Result
2:1
19/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 15
- Referee: Macheroni M. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TyC Sports Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 39', 1 - 0, Castro F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Lavezzi A. ↓, Nasta B. ↑,
- 46', Ferrero J. ↓, Salto C. ↑,
- 50', 🟨,
- 54', Salto C. 🟨,
- 64', 1 - 1, Nasta B. ⚽,
- 66', Pereyra V. L. ↓, Sombra A. ↑,
- 71', 2 - 1, Castro F. ⚽,
- 73', Parnisari E. ↓, Rojas M. ↑,
- 74', Sena F. ↓, Sosa D. ↑,
- 76', Gallucci S. ↓, Picco A. R. ↑,
- 77', Castro F. ↓, Diaz F. N. ↑,
- 81', Juarez J. ↓, Almada A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Patronato Parana
33.8% | Draw
32.9% | San Miguel
33.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Patronato Parana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Patronato Parana's form might have worsened.San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (+9.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Patronato Parana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Miguel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Patronato Parana - San Miguel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.75 ↑
(2.23) |
2.84 ↓
(3.15) |
2.78 ↓
(3.3) |
7.5%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Patronato Parana - San Miguel?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Patronato will win (votes: 12 - 75%). San Miguel will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Patronato: 53.8% – 96.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Patronato Parana will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Patronato won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Patronato won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Patronato Parana won against San Miguel?
Patronato Parana has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Miguel won against Patronato Parana?
San Miguel has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Patronato Parana - San Miguel were as follows:
02.09.2024
San Miguel
-
Patronato Parana
2:4
08.05.2024
Patronato Parana
-
San Miguel
0:1
Latest results of Patronato Parana
Latest results of San Miguel
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2025Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportivo Madryn | 31 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 43:26 | 17 | 56 |
| 2 | Atletico Atlanta | 31 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 28:23 | 5 | 51 |
| 3 | San Miguel | 31 | 12 | 12 | 7 | 30:25 | 5 | 48 |
| 4 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 30:18 | 12 | 47 |
| 5 | San Martin T | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 29:25 | 4 | 47 |
| 6 | Tristan Suarez | 31 | 10 | 16 | 5 | 28:21 | 7 | 46 |
| 7 | Patronato | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 30:25 | 5 | 46 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 28:27 | 1 | 42 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 28:26 | 2 | 40 |
| 10 | Racing Cordoba | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 35:39 | -4 | 38 |
| 11 | Colegiales | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 21:25 | -4 | 38 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 29:30 | -1 | 36 |
| 13 | All Boys | 31 | 7 | 15 | 9 | 23:25 | -2 | 36 |
| 14 | Almagro | 31 | 7 | 13 | 11 | 24:29 | -5 | 34 |
| 15 | Club A. Guemes | 31 | 6 | 15 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 33 |
| 16 | Ferro | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 19:32 | -13 | 32 |
| 17 | Arsenal Sarandi | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 31:43 | -12 | 31 |
| 18 | Alvarado | 31 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 17:28 | -11 | 29 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 30 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 31:15 | 16 | 56 |
| 2 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 31 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 32:18 | 14 | 56 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 31 | 14 | 12 | 5 | 32:15 | 17 | 54 |
| 4 | Deportivo Moron | 31 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 32:18 | 14 | 53 |
| 5 | CA Estudiantes | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 36:20 | 16 | 52 |
| 6 | Temperley | 31 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 26:19 | 7 | 51 |
| 7 | Chaco For Ever | 31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | 7 | 49 |
| 8 | Chacarita Juniors | 31 | 12 | 12 | 7 | 35:24 | 11 | 48 |
| 9 | Agropecuario | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 37:33 | 4 | 45 |
| 10 | Def. de Belgrano | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 26:24 | 2 | 42 |
| 11 | San Telmo | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 28:36 | -8 | 38 |
| 12 | Nueva Chicago | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 26:30 | -4 | 37 |
| 13 | CA Mitre | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 25:27 | -2 | 36 |
| 14 | Central Norte | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 24:36 | -12 | 33 |
| 15 | Almirante Brown | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 24:34 | -10 | 32 |
| 16 | Colon Santa Fe | 31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 21:38 | -17 | 28 |
| 17 | Talleres (R.E) | 31 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 15:36 | -21 | 20 |
| 18 | Defensores Unidos | 31 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 17:51 | -34 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
