Pavia vs Real Calepina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
01/02/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group B - Round 22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • (2 - 0)

Chances of winning


Pavia
30.7%
Draw
28.6%
Real Calepina
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.1% 28.5% 40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1% 27.6% 41.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Real Calepina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavia than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Calepina than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Pavia - Real Calepina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.96
    (2.88)
    3.18
    (3.15)
    2.23
    (2.22)
    10.2%
    (11.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: ) and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )).
    • Pavia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Real Calepina is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Real Calepina could have a small edge in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Pavia
    25.01.2026 Breno - Pavia 2:2
    18.01.2026 Pavia - Oltrepo 0:0
    11.01.2026 Milan Futuro - Pavia 0:1
    06.01.2026 Pavia - Caldiero Terme 1:3
    21.12.2025 Pavia - Chievo 0:2
    Latest results of Real Calepina
    Italian Serie D - Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Folgore Caratese28169346:202657
    2AC Milan U2328137844:321246
    3Chievo281441040:37346
    4Leon28129737:28945
    5Villa Valle281351038:37144
    6USD Casatese281013538:281043
    7Scanzorosciate281012638:261242
    8Brusaporto281261033:29442
    9Ciserano-Bergamo281010824:23140
    10Caldiero Terme28912738:31739
    11Oltrepo281171029:30-137
    12Castellanzese28991035:30536
    13Real Calepina281061237:38-136
    14Breno28791232:42-1030
    15Varesina285131030:36-628
    16Pavia286101228:41-1328
    17Sondrio28651726:55-2923
    18Vogherese ✔ 28281818:48-308

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Vogherese is Relegated to