Result
3:1
23/11/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 12
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Pastor N. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 51', 2 - 0, Gonzalez V. ⚽,
- 77', 2 - 1, El Hilali A. ⚽,
- 82', Ramirez de Arroba A. 🟥,
- 83', 3 - 1, Ezequiel B. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Parla 41.6% | Draw 29.6% | Carabanchel 28.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Parla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Parla's performance.Carabanchel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carabanchel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parla than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Parla that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carabanchel than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carabanchel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Parla - Carabanchel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.38 ↓ (2.55) |
3.35 ↑ (3) |
3.44 ↑ (2.6) |
1% (11.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Parla - Carabanchel?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Carabanchel (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Carabanchel (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Parla won 2.
- Recent form of Parla has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Carabanchel has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Parla may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Parla won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 0.7:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Parla won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Parla won against Carabanchel?
Parla has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carabanchel won against Parla?
Carabanchel has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Parla - Carabanchel were as follows:
27.04.2025
Carabanchel
-
Parla
2:2
15.12.2024
Parla
-
Carabanchel
1:0
Latest results of Carabanchel
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Madrid C | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 66:36 | 30 | 53 |
| 2 | Las Rozas | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 47:29 | 18 | 50 |
| 3 | CD Mostoles | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 43:31 | 12 | 48 |
| 4 | AD Torrejon | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 44:37 | 7 | 45 |
| 5 | Leganes B | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 49:24 | 25 | 44 |
| 6 | Trival Valderas | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 37:31 | 6 | 43 |
| 7 | San Sebastian Reyes B | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 34:29 | 5 | 37 |
| 8 | Pozuelo de Alarcon | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 26:24 | 2 | 37 |
| 9 | Union Adarve | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 32:36 | -4 | 37 |
| 10 | Mexico FC | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 34:34 | 0 | 36 |
| 11 | Galapagar | 27 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 28:35 | -7 | 36 |
| 12 | Villaverde San Andres | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 25:30 | -5 | 35 |
| 13 | Alcorcon B | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 24:28 | -4 | 32 |
| 14 | Siello | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 26:38 | -12 | 29 |
| 15 | Tres Cantos | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 24:47 | -23 | 27 |
| 16 | Carabanchel | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 21:27 | -6 | 27 |
| 17 | Parla | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 22:46 | -24 | 25 |
| 18 | Ciudad de Madrid | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 27:47 | -20 | 22 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: )
Relegation