FBC Melgar vs Patronato Parana – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Libertadores FBC Melgar - Patronato Parana
Result
5:0
06/06/2023 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 5
  • Referee: Arleu B. (Bra)

Highlights

Chances of winning


FBC Melgar
58.3%
Draw
24.8%
Patronato Parana
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.7% 27% 20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1% 26.8% 20.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • FBC Melgar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in FBC Melgar's performance.
  • Patronato Parana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with FBC Melgar that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • FBC Melgar - Patronato Parana Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (1.78)
    3.74
    (3.48)
    5.52
    (4.6)
    6.8%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for FBC Melgar - Patronato Parana?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Melgar will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Patronato will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Melgar: 31.2%83%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Patronato could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Melgar have a series of home games.
    • In this match Melgar is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Melgar won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between FBC Melgar - Patronato Parana were as follows:
    04.05.2023 Patronato Parana - FBC Melgar 4:1
    Latest results of FBC Melgar
    Latest results of Patronato Parana
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Atl. NacionalSao Paulo1 : 2, 0 : 0
    2Botafogo RJLDU Quito0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3Libertad AsuncionRiver Plate1 : 2, 0 : 0
    4U. de DeportesPalmeiras0 : 0, 0 : 4
    5FortalezaVelez Sarsfield0 : 2, 0 : 0
    6PenarolRacing Club1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Cerro PortenoEstudiantes L.P.0 : 0, 0 : 1
    8Flamengo RJInternacional2 : 0, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Sao PauloLDU Quito
    2River PlatePalmeiras
    3Velez SarsfieldRacing Club
    4Estudiantes L.P.Flamengo RJ