Pavia vs Caldiero Terme – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
06/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group B - Round 18

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 28', 1 - 0, Poesio C. ,
  • 36', 1 - 1, Liberati F. ,
  • 43', 1 - 2, Mauri M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 90', 1 - 3, ,
  • 90+6', 🟥,
  • 90+7', (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Pavia
25.2%
Draw
27%
Caldiero Terme
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30% 27.3% 42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9% 26.3% 44.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • Caldiero Terme has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavia than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caldiero Terme than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • Pavia - Caldiero Terme Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.59
    (3.05)
    3.35
    (3.35)
    1.9
    (2.14)
    10.4%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Pavia - Caldiero Terme?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Caldiero Terme (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Caldiero Terme will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 12).
    • Pavia is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Caldiero Terme has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Caldiero Terme could have a small edge in this match.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Pavia
    21.12.2025 Pavia - Chievo 0:2
    07.12.2025 Pavia - Casatese 3:3
    30.11.2025 Scanzorosciate - Pavia 3:1
    23.11.2025 Pavia - Leon 1:2
    Latest results of Caldiero Terme
    Italian Serie D - Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Folgore Caratese26158342:192353
    2USD Casatese261013337:251243
    3Villa Valle26134937:34343
    4Chievo26134937:35243
    5AC Milan U2326126841:301142
    6Brusaporto26126832:26642
    7Leon26109733:26739
    8Oltrepo26117829:26337
    9Scanzorosciate26812629:25436
    10Ciserano-Bergamo2699821:21036
    11Castellanzese2698933:27635
    12Caldiero Terme26811734:29535
    13Real Calepina26961135:35033
    14Breno26781131:38-729
    15Varesina264121027:34-724
    16Pavia26591227:41-1424
    17Sondrio26541722:52-3019
    18Vogherese26281615:39-248

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