Parma vs Milan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
08/11/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 11
  • Referee: Di Bello M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football, SuperSport Maximo 360
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 1, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 2
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
europeEuropeSetanta Sports 2 Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
franceFranceDAZN France
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryMatch 4
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyDAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Uno
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports 2
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
kuwaitKuwaitShasha
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 2
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 2
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean, ESPN Norte
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalSport TV4
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
slovakiaSlovakiaSport 1
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Football
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South, ESPN South
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 2
thailandThailandTrue ID, True Premier Football 3
tunisiaTunisiaDiwan Sport
turkeyTurkeyS Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 2
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, DAZN, DAZN UK, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 2
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.841.99
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
86% (355/414)88% (489/554)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.841.99
xG on target (xGOT)
1.581.42
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
2134
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1014
Passes
86% (355/414)88% (489/554)
Long passes
40% (12/30)51% (21/41)
Passes in final third
69% (59/85)80% (124/155)
Crosses
22% (5/23)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.691.14
Throw-ins
1715
Fouls
1410
Tackles
71% (5/7)67% (6/9)
Duels won
3241
Clearances
2622
Interceptions
84
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
1.421.58
Goals prevented
-0.58-0.42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Saelemaekers A. , Nkunku C. (A),
  • 25', 0 - 2, Leao R. (Pen),
  • 45+1', 1 - 2, Bernabe A. , Britschgi S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Ndiaye A. , Troilo M. ,
  • 60', Nkunku C. , Loftus-Cheek R. ,
  • 62', 2 - 2, Del Prato E. , Britschgi S. (A),
  • 69', Lovik M. , Valeri E. ,
  • 70', Modric L. 🟨,
  • 71', Estupinan P. , Bartesaghi D. ,
  • 71', Ricci S. , Pulisic C. ,
  • 80', Bernabe A. , Hernani ,
  • 86', Sorensen O. 🟨,
  • 87', De Winter K. , Athekame Z. ,
  • 90+2', Cutrone P. , Cremaschi B. ,

Chances of winning


Parma
14.9%
Draw
23.8%
Milan
61.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18% 25.1% 56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.6% 24.5% 58.3%

Parma - Milan Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
6.45
(5.26)
4.05
(3.77)
1.58
(1.66)
3.4%
(5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Parma - Milan?
  • Users Predictions: 56 users predict this event. Parma will win (votes: 2 - 3.6%). Milan will win (votes: 41 - 73.2%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 23.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Milan: 61.6%84.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Milan (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Parma won 1.
    • Recent form of Parma has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Milan is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Parma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Milan is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Parma: Almqvist P. (Thigh Injury) Circati A. (Injury) Estevez N. (Injury) Frigan M. (Knee Injury) Ondrejka J. (Broken ankle) Ordonez C. (Red Card) Oristanio G. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Milan: Gimenez S. (Ankle Injury) Rabiot A. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Parma won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:33. (average 1.6:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Parma won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Parma - Milan were as follows:
    26.01.2025 Milan - Parma 3:2
    24.08.2024 Parma - Milan 2:1
    Latest results of Parma
    02.11.2025 Parma - Bologna 1:3
    29.10.2025 Roma - Parma 2:1
    25.10.2025 Parma - Como 0:0
    19.10.2025 Genoa - Parma 0:0
    04.10.2025 Parma - Lecce 0:1
    Latest results of Milan
    02.11.2025 Milan - Roma 1:0
    28.10.2025 Atalanta - Milan 1:1
    24.10.2025 Milan - Pisa 2:2
    19.10.2025 Milan - Fiorentina 2:1
    05.10.2025 Juventus - Milan 0:0
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter15110434:142033
    2AC Milan1595124:131132
    3Napoli15101422:13931
    4AS Roma15100516:8830
    5Juventus1575319:14526
    6Bologna1574423:131025
    7Como1566319:12724
    8Lazio1564517:11622
    9Sassuolo1563621:19221
    10Udinese1563616:22-621
    11Cremonese1555518:18020
    12Atalanta1547419:18119
    13Torino1545615:26-1117
    14Lecce1544711:19-816
    15Cagliari1535715:21-614
    16Genoa1535716:23-714
    17Parma1535710:18-814
    18Verona1526713:22-912
    19Pisa1517710:20-1010
    20Fiorentina1506912:26-146

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B