Paysandu vs Criciúma – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Paysandu - Criciúma
Result
0:1
02/06/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 10
  • Referee: Policarpo Bento A. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.550.51
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
227
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
113
Passes
71% (253/355)74% (237/320)
Yellow Cards
26
Expected Goals (xG)
1.550.51
xG on target (xGOT)
0.910.66
Total shots
227
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
92
Blocked Shots
81
Shots inside the Box
116
Shots outside the Box
111
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
113
Touches in opposition box
1812
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
2214
Passes
71% (253/355)74% (237/320)
Long passes
43% (33/77)35% (19/54)
Passes in final third
55% (64/117)47% (30/64)
Crosses
9% (3/34)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.400.36
Throw-ins
2317
Fouls
1422
Tackles
100% (15/15)50% (7/14)
Duels won
6362
Clearances
1643
Interceptions
712
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
0.660.91
Goals prevented
-0.340.91

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 14', Matheus Nogueira , Gabriel Mesquita ,
  • 32', Quintana Y. , Luan Freitas ,
  • 36', Reverson 🟨,
  • 45+4', Ze Gabriel 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Everton Morelli , Matheus Trindade ,
  • 46', Leo Alaba , Juninho ,
  • 46', Ramon Martinez , Kevyn ,
  • 52', 0 - 1, Diego Goncalves , Guilherme Lobo (A),
  • 52', Diego Goncalves 🟨,
  • 56', Ze Gabriel , Yan Souto ,
  • 56', Mauricio Antonio , Marcelinho ,
  • 57', Benitez J. , Eliel ,
  • 61', Yan Souto 🟨,
  • 65', Andre Lima 🟨,
  • 68', Thales , Otusanya O. ,
  • 78', Guilherme Lobo , Luiz Henrique ,
  • 80', Luciano Castan 🟨,
  • 83', Alisson 🟨,
  • 86', Luiz Henrique 🟨,

Chances of winning


Paysandu
41.3%
Draw
31.4%
Criciúma
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.9% 29.9% 30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9% 29.1% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paysandu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Criciúma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • Paysandu - Criciúma Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.27
    (2.33)
    2.98
    (3.12)
    3.45
    (3.08)
    6.7%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Paysandu - Criciúma?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Paysandu will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Criciúma will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Paysandu: 17%68.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paysandu won 1.
    • Recent performances by Paysandu have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Criciúma is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Criciúma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Paysandu has had a series of away games.
    • Paysandu will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Paysandu: Bryan Borges (Inactive) Delvalle P. (Ankle Injury) Edilson (Injury) Edinho (Knee Injury) Kevyn (Knee Injury) Leandro Vilela (Yellow Cards) Marlon Douglas (Inactive) Novillo J. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Criciúma: Fellipe Mateus (Inactive) Gabriel Barros (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Paysandu: Ramon Martinez (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Criciúma: Gabriel Novaes (Inactive) Jonathan (Injury) Werik Popo (Inactive)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Paysandu won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 0.9:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Paysandu won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).
    Latest results of Paysandu
    21.05.2025 Bahia - Paysandu 4:0
    18.05.2025 Paysandu - Goiás 0:0
    11.05.2025 Remo - Paysandu 1:1
    Latest results of Criciúma
    26.05.2025 Criciúma - Coritiba 0:1
    18.05.2025 CRB Maceio - Criciúma 1:0
    11.05.2025 Criciúma - Volta Redonda 0:0
    04.05.2025 Chapecoense - Criciúma 2:1
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias21125428:181041
    2Coritiba21116422:14839
    3Novorizontino2199324:17736
    4Chapecoense-SC21104728:20834
    5Remo2189423:19433
    6Avai2188529:21832
    7Cuiaba2194824:24031
    8Criciuma2085723:18529
    9Vila Nova FC2083919:20-127
    10Atletico GO2169621:21027
    11Operario-PR2175923:22126
    12Athletico-PR2075825:27-226
    13Ferroviaria2168722:23-126
    14CRB2074922:21125
    15Athletic Club20731023:27-424
    16Volta Redonda2157914:23-922
    17America MG21631221:29-821
    18Botafogo SP21561014:30-1621
    19Paysandu PA2049719:22-321
    20Amazonas2148921:29-820

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )