Result
2:1
23/11/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 38
- Referee: Daronco A. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.81 | 0.18 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (396/474) | 76% (193/253) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.81 | 0.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 5.02 | 0.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 4 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (396/474) | 76% (193/253) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 67% (36/54) | 41% (25/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (123/175) | 54% (33/61) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (15/51) | 33% (1/3) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 0.34 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 36 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (16/26) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 5 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.32 | 5.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.68 | 3.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Petterson Novaes ⚽, Edilson (A),
- 22', Joao Miguel 🟨,
- 43', Carlos Eduardo 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Guilherme Cachoeira ↓, Da Cruz A. ↑,
- 50', Lucca Carvalho ↓, larley ↑,
- 57', Gabriel Mesquita 🟨,
- 60', Joao Miguel ↓, Kauan Lindes ↑,
- 61', Douglas Pele ↓, Wesley Gasolina ↑,
- 70', Goncalves P. 🟨,
- 70', Chico Geraldes ↓, David Braga ↑,
- 73', Petterson Novaes ↓, Vinicius Faria ↑,
- 73', Wendel ↓, Denilson ↑,
- 77', 1 - 1, Da Cruz A. ⚽, Yuri (A),
- 84', Quintana Y. 🟨,
- 87', 2 - 1, Da Cruz A. ⚽,
- 88', Marcelinho ↓, Joao Marcos ↑,
- 88', Carlos Eduardo ↓, Kaua Hinkel ↑,
- 90', Welinton Torrao ↓, Fabricio Isidoro ↑,
- 90+3', Kauan Lindes 🟨,
- 90+4', Goncalves P. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Athletic Club
66.5% | Draw
21.5% | Paysandu
12.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Athletic Club - Paysandu Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.4 ↑
(1.38) |
4.35 ↓
(4.42) |
7.93 ↓
(8.14) |
7%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Athletic Club - Paysandu?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Athletic will win (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
- Paysandu is Relegated to Serie C (First stage )
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Paysandu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Athletic is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Athletic: Jhonatan Silva
(Yellow Cards)
Marcelo Ajul
(Yellow Cards)
Martinez F.
(Yellow Cards)
Max
(Inactive)
Neto Costa
(Yellow Cards)
Rodrigo Gelado
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Paysandu: Andre Lima
(Yellow Cards)
Denner
(Injury)
Dudu Vieira
(Inactive)
Leandro Vilela
(Injury)
Marlon Douglas
(Yellow Cards)
Matheus Nogueira
(Injury)
Matheus Vargas
(Injury)
Ronaldo Henrique
(Inactive)
Rossi
(Inactive)
Thiago Heleno
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Athletic: David Braga
(Injury)
Luiz Filipe
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Paysandu: Diogo Oliveira
(Injury)
Gustavo Nicola
(Inactive)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Athletic won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Club won against Paysandu?
Athletic Club has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paysandu won against Athletic Club?
Paysandu has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Athletic Club - Paysandu were as follows:
28.07.2025
Paysandu
-
Athletic Club
1:1
Latest results of Athletic Club
Latest results of Paysandu
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 39:23 | 16 | 68 |
| 2 | Athletico-PR | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 53:43 | 10 | 65 |
| 3 | Chapecoense-SC | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 52:35 | 17 | 62 |
| 4 | Remo | 38 | 16 | 14 | 8 | 51:39 | 12 | 62 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 47:33 | 14 | 61 |
| 6 | Goias | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 42:37 | 5 | 61 |
| 7 | Novorizontino | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 43:32 | 11 | 60 |
| 8 | CRB | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 45:40 | 5 | 56 |
| 9 | Avai | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 50:40 | 10 | 56 |
| 10 | Cuiaba | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 43:44 | -1 | 54 |
| 11 | Atletico GO | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 39:38 | 1 | 52 |
| 12 | Operario-PR | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 40:44 | -4 | 48 |
| 13 | Vila Nova FC | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 40:44 | -4 | 47 |
| 14 | America MG | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 41:44 | -3 | 46 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 43:53 | -10 | 44 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 32:52 | -20 | 42 |
| 17 | Ferroviaria | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 43:52 | -9 | 40 |
| 18 | Amazonas | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 38:55 | -17 | 36 |
| 19 | Volta Redonda | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 26:43 | -17 | 36 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 38 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 36:52 | -16 | 28 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
