Result
3:1
07/02/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 22
- Referee: Petit A. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.40 | 0.87 |
Ball Possession |
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55% | 45% |
Goal Attempts |
---|
8 | 13 |
Shots on Goal |
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6 | 4 |
Shots off Goal |
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2 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
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0 | 2 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 6 |
Shots inside the Box |
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6 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
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2 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
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1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 11 |
Offsides |
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1 | 1 |
Fouls |
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11 | 12 |
Yellow Cards |
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2 | 2 |
Throw-ins |
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17 | 17 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
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19 | 24 |
Passes |
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85% (461/542) | 86% (368/428) |
Passes in the final third |
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67% (80/120) | 76% (90/119) |
Crosses |
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7% (1/14) | 33% (8/24) |
Tackles |
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67% (18/27) | 71% (15/21) |
Clearances Total |
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15 | 16 |
Interceptions |
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7 | 15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, Mboup P. ⚽, Beusnard S. (A),
- 11', Mboup P. 🟨,
- 28', 1 - 1, Lopez J. ⚽, Marchetti V. (A),
- 35', Tourraine M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 49', 2 - 1, Krasso J. ⚽, Kebbal I. (A),
- 64', Lopy J. ↓, Ngom O. ↑,
- 67', Lopez J. ↓, Cafaro M. ↑,
- 67', Gory A. ↓, Dicko N. ↑,
- 72', Marchetti V. ↓, Camara A. ↑,
- 75', 3 - 1, Cafaro M. ⚽, Lopez M. (A),
- 76', Mille A. 🟨,
- 79', Kalulu J. ↓, Obiang J. ↑,
- 83', Kebbal I. ↓, Doucet L. ↑,
- 83', Lopez M. ↓, Ollila T. ↑,
- 87', Beusnard S. ↓, Kouassi L.X. ↑,
- 90+1', Cafaro M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Paris FC 59.5% | Draw 22.9% | Pau 17.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paris FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)Pau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pau than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Paris FC - Pau Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.58 ↓ (1.69) |
4.07 ↑ (3.69) |
5.31 ↑ (4.52) |
6.9% (8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Paris FC - Pau?
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Paris FC will win (votes: 18 - 72%). Pau will win (votes: 3 - 12%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paris FC: 54.4% – 89.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 9).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Paris FC won 1.
- Both teams are now playing unstable.
- In this match Paris FC is a favorite.
- There will not play in Paris FC: Gueye L.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 11 head-to-head matches Paris FC won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:9 (average 0.5:0.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Paris FC won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:4 (average 0.6:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Paris FC won against Pau?
Paris FC has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pau won against Paris FC?
Pau has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paris FC - Pau were as follows:
09.11.2024
Pau
-
Paris FC
0:0
10.02.2024
Paris FC
-
Pau
1:1
19.08.2023
Pau
-
Paris FC
2:0
31.01.2023
Paris FC
-
Pau
0:1
26.12.2022
Pau
-
Paris FC
0:1
Latest results of Paris FC
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | St Etienne | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 7 |
2 | Nancy | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
3 | Troyes | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
4 | Clermont | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
5 | Red Star | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 4 |
6 | Montpellier | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
7 | Reims | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
8 | Pau FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
9 | Amiens | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
10 | Le Mans | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
11 | Annecy | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
12 | Laval | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
13 | Dunkerque | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 2 |
14 | Rodez | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 2 |
15 | Bastia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
16 | Grenoble | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
17 | Guingamp | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 1 |
18 | Boulogne | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National