Result
0:1
02/06/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 10
- Referee: Policarpo Bento A. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.51 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (253/355) | 74% (237/320) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.66 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (253/355) | 74% (237/320) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (33/77) | 35% (19/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (64/117) | 47% (30/64) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (3/34) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.36 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 22 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (15/15) | 50% (7/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.34 | 0.91 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 14', Matheus Nogueira ↓, Gabriel Mesquita ↑,
- 32', Quintana Y. ↓, Luan Freitas ↑,
- 36', Reverson 🟨,
- 45+4', Ze Gabriel 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Everton Morelli ↓, Matheus Trindade ↑,
- 46', Leo Alaba ↓, Juninho ↑,
- 46', Ramon Martinez ↓, Kevyn ↑,
- 52', 0 - 1, Diego Goncalves ⚽, Guilherme Lobo (A),
- 52', Diego Goncalves 🟨,
- 56', Ze Gabriel ↓, Yan Souto ↑,
- 56', Mauricio Antonio ↓, Marcelinho ↑,
- 57', Benitez J. ↓, Eliel ↑,
- 61', Yan Souto 🟨,
- 65', Andre Lima 🟨,
- 68', Thales ↓, Otusanya O. ↑,
- 78', Guilherme Lobo ↓, Luiz Henrique ↑,
- 80', Luciano Castan 🟨,
- 83', Alisson 🟨,
- 86', Luiz Henrique 🟨,
Chances of winning
Paysandu
41.3% | Draw
31.4% | Criciúma
27.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paysandu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Criciúma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Paysandu - Criciúma Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.27 ↓
(2.33) |
2.98 ↓
(3.12) |
3.45 ↑
(3.08) |
6.7%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Paysandu - Criciúma?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Paysandu will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Criciúma will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paysandu: 17% – 68.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paysandu won 1.
- Recent performances by Paysandu have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Criciúma is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Criciúma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Paysandu has had a series of away games.
- Paysandu will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Paysandu: Bryan Borges
(Inactive)
Delvalle P.
(Ankle Injury)
Edilson
(Injury)
Edinho
(Knee Injury)
Kevyn
(Knee Injury)
Leandro Vilela
(Yellow Cards)
Marlon Douglas
(Inactive)
Novillo J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Criciúma: Fellipe Mateus
(Inactive)
Gabriel Barros
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Paysandu: Ramon Martinez
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Criciúma: Gabriel Novaes
(Inactive)
Jonathan
(Injury)
Werik Popo
(Inactive)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Paysandu won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 0.9:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Paysandu won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Paysandu won against Criciúma?
Paysandu has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Criciúma won against Paysandu?
Criciúma has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paysandu - Criciúma were as follows:
Latest results of Paysandu
Latest results of Criciúma
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Goias | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 23:13 | 10 | 36 |
| 2 | Coritiba | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 33 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 22:12 | 10 | 31 |
| 4 | Chapecoense-SC | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 21:16 | 5 | 26 |
| 5 | Remo | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 19:15 | 4 | 26 |
| 6 | Cuiaba | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 19:20 | -1 | 25 |
| 7 | Avai | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 25 |
| 8 | Vila Nova FC | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 15:16 | -1 | 24 |
| 9 | Athletico-PR | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 23 |
| 10 | Criciuma | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 23 |
| 11 | CRB | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 16:16 | 0 | 22 |
| 12 | Atletico GO | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:17 | 1 | 22 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 17 | 7 | 0 | 10 | 20:24 | -4 | 21 |
| 14 | America MG | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 17:21 | -4 | 20 |
| 15 | Operario-PR | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18:20 | -2 | 19 |
| 16 | Paysandu PA | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16:19 | -3 | 18 |
| 17 | Ferroviaria | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 17:21 | -4 | 18 |
| 18 | Volta Redonda | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 10:16 | -6 | 18 |
| 19 | Botafogo SP | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 12:20 | -8 | 18 |
| 20 | Amazonas | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16:23 | -7 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
