Result
3:1
07/02/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 22
- Referee: Petit A. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.87 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 19 | 24 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (461/542) | 86% (368/428) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 67% (80/120) | 76% (90/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 7% (1/14) | 33% (8/24) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (18/27) | 71% (15/21) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, Mboup P. ⚽, Beusnard S. (A),
- 11', Mboup P. 🟨,
- 28', 1 - 1, Lopez J. ⚽, Marchetti V. (A),
- 35', Tourraine M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 49', 2 - 1, Krasso J. ⚽, Kebbal I. (A),
- 64', Lopy J. ↓, Ngom O. ↑,
- 67', Lopez J. ↓, Cafaro M. ↑,
- 67', Gory A. ↓, Dicko N. ↑,
- 72', Marchetti V. ↓, Camara A. ↑,
- 75', 3 - 1, Cafaro M. ⚽, Lopez M. (A),
- 76', Mille A. 🟨,
- 79', Kalulu J. ↓, Obiang J. ↑,
- 83', Kebbal I. ↓, Doucet L. ↑,
- 83', Lopez M. ↓, Ollila T. ↑,
- 87', Beusnard S. ↓, Kouassi L.X. ↑,
- 90+1', Cafaro M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Paris FC
59.5% | Draw
22.9% | Pau
17.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paris FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)Pau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pau than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Paris FC - Pau Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.58 ↓
(1.69) |
4.07 ↑
(3.69) |
5.31 ↑
(4.52) |
6.9%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Paris FC - Pau?
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Paris FC will win (votes: 18 - 72%). Pau will win (votes: 3 - 12%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paris FC: 54.4% – 89.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 9).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Paris FC won 1.
- Both teams are now playing unstable.
- In this match Paris FC is a favorite.
- There will not play in Paris FC: Gueye L.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 11 head-to-head matches Paris FC won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:9 (average 0.5:0.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Paris FC won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:4 (average 0.6:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Paris FC won against Pau?
Paris FC has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pau won against Paris FC?
Pau has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paris FC - Pau were as follows:
09.11.2024
Pau
-
Paris FC
0:0
10.02.2024
Paris FC
-
Pau
1:1
19.08.2023
Pau
-
Paris FC
2:0
31.01.2023
Paris FC
-
Pau
0:1
26.12.2022
Pau
-
Paris FC
0:1
Latest results of Paris FC
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 20:9 | 11 | 24 |
| 2 | Red Star | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | Pau FC | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 17:12 | 5 | 21 |
| 4 | St Etienne | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 21:17 | 4 | 20 |
| 5 | Montpellier | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 17 |
| 6 | Reims | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16:15 | 1 | 16 |
| 7 | Le Mans | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Annecy | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 15 |
| 9 | Amiens | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 15 |
| 10 | Guingamp | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18:22 | -4 | 15 |
| 11 | Dunkerque | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 | 13 |
| 12 | Clermont | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 | Rodez | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 13 |
| 14 | Nancy | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 | Grenoble | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 | Boulogne | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 9:14 | -5 | 10 |
| 17 | Laval | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 8 |
| 18 | Bastia | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4:12 | -8 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
