Bahia vs Paysandu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
21/05/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/16-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video

Match Stats

Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
1712
Shots on target
106
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
89% (640/720)88% (321/364)
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
1712
Shots on target
106
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
21
Corner Kicks
63
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
918
Passes
89% (640/720)88% (321/364)
Throw-ins
1117
Fouls
175
Goalkeeper Saves
66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Michel Araujo , Kayky (A),
  • 16', Gabriel Xavier 🟨,
  • 22', Edilson , Nicolas ,
  • 33', 2 - 0, Willian Jose , Kayky (A),
  • 45', Leandro Vilela 🟨,
  • 45+3', 3 - 0, Willian Jose ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Ramos S. , Kaua Davi ,
  • 46', Benitez J. , Marcelinho ,
  • 46', Bryan Borges , Cavalleri M. ,
  • 63', Nicolas Acevedo 🟨,
  • 66', 4 - 0, Rodrigo ,
  • 69', Michel Araujo , Ruan Pablo ,
  • 69', Willian Jose , Rodriguez L. ,
  • 69', Kayky , Tiago ,
  • 76', Matheus Vargas , Eliel ,
  • 80', Rodrigo , Everton Ribeiro ,
  • 88', Leandro Vilela , Lucca Carvalho ,

Chances of winning


Bahia
63.2%
Draw
23.2%
Paysandu
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.8% 23.7% 11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67% 22.9% 11.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Paysandu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • Bahia - Paysandu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.48
    (1.44)
    4.09
    (3.94)
    6.96
    (8.1)
    6.6%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Bahia - Paysandu?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Bahia will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Bahia (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Paysandu (2.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Bahia (votes: 1 - 50%). Paysandu (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, Bahia is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.3:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bahia won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:0. (average 2.3:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bahia - Paysandu were as follows:
    30.04.2025 Paysandu - Bahia 0:1
    Latest results of Bahia
    18.05.2025 Bahia - Vitória Salvador 2:1
    14.05.2025 Atlético Nacional - Bahia 1:0
    10.05.2025 Flamengo - Bahia 1:0
    03.05.2025 Bahia - Botafogo RJ 1:0
    Latest results of Paysandu
    18.05.2025 Paysandu - Goiás 0:0
    11.05.2025 Remo - Paysandu 1:1
    07.05.2025 Paysandu - Remo 2:3
    03.05.2025 Volta Redonda - Paysandu 1:0
    Draw
    2026

    1/256-finals
    1IvinhemaIndependente AP1 : 0
    2ByeVolta Redonda
    3America RNBye
    4ByeGAS
    5Barra FCBye
    7America MGBye
    8America SETirol1 : 2
    9Sampaio Correa FEDesportiva Ferroviaria1 : 2
    10ByeSport Recife
    11AnapolisBye
    12ByeCianorte
    13Rio Branco ESBye
    14ByeAthletic Club
    15Ypiranga FCBye
    16Ji-ParanaPantanal2 : 0
    17CastanhalBye
    18ByeGuarani
    19Nova IguacuBye
    20ByeLagarto
    21ManauaraBye
    22ByeItabaiana
    23FortalezaBye
    24MaguaryLaguna RN1 : 0
    25Santa CatarinaIAPE2 : 0
    26ByeCuiaba
    27CeilandiaBye
    28ByeJacuipense
    29MixtoBye
    30ByeBotafogo PB
    31NovorizontinoBye
    32ByeNacional-AM
    33JoinvilleBye
    34ByeCSA
    35Sao BernardoBye
    36ByeAlagoinhas
    37Sao LuizBye
    38ByeMaranhao
    39CearaBye
    40AraguainaPrimavera0 : 3
    41Vasco da Gama ACVelo Clube1 : 2
    42ByeVila Nova FC
    43ASABye
    44ByeOperario MS
    45ConfiancaBye
    47TombenseBye
    48ByeOratorio
    49Operario VGBye
    50ByePorto Velho
    51Atletico GOBye
    52Primavera ACBragantino2 : 1
    53Ponte PretaBye
    55SER CaxiasBye
    56ByeGuarany de Bage
    57BoavistaBye
    58ByeMaringa FC
    59RetroBye
    60ByeUberlandia
    61GamaMonte Roraima2 : 0
    62ByeGoias
    63TremBye
    64ByeFluminense-PI
    65Tuna LusoBye
    66ByeTocantinopolis
    67JuventudeBye
    68GalvezGuapore1 : 2
    69BareMadureira0 : 3
    70ByeABC
    71Aguia De MarabaBye
    72ByeIndependencia
    73Capital FCBye
    74ByeManaus
    75LondrinaBye
    76ByeSC Penedense
    77BetimPiaui1 : 0
    78ByeOperario-PR
    79JuazeirenseBye
    80ByeCapital
    81Santa CruzBye
    82ByeSousa
    83CRBBye
    84Porto-BASerra Branca2 : 1
    85ImperatrizBye
    86ByeAmazonas
    87FigueirenseBye
    88ByeAzuriz
    89PortuguesaBye
    90ByeAE Altos
    91AvaiBye
    92ByePorto Vitoria
    93Paysandu PABye
    95Portuguesa RJBye
    96ByeMaracana

