Patronato Parana vs San Miguel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Primera Nacional Patronato Parana - San Miguel
Result
2:1
19/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Nacional - Round 15
  • Referee: Macheroni M. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
87
Shots on target
42
Corner Kicks
25
Yellow Cards
11
Total shots
87
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
45
Corner Kicks
25
Goalkeeper Saves
12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 39', 1 - 0, Castro F. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Lavezzi A. , Nasta B. ,
  • 46', Ferrero J. , Salto C. ,
  • 50', 🟨,
  • 54', Salto C. 🟨,
  • 64', 1 - 1, Nasta B. ,
  • 66', Pereyra V. L. , Sombra A. ,
  • 71', 2 - 1, Castro F. ,
  • 73', Parnisari E. , Rojas M. ,
  • 74', Sena F. , Sosa D. ,
  • 76', Gallucci S. , Picco A. R. ,
  • 77', Castro F. , Diaz F. N. ,
  • 81', Juarez J. , Almada A. ,

Chances of winning


Patronato Parana
33.8%
Draw
32.9%
San Miguel
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42% 29.7% 28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3% 28.8% 27.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Patronato Parana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Patronato Parana's form might have worsened.
  • San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Patronato Parana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Miguel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Patronato Parana - San Miguel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.75
    (2.23)
    2.84
    (3.15)
    2.78
    (3.3)
    7.5%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Patronato Parana - San Miguel?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Patronato will win (votes: 12 - 75%). San Miguel will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Patronato: 53.8%96.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Patronato Parana will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Patronato won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Patronato won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Patronato Parana - San Miguel were as follows:
    02.09.2024 San Miguel - Patronato Parana 2:4
    08.05.2024 Patronato Parana - San Miguel 0:1
    Latest results of Patronato Parana
    Latest results of San Miguel
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2025

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Martin T24109522:16639
    2Atletico Atlanta23109421:15639
    3Deportivo Madryn23910427:19837
    4Gimnasia y Tiro2499622:14836
    5San Miguel2399522:15736
    6Tristan Suarez24812421:16536
    7Patronato2498727:23435
    8Deportivo Maipu2388722:21132
    9Racing Cordoba2379729:30-130
    10Colegiales24861014:19-530
    11Los Andes24771023:24-128
    12Quilmes2269722:20227
    13Almagro2469917:21-427
    14All Boys24511819:21-226
    15Ferro2368915:22-726
    16Club A. Guemes23413619:22-325
    17Alvarado2249913:22-921
    18Arsenal Sarandi23391118:33-1518


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Chacarita Juniors24127532:171543
    2Gimnasia Jujuy231110224:111343
    3Gimnasia Mendoza221010222:111140
    4Deportivo Moron23109425:131239
    5Estudiantes Rio Cuarto23911323:14938
    6Temperley23108522:17538
    7Chaco For Ever23114825:18737
    8CA Estudiantes24106823:18536
    9CA Mitre2387817:16131
    10Agropecuario2387826:27-131
    11Def. de Belgrano2379718:17130
    12Nueva Chicago2378821:21029
    13Colon Santa Fe23831220:25-527
    14San Telmo2369820:26-627
    15Central Norte23741220:29-925
    16Almirante Brown23491016:26-1021
    17Talleres (R.E)2425179:28-1911
    18Defensores Unidos2318149:38-2911

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation