Result
29/04/2023 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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France | Amazon Prime Video |
Chances of winning
Nîmes 39.5% | Draw 29% | Pau 31.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nîmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Pau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nîmes than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pau than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Nîmes - Pau Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.38 ↑ (2.29) |
3.24 ↓ (3.29) |
2.99 ↓ (3.04) |
6.4% (7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Nîmes - Pau?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Nîmes will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Pau will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7% – 78.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 13).
- Nîmes has the most likely position - 19 (41.8%), project points - 37, currently - 29, a good chance of relegated (89%), not chance of promoted.
- Pau has the most likely position - 13 (17.71%), project points - 47, currently - 40, a very small chance of relegated (3%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
- This event has small quality 27, small importance 21, small match rating 24. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Nîmes is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Pau is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Nîmes won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-1.
- Including matches at home between the teams Nîmes won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.
How many head-to-head matches has Nîmes won against Pau?
Nîmes has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pau won against Nîmes?
Pau has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nîmes - Pau were as follows:
22.10.2022
Pau
-
Nîmes
1:0
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 40:25 | 15 | 48 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 44:29 | 15 | 46 |
| 3 | Reims | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 37:23 | 14 | 42 |
| 4 | Le Mans | 25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 30:24 | 6 | 41 |
| 5 | Red Star | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 30:25 | 5 | 41 |
| 6 | Annecy | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 39 |
| 7 | Dunkerque | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 41:27 | 14 | 38 |
| 8 | Rodez | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 37 |
| 9 | Montpellier | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 28:25 | 3 | 35 |
| 10 | Guingamp | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 35:36 | -1 | 35 |
| 11 | Pau FC | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 37:42 | -5 | 34 |
| 12 | Grenoble | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 24:29 | -5 | 29 |
| 13 | Clermont | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 29:33 | -4 | 28 |
| 14 | Nancy | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 22:33 | -11 | 27 |
| 15 | Boulogne | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 27 |
| 16 | Amiens | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 28:41 | -13 | 23 |
| 17 | Laval | 25 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 19:35 | -16 | 19 |
| 18 | Bastia | 25 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 12:27 | -15 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National