sport 3
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN 5 Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 1
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalSport TV4
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 4
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 4 South
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainbeIN Sports
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Extra
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
tajikistanTajikistanFutbol TV
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.730.98
Ball Possession
60%40%
Goal Attempts
1611
Shots on Goal
52
Shots off Goal
64
Blocked Shots
55
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
55
Shots inside the Box
124
Shots outside the Box
47
Hit the Woodwork
10
Goalkeeper Saves
12
Free Kicks
97
Offsides
44
Fouls
79
Yellow Cards
10
Throw-ins
1216
Touches in the Opposition Box
2914
Passes
91% (555/612)85% (347/406)
Passes in the final third
78% (68/87)75% (73/97)
Crosses
40% (6/15)9% (1/11)
Tackles
65% (13/20)72% (18/25)
Clearances Total
1316
Interceptions
66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 17', 1 - 0, Dembele O. ⚽, Ruiz F. (A),
  • 26', Mendes N. 🟨,
  • 42', 2 - 0, Mendes N. ⚽, Ruiz F. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 51', 2 - 1, Gouiri A. ⚽, Rabiot A. (A),
  • 63', Nadir B. ↓, Greenwood M. ↑,
  • 63', Dedic A. ↓, Merlin Q. ↑,
  • 63', Luiz Felipe ↓, Lirola P. ↑,
  • 64', Zaire-Emery W. ↓, Barcola B. ↑,
  • 72', Doue D. ↓, Neves J. ↑,
  • 76', 3 - 1, Lirola P. (Own goal), Hakimi A. (A),
  • 80', Kvaratskhelia K. ↓, Hernandez L. ↑,
  • 80', Dembele O. ↓, Lee Kang-In ↑,
  • 84', Rongier V. ↓, Maupay N. ↑,
  • 89', Kondogbia G. ↓, Bakola D. ↑,

Chances of winning


Paris Saint-Germain
67.4%		Draw
18.9%		Olympique Marseille
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.7% 19% 16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2% 18.3% 15.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • Olympique Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+2%)
    •

    Paris Saint-Germain - Olympique Marseille Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.41 ↓
    (1.47)    		 5.05 ↑
    (5.01)    		 6.94 ↑
    (5.85)    		 4.9%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

  • Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : beIN SPORTS
    •
    What is the prediction for Paris Saint-Germain - Olympique Marseille?
  • Users Predictions: 57 users predict this event. PSG will win (votes: 39 - 68.4%). Marseille will win (votes: 8 - 14%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 17.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 56.3% – 80.5%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches PSG won 4.
    • PSG is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Marseille is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • PSG could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match PSG is indisputable favorite.
    • There will not play in PSG: Tenas A. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There will not play in Marseille: Blanco R. (Ankle Injury) Harit A. (Calf Injury) Hojbjerg P. (Calf Injury) Mbemba Ch. (Injury) Moumbagna F. (Knee Injury) Murillo M. (Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's PSG to win the game is with odds 1.44.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches PSG won 15 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 46:11 (average 2.3:0.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams PSG won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 22:4 (average 2.2:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paris Saint-Germain - Olympique Marseille were as follows:
    27.10.2024 Olympique Marseille - Paris Saint-Germain 0:3
    31.03.2024 Olympique Marseille - Paris Saint-Germain 0:2
    24.09.2023 Paris Saint-Germain - Olympique Marseille 4:0
    26.02.2023 Olympique Marseille - Paris Saint-Germain 0:3
    08.02.2023 Olympique Marseille - Paris Saint-Germain 2:1
    Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
    11.03.2025 Liverpool - Paris Saint-Germain 0:2 ✺
    08.03.2025 Rennes - Paris Saint-Germain 1:4 ✺
    05.03.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Liverpool 0:1 ✺
    01.03.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Lille 4:1 ✺
    26.02.2025 Stade Briochin - Paris Saint-Germain 0:7 ✺
    Latest results of Olympique Marseille
    08.03.2025 Olympique Marseille - Lens 0:1 ✺
    02.03.2025 Olympique Marseille - Nantes 2:0 ✺
    22.02.2025 Auxerre - Olympique Marseille 3:0 ✺
    15.02.2025 Olympique Marseille - Saint-Étienne 5:1 ✺
    09.02.2025 Angers - Olympique Marseille 0:2 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Auxerre00000:000
    2Le Havre00000:000
    3Lille00000:000
    4Lorient00000:000
    5Metz00000:000
    6Monaco00000:000
    7Nantes00000:000
    8Nice00000:000
    9PSG00000:000
    10Strasbourg00000:000
    11Angers00000:000
    12Brest00000:000
    13Paris FC00000:000
    14Marseille00000:000
    15Toulouse00000:000
    16Lens00000:000
    17Rennes00000:000
    18Lyon00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

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