Paysandu vs Criciúma – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Paysandu - Criciúma
Result
0:1
02/06/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 10
  • Referee: Policarpo Bento A. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.550.51
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
227
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
113
Passes
71% (253/355)74% (237/320)
Yellow Cards
26
Expected Goals (xG)
1.550.51
xG on target (xGOT)
0.910.66
Total shots
227
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
92
Blocked Shots
81
Shots inside the Box
116
Shots outside the Box
111
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
113
Touches in opposition box
1812
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
2214
Passes
71% (253/355)74% (237/320)
Long passes
43% (33/77)35% (19/54)
Passes in final third
55% (64/117)47% (30/64)
Crosses
9% (3/34)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.400.36
Throw-ins
2317
Fouls
1422
Tackles
100% (15/15)50% (7/14)
Duels won
6362
Clearances
1643
Interceptions
712
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
0.660.91
Goals prevented
-0.340.91

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 14', Matheus Nogueira , Gabriel Mesquita ,
  • 32', Quintana Y. , Luan Freitas ,
  • 36', Reverson 🟨,
  • 45+4', Ze Gabriel 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Everton Morelli , Matheus Trindade ,
  • 46', Leo Alaba , Juninho ,
  • 46', Ramon Martinez , Kevyn ,
  • 52', 0 - 1, Diego Goncalves , Guilherme Lobo (A),
  • 52', Diego Goncalves 🟨,
  • 56', Ze Gabriel , Yan Souto ,
  • 56', Mauricio Antonio , Marcelinho ,
  • 57', Benitez J. , Eliel ,
  • 61', Yan Souto 🟨,
  • 65', Andre Lima 🟨,
  • 68', Thales , Otusanya O. ,
  • 78', Guilherme Lobo , Luiz Henrique ,
  • 80', Luciano Castan 🟨,
  • 83', Alisson 🟨,
  • 86', Luiz Henrique 🟨,

Chances of winning


Paysandu
41.3%
Draw
31.4%
Criciúma
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.9% 29.9% 30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9% 29.1% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paysandu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Criciúma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • Paysandu - Criciúma Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.27
    (2.33)
    2.98
    (3.12)
    3.45
    (3.08)
    6.7%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Paysandu - Criciúma?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Paysandu will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Criciúma will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Paysandu: 17%68.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paysandu won 1.
    • Recent performances by Paysandu have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Criciúma is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Criciúma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Paysandu has had a series of away games.
    • Paysandu will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Paysandu: Bryan Borges (Inactive) Delvalle P. (Ankle Injury) Edilson (Injury) Edinho (Knee Injury) Kevyn (Knee Injury) Leandro Vilela (Yellow Cards) Marlon Douglas (Inactive) Novillo J. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Criciúma: Fellipe Mateus (Inactive) Gabriel Barros (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Paysandu: Ramon Martinez (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Criciúma: Gabriel Novaes (Inactive) Jonathan (Injury) Werik Popo (Inactive)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Paysandu won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 0.9:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Paysandu won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).
    Latest results of Paysandu
    21.05.2025 Bahia - Paysandu 4:0
    18.05.2025 Paysandu - Goiás 0:0
    11.05.2025 Remo - Paysandu 1:1
    Latest results of Criciúma
    26.05.2025 Criciúma - Coritiba 0:1
    18.05.2025 CRB Maceio - Criciúma 1:0
    11.05.2025 Criciúma - Volta Redonda 0:0
    04.05.2025 Chapecoense - Criciúma 2:1
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias24135631:23844
    2Coritiba24127524:16843
    3Chapecoense-SC24125736:221441
    4Criciuma24116731:211039
    5Novorizontino2499626:23336
    6Remo24811524:21335
    7CRB241041026:22434
    8Vila Nova FC241041024:24034
    9Cuiaba2497829:29034
    10Operario-PR2496926:23333
    11Athletico-PR2496931:33-233
    12Avai2389630:23733
    13Ferroviaria24710727:26131
    14Atletico GO24710726:26031
    15Athletic Club24841226:33-728
    16Botafogo SP24771020:33-1328
    17Amazonas24591025:34-924
    18Volta Redonda24581114:26-1223
    19America MG23641323:32-922
    20Paysandu PA24491120:29-921

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )