Result
1:1
28/07/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 19
- Referee: Torezin L. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.34 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (263/332) | 84% (329/394) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 2.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (263/332) | 84% (329/394) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (24/53) | 50% (21/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (49/84) | 69% (73/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (6/27) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.48 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (14/18) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.08 | 0.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 22', Welinton Torrao 🟨,
- 24', 0 - 1, Welinton Torrao ⚽, Marcelo Ajul (A),
- 26', 1 - 1, Rodrigo Gelado (Own goal),
- 29', Bryan Borges 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Bryan Borges ↓, Edilson ↑,
- 49', Ronaldo Henrique 🟨,
- 58', Fabricio Isidoro 🟨,
- 62', Max ↓, Alason Carioca ↑,
- 71', Marlon Douglas 🟨,
- 72', Marlon Douglas ↓, Vinicius Faria ↑,
- 77', Welinton Torrao ↓, Ezequiel ↑,
- 78', Anderson Leite ↓, Ramon Martinez ↑,
- 79', Denner ↓, Marcelinho ↑,
- 87', David Braga ↓, Neto Costa ↑,
- 88', Fabricio Isidoro ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
- 89', Ronaldo Henrique ↓, Andre Lima ↑,
- 90', Vinicius Faria 🟨,
- 90+2', Neto Costa 🟨,
Chances of winning
Paysandu
40.1% | Draw
30.7% | Athletic Club
29.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paysandu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paysandu's form might have worsened.Athletic Club has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Athletic Club's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+13.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paysandu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Athletic Club, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Paysandu - Athletic Club Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.32 ↑
(1.79) |
3.04 ↓
(3.5) |
3.22 ↓
(4.2) |
7%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Paysandu - Athletic Club?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Paysandu will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Athletic will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2% – 84.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Athletic (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 14).
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Athletic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Paysandu might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Paysandu: Leandro Vilela
(Yellow Cards)
Novillo J.
(Red Card)
Rossi
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Athletic: Edson Miranda
(Inactive)
Lincoln
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Paysandu: Delvalle P.
(Ankle Injury)
Dudu Vieira
(Inactive)
Edinho
(Knee Injury)
Luan Freitas
(Inactive)
Quintana Y.
(Injury)
Thiago Heleno
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Athletic: Da Cruz A.
(Injury)
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Paysandu won against Athletic Club?
Paysandu has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Club won against Paysandu?
Athletic Club has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paysandu - Athletic Club were as follows:
Latest results of Paysandu
Latest results of Athletic Club
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Goias | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 31:23 | 8 | 44 |
| 2 | Coritiba | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 24:16 | 8 | 43 |
| 3 | Chapecoense-SC | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 34:20 | 14 | 40 |
| 4 | Criciuma | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 31:21 | 10 | 39 |
| 5 | Novorizontino | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 26:23 | 3 | 36 |
| 6 | Remo | 24 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 24:21 | 3 | 35 |
| 7 | CRB | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 26:22 | 4 | 34 |
| 8 | Vila Nova FC | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 22:22 | 0 | 33 |
| 9 | Operario-PR | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 26:23 | 3 | 33 |
| 10 | Cuiaba | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 27:27 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | Athletico-PR | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 31:33 | -2 | 33 |
| 12 | Avai | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 30:23 | 7 | 33 |
| 13 | Atletico GO | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 26:26 | 0 | 31 |
| 14 | Ferroviaria | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 25:24 | 1 | 30 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 26:33 | -7 | 28 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 20:33 | -13 | 28 |
| 17 | Amazonas | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 25:34 | -9 | 24 |
| 18 | Volta Redonda | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 14:26 | -12 | 23 |
| 19 | America MG | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 22 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 20:29 | -9 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
