Result
2:5
14/09/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 8
- Referee: Trifkovic D. (Srb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.43 | 1.89 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (269/353) | 82% (372/451) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.43 | 1.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.16 | 3.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (269/353) | 82% (372/451) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (21/46) | 51% (25/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (76/117) | 73% (88/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 44% (4/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 1.39 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 50% (8/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.19 | 2.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.81 | 0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 21', 0 - 1, Simic N. ⚽, Vukotic M. (A),
- 37', 0 - 2, Milosevic J. ⚽, Jurcevic M. (A),
- 42', Pavkovic D. ↓, Osei K. B. ↑,
- 43', Kolaric D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 3)
- 55', Ebuka ↓, Ramirez B. ↑,
- 59', Milosevic J. 🟨,
- 64', 0 - 3, Jurcevic M. ⚽,
- 64', Kostic B. ↓, Natcho B. ↑,
- 64', Dragojevic V. ↓, Ugresic O. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 3, Tomovic S. (Pen),
- 71', 1 - 4, Vukotic M. ⚽,
- 75', Jurcevic M. ↓, Stojkovic A. ↑,
- 75', Milosevic J. ↓, Kostic A. ↑,
- 78', 2 - 4, Osei K. B. ⚽,
- 80', Babic I. ↓, Stojanovic S. ↑,
- 80', Sekulic B. ↓, Subotic L. ↑,
- 90', Vukotic M. ↓, Zahid G. ↑,
- 90', 2 - 5, Kostic A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Spartak Subotica
9.6% | Draw
15.4% | Partizan
75% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spartak Subotica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Spartak Subotica's form might have worsened.Partizan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Partizan's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Subotica than the current prediction. (+10.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Spartak Subotica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Partizan than the current prediction. (-16.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Partizan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Spartak Subotica - Partizan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
10.77 ↑
(4.55) |
6.67 ↑
(4.05) |
1.37 ↓
(1.6) |
-2.8%
(9.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Spartak Subotica - Partizan?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Spartak Subotica (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Partizan (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Users Predictions:
Partizan will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 in the zone Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spartak Subotica won 1.
- Spartak Subotica has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Partizan is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Partizan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Partizan is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Spartak Subotica won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 17:37. (average 0.9:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Spartak Subotica won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Spartak Subotica won against Partizan?
Spartak Subotica has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Partizan won against Spartak Subotica?
Partizan has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Spartak Subotica - Partizan were as follows:
01.02.2025
Partizan
-
Spartak Subotica
2:2
12.12.2024
Spartak Subotica
-
Partizan
2:1
30.03.2024
Partizan
-
Spartak Subotica
1:0
20.10.2023
Spartak Subotica
-
Partizan
0:3
19.02.2023
Spartak Subotica
-
Partizan
1:2
Latest results of Spartak Subotica
Latest results of Partizan
Serbian Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Partizan | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 27:10 | 17 | 22 |
| 2 | Crvena zvezda | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 30:5 | 25 | 21 |
| 3 | Vojvodina | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15:7 | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Novi Pazar | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:13 | 1 | 15 |
| 5 | Radnicki 1923 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 13 |
| 6 | Cukaricki | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 13 |
| 7 | Zeleznicar Pancevo | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 8 | OFK Beograd | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 13 |
| 9 | TSC | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 11 |
| 10 | Javor | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 |
| 11 | Radnik | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | Mladost | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 | IMT Novi Beograd | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10:21 | -11 | 10 |
| 14 | Radnicki Nis | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13:16 | -3 | 8 |
| 15 | Napredak | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8:17 | -9 | 7 |
| 16 | Sp. Subotica | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | -8 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: )
Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )
