América Mineiro vs Paysandu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B América Mineiro - Paysandu
Result
2:2
14/05/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 7
  • Referee: Belence P. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.480.92
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
75
Passes
86% (385/448)77% (220/286)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
0.480.92
xG on target (xGOT)
0.930.52
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
84
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
75
Touches in opposition box
1812
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1013
Passes
86% (385/448)77% (220/286)
Long passes
69% (34/49)44% (27/62)
Passes in final third
77% (128/167)59% (27/46)
Crosses
14% (6/44)67% (8/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.790.58
Throw-ins
2417
Fouls
1310
Tackles
70% (7/10)42% (5/12)
Duels won
3741
Clearances
1140
Interceptions
513
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.520.93
Goals prevented
-1.48-1.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 26', Rossi 🟨,
  • 27', Bryan Borges 🟨,
  • 29', Miqueias 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 48', Andre Lima 🟨,
  • 51', Quintana Y. , Mauricio Antonio ,
  • 59', 0 - 1, Rossi ,
  • 64', Felipe Amaral , Jhosefer ,
  • 64', Rossi , Giovanni ,
  • 70', 0 - 2, Benitez J. ,
  • 73', Stenio , Renato Marques ,
  • 77', Nicolas , Eliel ,
  • 77', Benitez J. , Espinoza J. ,
  • 77', Leandro Vilela , Reverson ,
  • 80', Miqueias , Yago Souza ,
  • 80', Figueiredo , Kauan Cristtyan ,
  • 80', Elizari F. , Gustavinho ,
  • 86', 1 - 2, Willian Bigode ,
  • 89', 2 - 2, Julio Cesar , Mariano (A),
  • 90+2', Matheus Nogueira 🟨,

Chances of winning


América Mineiro
59.5%
Draw
25%
Paysandu
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.3% 26.5% 20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7% 25.8% 19.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in América Mineiro's performance.
  • Paysandu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • América Mineiro - Paysandu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.74)
    3.74
    (3.5)
    6.06
    (4.6)
    6.6%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for América Mineiro - Paysandu?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. América MG will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for América MG: 45%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 14 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América MG won 3.
    • América MG has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Paysandu has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Paysandu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, América MG is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in América MG: Ale (Inactive) Cauan Barros (Yellow Cards) Guilherme Pato (Inactive) Kaua Diniz (Red Card) Mariano (Inactive) Yago Santos (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Paysandu: Kevyn (Knee Injury) Matheus Vargas (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in América MG: Gustavinho (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Paysandu: Delvalle P. (Injury) Edinho (Injury) Mauricio Antonio (Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, América MG won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, América MG won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between América Mineiro - Paysandu were as follows:
    18.09.2024 América Mineiro - Paysandu 2:0
    04.06.2024 Paysandu - América Mineiro 2:0
    Latest results of América Mineiro
    Latest results of Paysandu
    11.05.2025 Remo - Paysandu 1:1
    07.05.2025 Paysandu - Remo 2:3
    03.05.2025 Volta Redonda - Paysandu 1:0
    30.04.2025 Paysandu - Bahia 0:1
    27.04.2025 Paysandu - CRB Maceio 1:1
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias24135631:23844
    2Coritiba24127524:16843
    3Chapecoense-SC24125736:221441
    4Criciuma24116731:211039
    5Novorizontino2499626:23336
    6Remo24811524:21335
    7CRB241041026:22434
    8Vila Nova FC241041024:24034
    9Cuiaba2497829:29034
    10Operario-PR2496926:23333
    11Athletico-PR2496931:33-233
    12Avai2489730:25533
    13Ferroviaria24710727:26131
    14Atletico GO24710726:26031
    15Athletic Club24841226:33-728
    16Botafogo SP24771020:33-1328
    17America MG24741325:32-725
    18Amazonas24591025:34-924
    19Volta Redonda24581114:26-1223
    20Paysandu PA24491120:29-921

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )