América Mineiro vs Paysandu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B América Mineiro - Paysandu
Result
2:2
14/05/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 7
  • Referee: Belence P. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.480.92
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
75
Passes
86% (385/448)77% (220/286)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
0.480.92
xG on target (xGOT)
0.930.52
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
84
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
75
Touches in opposition box
1812
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1013
Passes
86% (385/448)77% (220/286)
Long passes
69% (34/49)44% (27/62)
Passes in final third
77% (128/167)59% (27/46)
Crosses
14% (6/44)67% (8/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.790.58
Throw-ins
2417
Fouls
1310
Tackles
70% (7/10)42% (5/12)
Duels won
3741
Clearances
1140
Interceptions
513
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.520.93
Goals prevented
-1.48-1.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 26', Rossi 🟨,
  • 27', Bryan Borges 🟨,
  • 29', Miqueias 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 48', Andre Lima 🟨,
  • 51', Quintana Y. , Mauricio Antonio ,
  • 59', 0 - 1, Rossi ,
  • 64', Felipe Amaral , Jhosefer ,
  • 64', Rossi , Giovanni ,
  • 70', 0 - 2, Benitez J. ,
  • 73', Stenio , Renato Marques ,
  • 77', Nicolas , Eliel ,
  • 77', Benitez J. , Espinoza J. ,
  • 77', Leandro Vilela , Reverson ,
  • 80', Miqueias , Yago Souza ,
  • 80', Figueiredo , Kauan Cristtyan ,
  • 80', Elizari F. , Gustavinho ,
  • 86', 1 - 2, Willian Bigode ,
  • 89', 2 - 2, Julio Cesar , Mariano (A),
  • 90+2', Matheus Nogueira 🟨,

Chances of winning


América Mineiro
59.5%
Draw
25%
Paysandu
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.3% 26.5% 20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7% 25.8% 19.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in América Mineiro's performance.
  • Paysandu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • América Mineiro - Paysandu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.74)
    3.74
    (3.5)
    6.06
    (4.6)
    6.6%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for América Mineiro - Paysandu?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. América MG will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for América MG: 45%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 14 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América MG won 3.
    • América MG has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Paysandu has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Paysandu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, América MG is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in América MG: Ale (Inactive) Cauan Barros (Yellow Cards) Guilherme Pato (Inactive) Kaua Diniz (Red Card) Mariano (Inactive) Yago Santos (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Paysandu: Kevyn (Knee Injury) Matheus Vargas (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in América MG: Gustavinho (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Paysandu: Delvalle P. (Injury) Edinho (Injury) Mauricio Antonio (Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, América MG won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, América MG won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between América Mineiro - Paysandu were as follows:
    18.09.2024 América Mineiro - Paysandu 2:0
    04.06.2024 Paysandu - América Mineiro 2:0
    Latest results of América Mineiro
    Latest results of Paysandu
    11.05.2025 Remo - Paysandu 1:1
    07.05.2025 Paysandu - Remo 2:3
    03.05.2025 Volta Redonda - Paysandu 1:0
    30.04.2025 Paysandu - Bahia 0:1
    27.04.2025 Paysandu - CRB Maceio 1:1
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias17113323:131036
    2Coritiba18104419:12734
    3Novorizontino1787222:121031
    4Vila Nova FC1883717:16127
    5Chapecoense-SC1782721:16526
    6Remo1768319:15426
    7Cuiaba1774619:20-125
    8Avai1767420:18225
    9Athletico-PR1873822:24-224
    10Criciuma1765620:17323
    11Athletic Club18711021:25-422
    12Operario-PR1864821:20122
    13CRB1864816:18-222
    14Atletico GO1857618:20-222
    15America MG1762917:21-420
    16Ferroviaria1847718:22-419
    17Paysandu PA1746716:19-318
    18Volta Redonda1746710:16-618
    19Botafogo SP1746712:20-818
    20Amazonas1745816:23-717

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )