Paysandu vs São Bernardo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie C Paysandu - São Bernardo
Result
1:1
12/06/2023 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: SERIE C - FIRST STAGE - ROUND 8

Chances of winning


Paysandu
31.3%
Draw
32.3%
São Bernardo
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.4% 30.8% 27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9% 31.1% 27.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paysandu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paysandu's form might have worsened.
  • São Bernardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting São Bernardo's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paysandu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (-9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for São Bernardo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Paysandu - São Bernardo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.91
    (2.17)
    2.82
    (2.92)
    2.51
    (3.25)
    9.7%
    (11%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Paysandu - São Bernardo?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Paysandu will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). São Bernardo will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for São Bernardo: 11.9%76.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Paysandu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Paysandu
    Latest results of São Bernardo
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1SER Caxias14100424:17730
    2Ponte Preta1583415:13227
    3Londrina1475224:131126
    4Nautico1465315:6923
    5Sao Bernardo1465315:9623
    6Brusque1463515:13221
    7Ypiranga FC1463512:14-221
    8CSA1556418:16221
    9Floresta EC1455411:12-120
    10Ituano1445513:16-317
    11Guarani1545611:14-317
    12ABC15211216:18-217
    13Botafogo PB1544717:16116
    14Figueirense1537516:16016
    15Maringa FC1437418:20-216
    16Anapolis1437411:14-316
    17Itabaiana1442812:17-514
    18Confianca1435615:20-514
    19Retro143476:15-913
    20Tombense1426612:17-512

          Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie D