Milan vs Parma – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
22/02/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 26
  • Referee: Piccinini M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 3, DStv Now, Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App, ZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
angolaAngolaZ Sports 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3, ESPN 4, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaDAZN
boliviaBoliviaESPN 3, ESPN 4
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, FuboTV, TLN, VIVA
chileChileDisney+, ESPN 3
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 3, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicOneplay, Sport 1, Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
ecuadorEcuadorESPN 3, ESPN 4
europeEuropeGo3 Sport 2 Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
franceFranceDAZN France
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryMatch 4
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItalyDAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Uno
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports
kosovoKosovoART Sport 1
kuwaitKuwaitShasha
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 3
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayVG+
paraguayParaguayESPN 3, ESPN 4
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN 3, ESPN 4, ESPN
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalSport TV4
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 4
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Football
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
thailandThailandTrue ID, True Premier Football 3
tunisiaTunisiaDiwan Sport
turkeyTurkeyS Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, FOX One, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+, SiriusXM FC
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN 3, ESPN 4, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab
worldWorldStarzplay Sports app

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.330.45
Ball possession
66%34%
Total shots
259
Shots on target
63
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
52
Passes
92% (579/627)81% (257/319)
Yellow cards
21
Expected goals (xG)
1.330.45
xG on target (xGOT)
0.490.82
Total shots
259
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
103
Blocked shots
93
Shots inside the box
175
Shots outside the box
84
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
01
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
6212
Accurate through passes
40
Offsides
11
Free kicks
1013
Passes
92% (579/627)81% (257/319)
Long passes
69% (20/29)34% (19/56)
Passes in final third
89% (261/292)66% (40/61)
Crosses
32% (13/41)21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.950.31
Throw ins
1611
Fouls
1310
Tackles
50% (5/10)40% (6/15)
Duels won
4044
Clearances
1232
Interceptions
129
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
25
xGOT faced
0.820.49
Goals prevented
-0.180.49

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 11', Loftus-Cheek R. , Jashari A. ,
  • 32', Saelemaekers A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 48', Troilo M. 🟨,
  • 52', Leao R. 🟨,
  • 59', Ordonez C. , Sorensen O. ,
  • 59', Bernabe A. , Nicolussi Caviglia H. ,
  • 62', Estupinan P. , Pavlovic S. ,
  • 62', Pulisic C. , Fullkrug N. ,
  • 76', Strefezza G. , Ondrejka J. ,
  • 80', 0 - 1, Troilo M. , Valeri E. (A),
  • 85', Jashari A. , Nkunku C. ,
  • 85', Tomori F. , Athekame Z. ,
  • 90+3', Pellegrino M. , Estevez N. ,

Chances of winning


Milan
72.1%
Draw
18%
Parma
9.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.8% 18.8% 10.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.6% 17.6% 9.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parma than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Milan - Parma Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.33
    (1.33)
    5.28
    (5.03)
    9.67
    (9.02)
    4.5%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Milan - Parma?
  • Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Milan will win (votes: 29 - 82.9%). Parma will win (votes: 1 - 2.9%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Milan: 70.4%95.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 6.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Parma (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 4 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2 - Parma (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Milan (1.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Milan will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Milan (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Parma (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Milan won 2.
    • Milan is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Parma's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Milan is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Milan: Gimenez S. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Parma: Circati A. (Yellow Cards) Frigan M. (Knee Injury) Suzuki Z. (Finger Injury)
    • There are questionable in Parma: Ndiaye A. (Groin Injury)
    • We predict that Milan will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Milan won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 35:26. (average 2.2:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Milan won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 17:12. (average 2.4:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Milan - Parma were as follows:
    08.11.2025 Parma - Milan 2:2
    26.01.2025 Milan - Parma 3:2
    24.08.2024 Parma - Milan 2:1
    Latest results of Milan
    18.02.2026 Milan - Como 1:1
    13.02.2026 Pisa - Milan 1:2
    03.02.2026 Bologna - Milan 0:3
    25.01.2026 Roma - Milan 1:1
    18.01.2026 Milan - Lecce 1:0
    Latest results of Parma
    15.02.2026 Parma - Verona 2:1
    08.02.2026 Bologna - Parma 0:1
    01.02.2026 Parma - Juventus 1:4
    25.01.2026 Atalanta - Parma 4:0
    18.01.2026 Parma - Genoa 0:0
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter26211462:214164
    2AC Milan26159241:202154
    3Napoli26155639:271250
    4AS Roma26162834:161850
    5Juventus26137643:251846
    6Como26129541:192245
    7Atalanta26129536:221445
    8Bologna261061035:32336
    9Sassuolo261051132:35-335
    10Lazio26810826:25134
    11Udinese26951228:39-1132
    12Parma26881019:31-1232
    13Cagliari26781128:35-729
    14Genoa26691132:37-527
    15Torino26761325:47-2227
    16Fiorentina26591230:39-924
    17Cremonese26591221:36-1524
    18Lecce26661417:33-1624
    19Pisa261121320:43-2315
    20Verona26291519:46-2715

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B