Result
1:0
27/04/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 12
- Referee: Santos B. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.95 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (257/328) | 83% (379/456) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.95 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (257/328) | 83% (379/456) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (19/53) | 50% (29/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (55/94) | 72% (79/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 33% (5/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.58 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.83 | -0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Salazar A. ↓, Ramos Rodriguez C. I. ↑,
- 46', Guzman L. ↓, Erustes P. ↑,
- 47', 1 - 0, Da Silva B. ⚽,
- 56', Erustes P. 🟨,
- 63', Zegarra M. ↓, Cuesta B. ↑,
- 67', Olivares C. ↓, Graneros A. ↑,
- 69', Ramos Rodriguez C. I. 🟨,
- 69', Torrejon C. 🟨,
- 72', Cabanillas N. ↓, D'Arrigo J. ↑,
- 74', Sandoval K. ↓, Sinisterra J. ↑,
- 84', Quagliata N. ↓, Caceres J. ↑,
- 84', Lazo M. ↓, Ramos A. ↑,
- 86', Gonzalez A. ↓, Garrafa Tapia I. A. ↑,
- 90+4', Graneros A. 🟨,
- 90+9', Jesus Alcantar 🟨,
- 90+11', D'Arrigo J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Garcilaso
36.4% | Draw
30.5% | FBC Melgar
33.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Garcilaso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Deportivo Garcilaso - FBC Melgar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.53 ↑
(2.51) |
3.05 ↓
(3.16) |
2.79 ↑
(2.75) |
8.2%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Deportivo Garcilaso - FBC Melgar?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Melgar will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Garcilaso won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Melgar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Melgar: Bordacahar C.
(Knee Injury)
Orzan H.
(Injury)
Zanelatto F.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Deportivo Garcilaso: Arancibia F.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Garcilaso won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:10. (average 1.8:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Garcilaso won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Garcilaso won against FBC Melgar?
Deportivo Garcilaso has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has FBC Melgar won against Deportivo Garcilaso?
FBC Melgar has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Garcilaso - FBC Melgar were as follows:
18.09.2025
Deportivo Garcilaso
-
FBC Melgar
1:1
18.04.2025
FBC Melgar
-
Deportivo Garcilaso
1:2
03.11.2024
FBC Melgar
-
Deportivo Garcilaso
1:1
25.05.2024
Deportivo Garcilaso
-
FBC Melgar
1:3
01.07.2023
Deportivo Garcilaso
-
FBC Melgar
2:2
Latest results of Deportivo Garcilaso
Latest results of FBC Melgar
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 22:5 | 17 | 29 |
| 2 | Los Chankas | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 21:14 | 7 | 29 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 26:16 | 10 | 23 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 21 |
| 5 | Comerciantes Unidos | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 17:15 | 2 | 19 |
| 6 | Cusco | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 19 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18:16 | 2 | 17 |
| 8 | Cajamarca | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 18:18 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 | Moquegua | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 16 |
| 10 | Juan Pablo II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 18:27 | -9 | 15 |
| 11 | Sporting Cristal | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 | Alianza Atl | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 14 |
| 13 | AD Tarma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 13 |
| 14 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12:16 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 | Sport Huancayo | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 12 |
| 16 | Sport Boys | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 12 |
| 17 | Grau | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9:14 | -5 | 10 |
| 18 | FC Cajamarca | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 13:22 | -9 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
