Result
3:3
07/12/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group B - Round 15
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 20', 1 - 0, Quaggio A. ⚽,
- 24', 1 - 1, Carannante G. ⚽,
- 26', 1 - 2, Gningue M. ⚽,
- 43', 1 - 3, Gningue M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 69', 2 - 3, Cecchi E. ⚽,
- 79', 3 - 3, Poesio C. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Pavia
26.5% | Draw
26.4% | Casatese
47.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pavia's form might have worsened.Casatese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Casatese's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavia than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casatese than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Pavia - Casatese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.43 ↑
(2.87) |
3.44 ↓
(3.46) |
1.93 ↓
(2.2) |
10.3%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )).
- Recent performances by Pavia have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Casatese is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Casatese will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Pavia won against Casatese?
Pavia has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Casatese won against Pavia?
Casatese has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pavia - Casatese were as follows:
Latest results of Casatese
Italian Serie D - Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Folgore Caratese | 31 | 18 | 10 | 3 | 51:22 | 29 | 64 |
| 2 | Chievo | 31 | 17 | 4 | 10 | 46:38 | 8 | 55 |
| 3 | USD Casatese | 31 | 13 | 13 | 5 | 44:28 | 16 | 52 |
| 4 | Leon | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 42:31 | 11 | 51 |
| 5 | AC Milan U23 | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 49:34 | 15 | 50 |
| 6 | Villa Valle | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 40:40 | 0 | 46 |
| 7 | Scanzorosciate | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 40:29 | 11 | 45 |
| 8 | Brusaporto | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 35:35 | 0 | 45 |
| 9 | Oltrepo | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 33:31 | 2 | 44 |
| 10 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 26:26 | 0 | 42 |
| 11 | Caldiero Terme | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 41:37 | 4 | 40 |
| 12 | Real Calepina | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 39:40 | -1 | 40 |
| 13 | Castellanzese | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 37:33 | 4 | 39 |
| 14 | Breno | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 35:46 | -11 | 34 |
| 15 | Pavia | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 32:44 | -12 | 34 |
| 16 | Varesina | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 33:40 | -7 | 31 |
| 17 | Sondrio | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28:58 | -30 | 25 |
| 18 | Vogherese ✔ | 31 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 19:58 | -39 | 8 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Vogherese is Relegated to