    1/128-finals
    1IvinhemaVolta Redonda2 : 4
    2America RNGAS3 : 0
    3Barra FCBye
    4America MGTirol2 : 1
    5Desportiva FerroviariaSport Recife0 : 1
    6AnapolisCianorte3 : 1
    7Rio Branco ESAthletic Club1 : 2
    8Ypiranga FCJi-Parana2 : 0
    9CastanhalGuarani2 : 1
    10Nova IguacuLagarto2 : 1
    11ManauaraItabaiana3 : 1
    12FortalezaMaguary4 : 3
    13Santa CatarinaCuiaba2 : 1
    14CeilandiaJacuipense1 : 2
    15MixtoBotafogo PB2 : 1
    16NovorizontinoNacional-AM4 : 0
    17JoinvilleCSA1 : 0
    18Sao BernardoAlagoinhas2 : 0
    19Sao LuizMaranhao0 : 1
    20CearaPrimavera2 : 1
    21Velo ClubeVila Nova FC0 : 1
    22ASAOperario MS1 : 2
    23ConfiancaBye
    24TombenseOratorio2 : 1
    25Operario VGPorto Velho1 : 2
    26Atletico GOPrimavera AC1 : 0
    27Ponte PretaBye
    28SER CaxiasGuarany de Bage0 : 1
    29BoavistaMaringa FC2 : 3
    30RetroUberlandia1 : 2
    31GamaGoias2 : 3
    32TremFluminense-PI0 : 1
    33Tuna LusoTocantinopolis4 : 1
    34JuventudeGuapore5 : 0
    35MadureiraABC1 : 0
    36Aguia De MarabaIndependencia2 : 0
    37Capital FCManaus1 : 2
    38LondrinaSC Penedense1 : 0
    39BetimOperario-PR0 : 2
    40JuazeirenseCapital1 : 2
    41Santa CruzSousa0 : 1
    42CRBPorto-BA6 : 0
    43ImperatrizAmazonas0 : 3
    44FigueirenseAzuriz1 : 0
    45PortuguesaAE Altos5 : 1
    46AvaiPorto Vitoria3 : 0
    47Paysandu PABye
    48Portuguesa RJMaracana1 : 0

    1/64-finals
    1Volta RedondaAmerica RN1 : 0
    2Barra FCAmerica MG1 : 0
    3Sport RecifeAnapolis2 : 1
    4Athletic ClubYpiranga FC2 : 0
    5CastanhalNova Iguacu0 : 4
    6ManauaraFortaleza0 : 1
    7Santa CatarinaJacuipense0 : 1
    8MixtoNovorizontino0 : 3
    9JoinvilleSao Bernardo0 : 1
    10MaranhaoCeara0 : 1
    11Vila Nova FCOperario MS2 : 1
    12ConfiancaTombense2 : 0
    13Porto VelhoAtletico GO0 : 1
    14Ponte PretaGuarany de Bage1 : 0
    15Maringa FCUberlandia3 : 2
    16GoiasFluminense-PI3 : 0
    17Tuna LusoJuventude1 : 2
    18MadureiraAguia De Maraba0 : 1
    19ManausLondrina0 : 1
    20Operario-PRCapital2 : 0
    21SousaCRB0 : 2
    22AmazonasFigueirense0 : 1
    23PortuguesaAvai2 : 1
    24Paysandu PAPortuguesa RJ3 : 1

    1/32-finals
    1Volta RedondaBarra FC
    2Sport RecifeAthletic Club1 : 3
    3Nova IguacuFortaleza0 : 1
    4JacuipenseNovorizontino1 : 0
    5Sao BernardoCeara0 : 1
    6Vila Nova FCConfianca0 : 1
    7Atletico GOPonte Preta1 : 0
    8Maringa FCGoias
    9JuventudeAguia De Maraba
    10LondrinaOperario-PR0 : 1
    11CRBFigueirense1 : 0
    12PortuguesaPaysandu PA2 : 3