Pelicans vs KalPa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey Finnish SM-liiga Pelicans - KalPa
Result
0:1 penalties
03/10/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liiga
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
swedenSwedenTV4 Play

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.051.46
Shots on Goal
1919
Shots off target
137
Shooting PCT
0% (0/19)0% (0/19)
Blocked Shots
1311
Goalkeeper Saves
1919
Saves PCT
100% (19/19)100% (19/19)
Penalties
33
PIM
66
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/3)0% (0/3)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (3/3)100% (3/3)
Faceoffs Won
2421
Faceoffs %
53.3346.67
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 0)
  • 01:16, Forsberg C. (2 min),
  • 16:59, Kapanen K. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (0 - 0)
  • 00:44, Lappalainen L. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (0 - 0)
  • 02:36, Nieminen K. (2 min),
  • Overtime (0 - 0)
  • 02:18, Ciernik A. (2 min),
  • 02:18, Westerlund F. (2 min),
  • Penalties (2 - 3)
  • 1, Edmonds L. (Penalty Shot),
  • 1, Borchardt C. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Karvinen R. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Hartikainen T. (Penalty Shot),
  • 3, Zetterberg L. (Penalty Shot),
  • 3, Rissanen J. (Penalty Shot),
  • 4, Curry P. (Penalty Shot),
  • 4, Zetterberg L. (Penalty Shot),
  • 5, Borchardt C. (Penalty Shot),
  • 5, Karvinen R. (Penalty Shot),
  • 6, Hartikainen T. (Penalty Shot),
  • 6, Karvinen R. (Penalty Shot),

Chances of winning


Pelicans
27.1%
Draw
23.4%
KalPa
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.4% 22.2% 52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4% 22.2% 52.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pelicans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • KalPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pelicans than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for KalPa than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • Pelicans - KalPa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.45
    (3.67)
    3.98
    (4.2)
    1.92
    (1.78)
    6.3%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pelicans won 2.
    • Pelicans has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • KalPa has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Pelicans may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Pelicans has had a series of away games.
    • KalPa might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pelicans won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 49:55. (average 2.5:2.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pelicans won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 30:19. (average 2.7:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pelicans - KalPa were as follows:
    01.03.2025 KalPa - Pelicans 6:3
    29.01.2025 Pelicans - KalPa 3:4
    07.12.2024 Pelicans - KalPa 2:1
    26.11.2024 KalPa - Pelicans 3:2
    07.02.2024 Pelicans - KalPa 3:0
    Latest results of Pelicans
    01.10.2025 Kärpät - Pelicans 2:3
    27.09.2025 Pelicans - SaiPa 2:5
    26.09.2025 HPK - Pelicans 5:2
    24.09.2025 HIFK - Pelicans 3:2
    20.09.2025 JYP - Pelicans 5:1
    Latest results of KalPa
    27.09.2025 KalPa - Ilves 5:4
    24.09.2025 KalPa - Ässät 4:7
    20.09.2025 TPS - KalPa 0:3
    19.09.2025 Tappara - KalPa 8:1
    16.09.2025 KalPa - Kiekko-Espoo 4:2
    Finnish SM-liiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Assat11800339:2324
    2JYP12800447:3624
    3SaiPa13621444:3523
    4KooKoo13620546:4122
    5Tappara12700539:2821
    6Kiekko-Espoo13603436:3521
    7Lukko13610635:3420
    8Jukurit13610634:3920
    9KalPa11431333:3419
    10TPS Turku12422429:2818
    11Hameenlinna12422432:3418
    12Karpat13501745:4516
    13Vaasan Sport13402734:4014
    14Pelicans12223523:3413
    15Ilves13311831:4512
    16IFK Helsinki12311725:4112

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