Paysandu vs São Bernardo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
12/06/2023 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: SERIE C - FIRST STAGE - ROUND 8

Chances of winning


Paysandu
31.3%
Draw
32.3%
São Bernardo
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.4% 30.8% 27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9% 31.1% 27.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paysandu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paysandu's form might have worsened.
  • São Bernardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting São Bernardo's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paysandu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (-9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for São Bernardo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Paysandu - São Bernardo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.91
    (2.17)
    2.82
    (2.92)
    2.51
    (3.25)
    9.7%
    (11%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Paysandu - São Bernardo?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Paysandu will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). São Bernardo will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for São Bernardo: 11.9%76.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Paysandu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Paysandu
    Latest results of São Bernardo
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Amazonas54108:1713
    2Paysandu PA532011:5611
    3Brusque53209:6311
    4Maringa FC530213:1219
    5Guarani52307:439
    6Barra FC52219:458
    7Inter de Limeira52217:618
    8Floresta EC52216:518
    9Ypiranga FC42117:437
    10Ituano42117:527
    11SER Caxias52125:507
    12Maranhao52125:8-37
    13Botafogo PB52037:8-16
    14Ferroviaria51225:7-25
    15Santa Cruz51132:4-24
    16Volta Redonda51133:6-34
    17Figueirense51135:11-64
    18Confianca51042:5-33
    19Anapolis51044:9-53
    20Itabaiana50145:12-71

          Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie D