Paysandu vs São Bernardo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie C Paysandu - São Bernardo
Result
1:1
12/06/2023 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: SERIE C - FIRST STAGE - ROUND 8

Chances of winning


Paysandu
31.3%
Draw
32.3%
São Bernardo
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.4% 30.8% 27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9% 31.1% 27.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paysandu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paysandu's form might have worsened.
  • São Bernardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting São Bernardo's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paysandu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (-9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for São Bernardo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Paysandu - São Bernardo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.91
    (2.17)
    2.82
    (2.92)
    2.51
    (3.25)
    9.7%
    (11%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Paysandu - São Bernardo?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Paysandu will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). São Bernardo will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for São Bernardo: 11.9%76.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Paysandu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Paysandu
    Latest results of São Bernardo
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1SER Caxias ✔ 18121526:18837
    2Nautico ✔ 1795321:61532
    3Ponte Preta ✔ 1793517:15230
    4Londrina ✔ 1785426:17929
    5Sao Bernardo ✔ 1785418:12629
    6Brusque1874718:17125
    7Ituano1866619:21-224
    8Floresta EC1866613:15-224
    9Confianca1765620:21-123
    10Guarani1765617:18-123
    11Figueirense1858521:17423
    12Ypiranga FC1864816:21-522
    13CSA1757520:19122
    14Maringa FC1749421:22-121
    15Botafogo PB1755721:19220
    16Anapolis1747613:18-519
    17Itabaiana1753913:18-518
    18ABC17211419:23-417
    19Retro1734106:20-1413
    20Tombense1727812:20-813

          Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie D

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    SER Caxias is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
    Nautico is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
    Ponte Preta is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
    Londrina is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
    Sao Bernardo is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )