Result
2:1
24/12/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Thai League 1 - Round 13
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
 Thailand | AIS PLAY |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.06 | 0.85 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (246/319) | 81% (297/366) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.06 | 0.85 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.29 | 1.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (246/319) | 81% (297/366) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (25/51) | 28% (11/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (55/99) | 71% (59/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (2/6) | 19% (5/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.55 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (18/22) | 89% (16/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.92 | 2.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 22', Kaman K. 🟨,
- 23', 1 - 0, Doi T. ⚽, Jantawong P. (A),
- 38', Tongkiri C. 🟨,
- 44', Mara M. 🟨,
- 45+1', Tahrat M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Kaman K. ↓, Yooyen S. ↑,
- 46', Jantawong P. ↓, Songkrasin C. ↑,
- 46', Notchaiya P. ↓, Liorungrueangkit P. ↑,
- 46', Ewerton ↓, Oyarzun A. ↑,
- 52', 1 - 1, Bardanca ⚽, Oyarzun A. (A),
- 69', Tahrat M. ↓, Fudsuparp P. ↑,
- 72', Doi T. ↓, Phonsan S. ↑,
- 72', 2 - 1, Panya E. ⚽, Phonsan S. (A),
- 80', Tamma C. ↓, Jamnongwat W. ↑,
- 81', Samphaodi C. 🟨,
- 83', Phuthawchueak K. 🟨,
- 83', (Penalty Awarded),
- 90', Ratniyorm S. 🟨,
- 90+5', Tongkiri C. ↓, Puethong T. ↑,
- 90+6', Liorungrueangkit P. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Pathum United
62.7% | Draw
21% | Kanchanaburi
16.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pathum United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Kanchanaburi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pathum United than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pathum United that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kanchanaburi than the current prediction. (+2%)
Pathum United - Kanchanaburi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.46 ↑
(1.46) |
4.36 ↑
(4.18) |
5.64 ↑
(5.4) |
9%
(11.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Pathum United - Kanchanaburi?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Pathum United will win (votes: 9 - 90%). Kanchanaburi will win (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pathum United: 71.4% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.25 - Pathum United (1.84) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Pathum United will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Pathum United (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Kanchanaburi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Pathum United is the clear favorite.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Pathum United won against Kanchanaburi?
Pathum United has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kanchanaburi won against Pathum United?
Kanchanaburi has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pathum United - Kanchanaburi were as follows:
Latest results of Pathum United
Latest results of Kanchanaburi
Thai League 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Buriram | 24 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 67:21 | 46 | 62 |
| 2 | Port MTI FC | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 48:21 | 27 | 47 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 38:23 | 15 | 43 |
| 4 | Bangkok Utd | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 34:22 | 12 | 42 |
| 5 | Pathum United | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 38:28 | 10 | 41 |
| 6 | Prachuap | 25 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 32:30 | 2 | 36 |
| 7 | Rayong FC | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 36:33 | 3 | 32 |
| 8 | Ayutthaya Utd | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 31:35 | -4 | 32 |
| 9 | Chonburi | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 30:35 | -5 | 31 |
| 10 | Chiangrai Utd | 24 | 6 | 11 | 7 | 30:34 | -4 | 29 |
| 11 | Uthai Thani | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 26 |
| 12 | Sukhothai | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 18:36 | -18 | 24 |
| 13 | Lamphun Warrior | 25 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 30:43 | -13 | 23 |
| 14 | Kanchanaburi | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 26:46 | -20 | 22 |
| 15 | Muang Thong Utd | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22:46 | -24 | 18 |
| 16 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 16:39 | -23 | 17 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Thai League 2
