Pato vs Paulistano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
67:59
06/12/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NBB
  • Referee: Moraes M. (Bra)

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
6255
Field Goals Made
2520
Field Goals %
40.32%36.36%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
3935
2-Point Field Goals Made
1917
2-Point Field Goals %
48.72%48.57%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
2320
3-Point Field Goals Made
63
3-Point Field Goals %
26.09%15%
Free Throws Attempted
1725
Free Throws Made
1116
Free Throws %
64.7%64%
Offensive Rebounds
1212
Defensive Rebounds
2524
Total Rebounds
3736
Assists
102
Blocks
04
Turnovers
1417
Steals
95
Personal Fouls
2216

Chances of winning


Pato
34.9%
Paulistano
65.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.2% 61.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3% 59.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Paulistano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pato than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pato, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paulistano than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paulistano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Pato - Paulistano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.68
    (2.45)

    1.43
    (1.52)
    7.5%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 156.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)
    What is the prediction for Pato - Paulistano?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Pato (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 76:81.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pato won 3.
    • Pato is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Paulistano has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Pato may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Paulistano will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Pato won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1026:1095. (average 73.3:78.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pato won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 410:450. (average 68.3:75).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pato - Paulistano were as follows:
    26.03.2025 Paulistano - Pato 77:94
    17.11.2024 Pato - Paulistano 66:65
    09.03.2024 Pato - Paulistano 83:73
    22.11.2023 Paulistano - Pato 79:68
    23.04.2023 Paulistano - Pato 92:78
    Latest results of Pato
    22.11.2025 São José dos Campos - Pato 86:71
    19.11.2025 Corinthians Paulista - Pato 87:68
    17.11.2025 Mogi - Pato 86:58
    14.11.2025 Pato - Basquete Cearense 82:79
    12.11.2025 Pato - Unifacisa 62:77
    Latest results of Paulistano
    04.12.2025 Paulistano - Botafogo 101:77
    23.11.2025 Paulistano - Caxias do Sul 77:66
    20.11.2025 Cruzeiro - Paulistano 86:106
    18.11.2025 Minas - Paulistano 94:63
    15.11.2025 Paulistano - Flamengo 80:82
    Brazilian NBB Table
    2025/26
    PlWLPCT
    1Franca352963176:26980.829
    2Pinheiros362973077:26840.806
    3Minas352783074:28790.771
    4Brasilia362792929:25870.750
    5Flamengo3525103037:27540.714
    6Corinthians Paulista3525102973:27670.714
    7Paulistano3522132918:27340.629
    8Bauru3621152949:28450.583
    9Sao Jose3520152886:28240.571
    10Mogi3519162663:24800.543
    11Unifacisa3518172851:28090.514
    12Uniao Corinthians3518172781:28450.514
    13Caxias do Sul3516192587:26870.457
    14Cruzeiro3411232699:29060.324
    15Rio Claro3611252810:30870.306
    16Botafogo3510252547:28710.286
    17Pato347272474:27130.206
    18Cearense367292762:32060.194
    19Vasco355302467:28250.143
    20Osasco365312737:31960.139

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