Empoli vs Parma – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie A Empoli - Parma
Result
2:1
10/05/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 36
  • Referee: Fabbri M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 3, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 1
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 2
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
europeEuropeSetanta Sports 1 Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
hungaryHungaryMatch 4, Net4+
indiaIndiaGXR World
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
israelIsraelONE Sport 2
italyItalyDAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Uno
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoART Sport 1
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 1
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesICE Sports, Medianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 1
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalSport TV4
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
tajikistanTajikistanFutbol TV, Setanta Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesAbu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com, Paramount+
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 1
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.530.34
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
153
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
40
Passes
67% (212/315)70% (265/378)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.530.34
xG on target (xGOT)
1.130.09
Total shots
153
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
70
Shots inside the Box
62
Shots outside the Box
91
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
40
Touches in opposition box
1311
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1621
Passes
67% (212/315)70% (265/378)
Long passes
31% (23/75)38% (28/74)
Passes in final third
49% (50/103)43% (43/100)
Crosses
31% (4/13)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.250.27
Throw-ins
2225
Fouls
2116
Tackles
67% (10/15)59% (10/17)
Duels won
6373
Clearances
3522
Interceptions
63
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.091.13
Goals prevented
-0.91-0.87

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Fazzini J. , Henderson L. (A),
  • 22', Valenti L. 🟨,
  • 31', Valenti L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 60', Ondrejka J. , Camara D. ,
  • 66', Pellegrino M. , Djuric M. ,
  • 66', Sohm S. , Hernani ,
  • 71', Grassi A. , Anjorin F. ,
  • 73', Cacace L. 🟨,
  • 73', 1 - 1, Djuric M. , Hernani (A),
  • 77', Cacace L. , Sambia J. ,
  • 77', Bonny A. , Balogh B. ,
  • 84', Esposito Se. , Konate I. ,
  • 84', Henderson L. , Solbakken O. ,
  • 86', 2 - 1, Anjorin F. , Konate I. (A),
  • 88', Viti M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Empoli
42.3%
Draw
30.3%
Parma
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.9% 29% 33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5% 31% 30.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Empoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Parma might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parma than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • Empoli - Parma Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.26
    (2.54)
    3.16
    (3.32)
    3.49
    (2.91)
    4.5%
    (3.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Empoli - Parma?
  • Users Predictions: 57 users predict this event. Empoli will win (votes: 38 - 66.7%). Parma will win (votes: 9 - 15.8%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 17.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Empoli: 54.5%78.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Empoli will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Empoli won 2.
    • Empoli is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Parma has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Empoli might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Empoli: Haas N. (Knee Injury) Kouame C. (Knee Injury) Maleh Y. (Knee Injury) Pellegri P. (Knee Injury) Sazonov S. (Knee Injury) Zurkowski S. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Parma: Bernabe A. (Thigh Injury) Cancellieri M. (Thigh Injury) Charpentier G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Estevez N. (Thigh Injury) Kowalski M. (Knee Injury) Mihaila V. (Thigh Injury) Osorio Y. (Surgery) Vogliacco A. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Empoli won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:9. (average 1.9:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Empoli won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Empoli - Parma were as follows:
    27.10.2024 Parma - Empoli 1:1
    Latest results of Empoli
    04.05.2025 Empoli - Lazio 0:1
    27.04.2025 Fiorentina - Empoli 2:1
    24.04.2025 Bologna - Empoli 2:1
    20.04.2025 Empoli - Venezia 2:2
    14.04.2025 Napoli - Empoli 3:0
    Latest results of Parma
    03.05.2025 Parma - Como 0:1
    28.04.2025 Lazio - Parma 2:2
    23.04.2025 Parma - Juventus 1:0
    13.04.2025 Fiorentina - Parma 0:0
    05.04.2025 Parma - Inter Milan 2:2
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lecce00000:000
    2Bologna00000:000
    3Pisa00000:000
    4Cremonese00000:000
    5Genoa00000:000
    6Napoli00000:000
    7Udinese00000:000
    8Sassuolo00000:000
    9AS Roma00000:000
    10Inter00000:000
    11Juventus00000:000
    12Fiorentina00000:000
    13AC Milan00000:000
    14Atalanta00000:000
    15Lazio00000:000
    16Cagliari00000:000
    17Torino00000:000
    18Parma00000:000
    19Verona00000:000
    20Como00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B