Pasaia vs Derio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Pasaia - Derio
Result
2:2
30/11/2024 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Fernandez A. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 52', 0 - 2, Fernandez A. ,
  • 84', 1 - 2, ,
  • 87', 2 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Pasaia
39.9%
Draw
29.3%
Derio
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.6% 27.5% 24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51% 25.7% 23.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pasaia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pasaia's form might have worsened.
  • Derio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Derio's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pasaia than the current prediction. (+11.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pasaia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derio than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Derio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Pasaia - Derio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.27
    (1.92)
    3.09
    (3.32)
    2.94
    (3.66)
    10.4%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pasaia - Derio were as follows:
    27.03.2024 Derio - Pasaia 1:0
    11.11.2023 Pasaia - Derio 0:3
    Latest results of Pasaia
    24.11.2024 Santurtzi - Pasaia 2:2
    16.11.2024 Pasaia - Beasain 4:1
    09.11.2024 Pasaia - Padura 3:2
    01.11.2024 San Ignacio - Pasaia 0:1
    26.10.2024 Pasaia - Basconia 1:0
    Latest results of Derio
    23.11.2024 Derio - San Ignacio 1:0
    17.11.2024 Basconia - Derio 2:0
    09.11.2024 Derio - Leioa 0:1
    01.11.2024 Aretxabaleta - Derio 0:1
    20.10.2024 Portugalete - Derio 1:0
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
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    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
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    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2