Nîmes vs Pau – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

29/04/2023 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video

Chances of winning


Nîmes
39.5%
Draw
29%
Pau
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.9% 28.4% 30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4% 30.2% 29%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nîmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Pau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nîmes than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pau than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • Nîmes - Pau Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.38
    (2.29)
    3.24
    (3.29)
    2.99
    (3.04)
    6.4%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Nîmes - Pau?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Nîmes will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Pau will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7%78.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 13).
    • Nîmes has the most likely position - 19 (41.8%), project points - 37, currently - 29, a good chance of relegated (89%), not chance of promoted.
    • Pau has the most likely position - 13 (17.71%), project points - 47, currently - 40, a very small chance of relegated (3%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
    • This event has small quality 27, small importance 21, small match rating 24. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Nîmes is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Pau is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Nîmes won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-1.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Nîmes won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nîmes - Pau were as follows:
    22.10.2022 Pau - Nîmes 1:0
    Latest results of Nîmes
    22.04.2023 Paris FC - Nîmes 3:0
    15.04.2023 Nîmes - Le Havre 0:1
    08.04.2023 Amiens - Nîmes 1:0
    01.04.2023 Nîmes - Annecy 4:0
    18.03.2023 Bordeaux - Nîmes 1:0
    Latest results of Pau
    22.04.2023 Pau - Guingamp 2:1
    15.04.2023 Sochaux - Pau 2:3
    08.04.2023 Pau - Metz 1:1
    01.04.2023 Pau - Le Havre 0:1
    18.03.2023 Dijon - Pau 0:1
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes25146540:251548
    2St Etienne25144744:291546
    3Reims25119537:231442
    4Le Mans251011430:24641
    5Red Star25118630:25541
    6Annecy25116834:25939
    7Dunkerque25108741:271438
    8Rodez25910631:31037
    9Montpellier251051028:25335
    10Guingamp2598835:36-135
    11Pau FC2597937:42-534
    12Grenoble25611824:29-529
    13Clermont25771129:33-428
    14Nancy25761222:33-1127
    15Boulogne25761225:36-1127
    16Amiens25651428:41-1323
    17Laval253101219:35-1619
    18Bastia25391312:27-1518

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National