Paysandu vs Criciúma – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Paysandu - Criciúma
Result
0:1
02/06/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 10
  • Referee: Policarpo Bento A. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.550.51
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
227
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
113
Passes
71% (253/355)74% (237/320)
Yellow Cards
26
Expected Goals (xG)
1.550.51
xG on target (xGOT)
0.910.66
Total shots
227
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
92
Blocked Shots
81
Shots inside the Box
116
Shots outside the Box
111
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
113
Touches in opposition box
1812
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
2214
Passes
71% (253/355)74% (237/320)
Long passes
43% (33/77)35% (19/54)
Passes in final third
55% (64/117)47% (30/64)
Crosses
9% (3/34)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.400.36
Throw-ins
2317
Fouls
1422
Tackles
100% (15/15)50% (7/14)
Duels won
6362
Clearances
1643
Interceptions
712
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
0.660.91
Goals prevented
-0.340.91

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 14', Matheus Nogueira , Gabriel Mesquita ,
  • 32', Quintana Y. , Luan Freitas ,
  • 36', Reverson 🟨,
  • 45+4', Ze Gabriel 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Everton Morelli , Matheus Trindade ,
  • 46', Leo Alaba , Juninho ,
  • 46', Ramon Martinez , Kevyn ,
  • 52', 0 - 1, Diego Goncalves , Guilherme Lobo (A),
  • 52', Diego Goncalves 🟨,
  • 56', Ze Gabriel , Yan Souto ,
  • 56', Mauricio Antonio , Marcelinho ,
  • 57', Benitez J. , Eliel ,
  • 61', Yan Souto 🟨,
  • 65', Andre Lima 🟨,
  • 68', Thales , Otusanya O. ,
  • 78', Guilherme Lobo , Luiz Henrique ,
  • 80', Luciano Castan 🟨,
  • 83', Alisson 🟨,
  • 86', Luiz Henrique 🟨,

Chances of winning


Paysandu
41.3%
Draw
31.4%
Criciúma
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.9% 29.9% 30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9% 29.1% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paysandu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Criciúma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • Paysandu - Criciúma Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.27
    (2.33)
    2.98
    (3.12)
    3.45
    (3.08)
    6.7%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Paysandu - Criciúma?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Paysandu will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Criciúma will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Paysandu: 17%68.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paysandu won 1.
    • Recent performances by Paysandu have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Criciúma is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Criciúma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Paysandu has had a series of away games.
    • Paysandu will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Paysandu: Bryan Borges (Inactive) Delvalle P. (Ankle Injury) Edilson (Injury) Edinho (Knee Injury) Kevyn (Knee Injury) Leandro Vilela (Yellow Cards) Marlon Douglas (Inactive) Novillo J. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Criciúma: Fellipe Mateus (Inactive) Gabriel Barros (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Paysandu: Ramon Martinez (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Criciúma: Gabriel Novaes (Inactive) Jonathan (Injury) Werik Popo (Inactive)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Paysandu won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 0.9:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Paysandu won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).
    Latest results of Paysandu
    21.05.2025 Bahia - Paysandu 4:0
    18.05.2025 Paysandu - Goiás 0:0
    11.05.2025 Remo - Paysandu 1:1
    Latest results of Criciúma
    26.05.2025 Criciúma - Coritiba 0:1
    18.05.2025 CRB Maceio - Criciúma 1:0
    11.05.2025 Criciúma - Volta Redonda 0:0
    04.05.2025 Chapecoense - Criciúma 2:1
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias27146733:25848
    2Coritiba27138628:171147
    3Criciuma27137734:211346
    4Novorizontino271110630:25543
    5Athletico-PR27126939:36342
    6Chapecoense-SC271251038:281041
    7Cuiaba27118832:30241
    8Remo27912628:24439
    9Atletico GO27911730:28238
    10CRB271141228:24437
    11Avai27910835:30537
    12Vila Nova FC271061126:28-236
    13Operario-PR2799929:26336
    14Athletic Club27951329:35-632
    15Ferroviaria27711930:34-432
    16America MG27861327:33-630
    17Botafogo SP27781222:39-1729
    18Amazonas27691227:39-1227
    19Volta Redonda27691216:28-1227
    20Paysandu PA274101321:32-1122

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )