Result
3:1
07/02/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 22
- Referee: Petit A. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.87 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 19 | 24 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (461/542) | 86% (368/428) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 67% (80/120) | 76% (90/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 7% (1/14) | 33% (8/24) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (18/27) | 71% (15/21) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, Mboup P. ⚽, Beusnard S. (A),
- 11', Mboup P. 🟨,
- 28', 1 - 1, Lopez J. ⚽, Marchetti V. (A),
- 35', Tourraine M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 49', 2 - 1, Krasso J. ⚽, Kebbal I. (A),
- 64', Lopy J. ↓, Ngom O. ↑,
- 67', Lopez J. ↓, Cafaro M. ↑,
- 67', Gory A. ↓, Dicko N. ↑,
- 72', Marchetti V. ↓, Camara A. ↑,
- 75', 3 - 1, Cafaro M. ⚽, Lopez M. (A),
- 76', Mille A. 🟨,
- 79', Kalulu J. ↓, Obiang J. ↑,
- 83', Kebbal I. ↓, Doucet L. ↑,
- 83', Lopez M. ↓, Ollila T. ↑,
- 87', Beusnard S. ↓, Kouassi L.X. ↑,
- 90+1', Cafaro M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Paris FC
59.5% | Draw
22.9% | Pau
17.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paris FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)Pau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pau than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Paris FC - Pau Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.58 ↓
(1.69) |
4.07 ↑
(3.69) |
5.31 ↑
(4.52) |
6.9%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Paris FC - Pau?
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Paris FC will win (votes: 18 - 72%). Pau will win (votes: 3 - 12%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paris FC: 54.4% – 89.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 9).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Paris FC won 1.
- Both teams are now playing unstable.
- In this match Paris FC is a favorite.
- There will not play in Paris FC: Gueye L.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 11 head-to-head matches Paris FC won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:9 (average 0.5:0.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Paris FC won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:4 (average 0.6:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Paris FC won against Pau?
Paris FC has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pau won against Paris FC?
Pau has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paris FC - Pau were as follows:
09.11.2024
Pau
-
Paris FC
0:0
10.02.2024
Paris FC
-
Pau
1:1
19.08.2023
Pau
-
Paris FC
2:0
31.01.2023
Paris FC
-
Pau
0:1
26.12.2022
Pau
-
Paris FC
0:1
Latest results of Paris FC
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 29 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 51:30 | 21 | 58 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 53:31 | 22 | 57 |
| 3 | Le Mans | 30 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 45:29 | 16 | 54 |
| 4 | Red Star | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 36:30 | 6 | 51 |
| 5 | Reims | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 43:28 | 15 | 48 |
| 6 | Rodez | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 36:34 | 2 | 45 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 35:27 | 8 | 44 |
| 8 | Annecy | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 36:34 | 2 | 43 |
| 9 | Pau FC | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 41:48 | -7 | 42 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 45:37 | 8 | 40 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 39:42 | -3 | 40 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 30:38 | -8 | 36 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 29:36 | -7 | 32 |
| 14 | Clermont | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 34:41 | -7 | 30 |
| 15 | Nancy | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 27:43 | -16 | 30 |
| 16 | Laval | 30 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 26:43 | -17 | 25 |
| 17 | Amiens | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 34:52 | -18 | 24 |
| 18 | Bastia | 30 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 19:36 | -17 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
