Patronato Parana vs San Miguel: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Argentinian Primera Nacional Patronato Parana - San Miguel
Result
2:1
19/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera Nacional - Round 15
  • Referee: Macheroni M. (Arg)
Patronato Parana - San Miguel - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
87
Shots on target
42
Corner Kicks
25
Yellow Cards
11
Total shots
87
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
45
Corner Kicks
25
Goalkeeper Saves
12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 39', 1 - 0, Castro F. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Lavezzi A. , Nasta B. ,
  • 46', Ferrero J. , Salto C. ,
  • 50', 🟨,
  • 54', Salto C. 🟨,
  • 64', 1 - 1, Nasta B. ,
  • 66', Pereyra V. L. , Sombra A. ,
  • 71', 2 - 1, Castro F. ,
  • 73', Parnisari E. , Rojas M. ,
  • 74', Sena F. , Sosa D. ,
  • 76', Gallucci S. , Picco A. R. ,
  • 77', Castro F. , Diaz F. N. ,
  • 81', Juarez J. , Almada A. ,

Chances of winning


Patronato Parana
33.8%
Draw
32.9%
San Miguel
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42% 29.7% 28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3% 28.8% 27.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Patronato Parana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Patronato Parana's form might have worsened.
  • San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Patronato Parana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Miguel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Patronato Parana - San Miguel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.75
    (2.23)
    2.84
    (3.15)
    2.78
    (3.3)
    7.5%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Patronato Parana - San Miguel?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Patronato will win (votes: 12 - 75%). San Miguel will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Patronato: 53.8%96.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Patronato Parana will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Patronato won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Patronato won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Patronato Parana - San Miguel were as follows:
    02.09.2024 San Miguel - Patronato Parana 2:4
    08.05.2024 Patronato Parana - San Miguel 0:1
    Latest results of Patronato Parana
    Latest results of San Miguel
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2025

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atletico Atlanta2099217:10736
    2San Martin T2098319:11835
    3San Miguel2087520:14631
    4Tristan Suarez20710318:12631
    5Deportivo Madryn1978421:16529
    6Patronato2078523:19429
    7Gimnasia y Tiro2077617:12528
    8Deportivo Maipu2068619:19026
    9Racing Cordoba2068626:27-126
    10Almagro2068616:17-126
    11Los Andes2066819:21-224
    12Ferro2066813:19-624
    13Quilmes1958619:18123
    14Colegiales2065910:17-723
    15All Boys2049718:20-221
    16Club A. Guemes20311616:20-420
    17Alvarado2047913:22-919
    18Arsenal Sarandi2029915:25-1015


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia Jujuy20117223:101340
    2Chacarita Juniors20106427:131436
    3Deportivo Moron1997322:91334
    4Gimnasia Mendoza19810120:101034
    5Estudiantes Rio Cuarto2089321:13833
    6Chaco For Ever20103723:17633
    7Temperley2087520:17331
    8CA Estudiantes2085719:16329
    9CA Mitre2077616:12428
    10Agropecuario2076722:23-127
    11Def. de Belgrano1968515:13226
    12San Telmo1968519:21-226
    13Nueva Chicago2057817:20-322
    14Central Norte20641014:24-1022
    15Colon Santa Fe20631115:20-521
    16Almirante Brown2038914:25-1117
    17Defensores Unidos2017128:33-2510
    18Talleres (R.E)2014155:24-197

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation

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