Result
3:2 penalties
08/01/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super Cup - Final
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football |
Albania | SuperSport 3 |
Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
Armenia | Setanta Sports 2 |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD |
Austria | DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
Azerbaijan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
Denmark | TV3 Sport, Viaplay |
Europe | Setanta Sports 2 Baltic |
Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay |
France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
Germany | DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany |
Italy | Ligue 1+ |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Kenya | Gotv |
Kyrgyzstan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Mexico | FOX One |
Moldova | Setanta Sports 2 |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
North-central-america | ESPN Norte |
Norway | Viaplay |
Peru | Disney+ |
Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
Portugal | Sport TV2 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Slovakia | Voyo |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
South-africa | SuperSport Variety 4 |
South-america | ESPN 2 South |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Tajikistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Turkmenistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine |
United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
Uzbekistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 2.02 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (435/487) | 86% (348/403) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 2.02 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.51 | 2.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (435/487) | 86% (348/403) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (16/39) | 47% (16/34) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (61/84) | 76% (68/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (3/7) | 40% (8/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.91 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (12/14) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.23 | 2.51 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Dembele O. ⚽, Vitinha (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 48', Weah T. 🟨,
- 53', Hojbjerg P. 🟨,
- 63', Zaire-Emery W. 🟨,
- 67', Gouiri A. ↓, Aubameyang P. ↑,
- 67', Paixao I. ↓, Traore H. J. ↑,
- 72', Kvaratskhelia K. ↓, Barcola B. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 1, Greenwood M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 77', Weah T. ↓, Murillo M. ↑,
- 86', Medina F. 🟨,
- 87', 1 - 2, Pacho W. (Own goal),
- 89', Aubameyang P. 🟨,
- 89', Ruiz F. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,
- 89', Zaire-Emery W. ↓, Mayulu S. ↑,
- 90+2', Greenwood M. ↓, O'Riley M. ↑,
- 90+5', 2 - 2, Ramos G. ⚽, Barcola B. (A),
- Penalties (4 - 1)
- 1, Ramos G. (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, O'Riley M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Vitinha (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Traore H. J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Mendes N. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Murillo M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Doue D. (Penalty Awarded),
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/4r3febup
Chances of winning
Paris Saint-Germain 62.6% | Draw 21.4% | Olympique Marseille 16.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Paris Saint-Germain - Olympique Marseille Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.52 ↓ (1.57) |
4.47 ↑ (4.21) |
5.89 ↑ (5.47) |
5.1% (5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Paris Saint-Germain - Olympique Marseille?
Users Predictions:
45 users predict this event. PSG will win (votes: 44 - 97.8%). Marseille will win (votes: 1 - 2.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 93.5% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DC - PSG (1.15) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - PSG (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - PSG (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.25 - PSG (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - PSG (2.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - PSG (1.78) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - PSG (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Paris Saint-Germain will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 17 high ROI users predict this event. PSG (votes: 17 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Neutral location - Jaber Al Ahmad International Stadium.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PSG won 4.
- PSG is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Marseille has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, PSG is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in PSG: Lee Kang-In
(Thigh Injury)
Ndjantou Q.
(Muscle Injury)
Safonov M.
(Broken Hand)
- There will not play in Marseille: Nadir B.
(Red Card)
Vermeeren A.
(Red Card)
- We predict that PSG will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, PSG won 15 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 45:11. (average 2.3:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, PSG won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 25:5. (average 2.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Paris Saint-Germain won against Olympique Marseille?
Paris Saint-Germain has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Olympique Marseille won against Paris Saint-Germain?
Olympique Marseille has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paris Saint-Germain - Olympique Marseille were as follows:
22.09.2025
Olympique Marseille
-
Paris Saint-Germain
1:0
27.10.2024
Olympique Marseille
-
Paris Saint-Germain
0:3
31.03.2024
Olympique Marseille
-
Paris Saint-Germain
0:2
24.09.2023
Paris Saint-Germain
-
Olympique Marseille
4:0
26.02.2023
Olympique Marseille
-
Paris Saint-Germain
0:3
Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
Latest results of Olympique Marseille