Result
2:2
14/05/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 7
- Referee: Belence P. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.92 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (385/448) | 77% (220/286) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.92 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.52 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (385/448) | 77% (220/286) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 69% (34/49) | 44% (27/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (128/167) | 59% (27/46) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (6/44) | 67% (8/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.58 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 42% (5/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.48 | -1.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 26', Rossi 🟨,
- 27', Bryan Borges 🟨,
- 29', Miqueias 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 48', Andre Lima 🟨,
- 51', Quintana Y. ↓, Mauricio Antonio ↑,
- 59', 0 - 1, Rossi ⚽,
- 64', Felipe Amaral ↓, Jhosefer ↑,
- 64', Rossi ↓, Giovanni ↑,
- 70', 0 - 2, Benitez J. ⚽,
- 73', Stenio ↓, Renato Marques ↑,
- 77', Nicolas ↓, Eliel ↑,
- 77', Benitez J. ↓, Espinoza J. ↑,
- 77', Leandro Vilela ↓, Reverson ↑,
- 80', Miqueias ↓, Yago Souza ↑,
- 80', Figueiredo ↓, Kauan Cristtyan ↑,
- 80', Elizari F. ↓, Gustavinho ↑,
- 86', 1 - 2, Willian Bigode ⚽,
- 89', 2 - 2, Julio Cesar ⚽, Mariano (A),
- 90+2', Matheus Nogueira 🟨,
Chances of winning
América Mineiro
59.5% | Draw
25% | Paysandu
15.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in América Mineiro's performance.Paysandu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
América Mineiro - Paysandu Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.58 ↓
(1.74) |
3.74 ↑
(3.5) |
6.06 ↑
(4.6) |
6.6%
(7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for América Mineiro - Paysandu?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. América MG will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for América MG: 45% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 14 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América MG won 3.
- América MG has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Paysandu has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Paysandu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, América MG is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in América MG: Ale
(Inactive)
Cauan Barros
(Yellow Cards)
Guilherme Pato
(Inactive)
Kaua Diniz
(Red Card)
Mariano
(Inactive)
Yago Santos
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Paysandu: Kevyn
(Knee Injury)
Matheus Vargas
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in América MG: Gustavinho
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Paysandu: Delvalle P.
(Injury)
Edinho
(Injury)
Mauricio Antonio
(Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, América MG won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, América MG won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has América Mineiro won against Paysandu?
América Mineiro has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paysandu won against América Mineiro?
Paysandu has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between América Mineiro - Paysandu were as follows:
18.09.2024
América Mineiro
-
Paysandu
2:0
04.06.2024
Paysandu
-
América Mineiro
2:0
Latest results of América Mineiro
Latest results of Paysandu
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Goias | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 28:18 | 10 | 41 |
| 2 | Coritiba | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 22:14 | 8 | 39 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 24:17 | 7 | 36 |
| 4 | Chapecoense-SC | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 28:20 | 8 | 34 |
| 5 | Remo | 21 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 23:19 | 4 | 33 |
| 6 | Criciuma | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 27:20 | 7 | 32 |
| 7 | Avai | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 29:21 | 8 | 32 |
| 8 | Cuiaba | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 24:24 | 0 | 31 |
| 9 | Vila Nova FC | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 20:20 | 0 | 30 |
| 10 | CRB | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 23:21 | 2 | 28 |
| 11 | Atletico GO | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 21:21 | 0 | 27 |
| 12 | Operario-PR | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 23:22 | 1 | 26 |
| 13 | Athletico-PR | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 27:31 | -4 | 26 |
| 14 | Ferroviaria | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 22:23 | -1 | 26 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 23:28 | -5 | 24 |
| 16 | Volta Redonda | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 14:23 | -9 | 22 |
| 17 | America MG | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 21:29 | -8 | 21 |
| 18 | Botafogo SP | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 14:30 | -16 | 21 |
| 19 | Paysandu PA | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 19:23 | -4 | 21 |
| 20 | Amazonas | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 21:29 | -8 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
