Result
1:3
06/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group B - Round 18
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 28', 1 - 0, Poesio C. ⚽,
- 36', 1 - 1, Liberati F. ⚽,
- 43', 1 - 2, Mauri M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 90', 1 - 3, ⚽,
- 90+6', 🟥,
- 90+7', (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Pavia
25.2% | Draw
27% | Caldiero Terme
47.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)Caldiero Terme has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavia than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caldiero Terme than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Pavia - Caldiero Terme Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.59 ↑
(3.05) |
3.35
(3.35) |
1.9 ↓
(2.14) |
10.4%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Pavia - Caldiero Terme?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Caldiero Terme (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Caldiero Terme will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 12).
- Pavia is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Caldiero Terme has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Caldiero Terme could have a small edge in this match.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Pavia won against Caldiero Terme?
Pavia has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caldiero Terme won against Pavia?
Caldiero Terme has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pavia - Caldiero Terme were as follows:
Latest results of Caldiero Terme
Italian Serie D - Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Folgore Caratese | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 46:20 | 26 | 57 |
| 2 | AC Milan U23 | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 44:32 | 12 | 46 |
| 3 | Chievo | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 40:37 | 3 | 46 |
| 4 | Leon | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 37:28 | 9 | 45 |
| 5 | Villa Valle | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 44 |
| 6 | USD Casatese | 28 | 10 | 13 | 5 | 38:28 | 10 | 43 |
| 7 | Scanzorosciate | 28 | 10 | 12 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 42 |
| 8 | Brusaporto | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 33:29 | 4 | 42 |
| 9 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 24:23 | 1 | 40 |
| 10 | Caldiero Terme | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 38:31 | 7 | 39 |
| 11 | Oltrepo | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 29:30 | -1 | 37 |
| 12 | Castellanzese | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 35:30 | 5 | 36 |
| 13 | Real Calepina | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 37:38 | -1 | 36 |
| 14 | Breno | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 32:42 | -10 | 30 |
| 15 | Varesina | 28 | 5 | 13 | 10 | 30:36 | -6 | 28 |
| 16 | Pavia | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 28:41 | -13 | 28 |
| 17 | Sondrio | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 26:55 | -29 | 23 |
| 18 | Vogherese ✔ | 28 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 18:48 | -30 | 8 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Vogherese is Relegated to
