Paris FC vs Pau – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
07/02/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 22
  • Referee: Petit A. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.400.87
Ball Possession
55%45%
Goal Attempts
813
Shots on Goal
64
Shots off Goal
27
Blocked Shots
02
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
46
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
33
Free Kicks
1211
Offsides
11
Fouls
1112
Yellow Cards
22
Throw-ins
1717
Touches in the Opposition Box
1924
Passes
85% (461/542)86% (368/428)
Passes in the final third
67% (80/120)76% (90/119)
Crosses
7% (1/14)33% (8/24)
Tackles
67% (18/27)71% (15/21)
Clearances Total
1516
Interceptions
715

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Mboup P. , Beusnard S. (A),
  • 11', Mboup P. 🟨,
  • 28', 1 - 1, Lopez J. , Marchetti V. (A),
  • 35', Tourraine M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 49', 2 - 1, Krasso J. , Kebbal I. (A),
  • 64', Lopy J. , Ngom O. ,
  • 67', Lopez J. , Cafaro M. ,
  • 67', Gory A. , Dicko N. ,
  • 72', Marchetti V. , Camara A. ,
  • 75', 3 - 1, Cafaro M. , Lopez M. (A),
  • 76', Mille A. 🟨,
  • 79', Kalulu J. , Obiang J. ,
  • 83', Kebbal I. , Doucet L. ,
  • 83', Lopez M. , Ollila T. ,
  • 87', Beusnard S. , Kouassi L.X. ,
  • 90+1', Cafaro M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Paris FC
59.5%
Draw
22.9%
Pau
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.6% 25% 20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9% 25.1% 20.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paris FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • Pau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pau than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • Paris FC - Pau Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.69)
    4.07
    (3.69)
    5.31
    (4.52)
    6.9%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Paris FC - Pau?
  • Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Paris FC will win (votes: 18 - 72%). Pau will win (votes: 3 - 12%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Paris FC: 54.4%89.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 9).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Paris FC won 1.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • In this match Paris FC is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Paris FC: Gueye L. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Paris FC won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:9 (average 0.5:0.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Paris FC won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:4 (average 0.6:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paris FC - Pau were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Pau - Paris FC 0:0
    10.02.2024 Paris FC - Pau 1:1
    19.08.2023 Pau - Paris FC 2:0
    31.01.2023 Paris FC - Pau 0:1
    26.12.2022 Pau - Paris FC 0:1
    Latest results of Paris FC
    01.02.2025 Guingamp - Paris FC 0:1
    25.01.2025 Paris FC - Red Star 4:1
    18.01.2025 Metz - Paris FC 3:1
    11.01.2025 Paris FC - Amiens 1:0
    03.01.2025 Paris FC - Martigues 1:2
    Latest results of Pau
    31.01.2025 Pau - Laval 1:1
    24.01.2025 Bastia - Pau 1:1
    17.01.2025 Red Star - Pau 1:3
    10.01.2025 Pau - Dunkerque 1:1
    04.01.2025 Metz - Pau 0:0
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes25146540:251548
    2St Etienne25144744:291546
    3Reims25119537:231442
    4Le Mans251011430:24641
    5Red Star25118630:25541
    6Annecy25116834:25939
    7Dunkerque25108741:271438
    8Rodez25910631:31037
    9Montpellier251051028:25335
    10Guingamp2598835:36-135
    11Pau FC2597937:42-534
    12Grenoble25611824:29-529
    13Clermont25771129:33-428
    14Nancy25761222:33-1127
    15Boulogne25761225:36-1127
    16Amiens25651428:41-1323
    17Laval253101219:35-1619
    18Bastia25391312:27-1518

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National