Result
2:1
03/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.52 | 2.07 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 11.11% (2/18) | 5.26% (1/19) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 94.74% (18/19) | 88.89% (16/18) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 0% (0/6) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (6/6) | 100% (2/2) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 24 | 18 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 57.14 | 42.86 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 14:33, Rissanen J. (2 min),
- 17:16, 1 - 0, Kapanen K. (G), Okany A. (A),
- 19:59, (2 min),
- 2nd Period (0 - 1)
- 07:00, Lappalainen L. (2 min),
- 13:32, 1 - 1, Vanderbeck A. (G), Falk H. (A), Jordan M. (A2)
- 17:34, Rissanen J. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 01:19, Johannesen J. (2 min),
- 07:50, Stapley B. (2 min),
- 08:25, Rissanen J. (2 min),
- 09:08, 2 - 1, Mononen V. (G), Okany A. (A), Westerlund F. (A2)
- 11:57, Mononen V. (2 min),
Chances of winning
KalPa
52.7% | Draw
22.3% | Pelicans
25% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
KalPa - Pelicans Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.78 ↓
(1.89) |
4.13 ↑
(3.83) |
3.78 ↑
(3.72) |
6.9%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
What is the prediction for KalPa - Pelicans?
Users Predictions:
KalPa will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KalPa won 4.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Pelicans may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- KalPa might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KalPa won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 53:48. (average 2.7:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, KalPa won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 36:19. (average 4:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has KalPa won against Pelicans?
KalPa has won 11 of their last 20 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pelicans won against KalPa?
Pelicans has won 9 of their last 20 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KalPa - Pelicans were as follows:
03.10.2025
Pelicans
-
KalPa
0:1
01.03.2025
KalPa
-
Pelicans
6:3
29.01.2025
Pelicans
-
KalPa
3:4
07.12.2024
Pelicans
-
KalPa
2:1
26.11.2024
KalPa
-
Pelicans
3:2
Latest results of Pelicans
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 36 | 22 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 128:84 | 72 |
| 2 | Lukko | 36 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 112:90 | 66 |
| 3 | JYP | 34 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 128:99 | 66 |
| 4 | SaiPa | 37 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 125:102 | 65 |
| 5 | KooKoo | 36 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 12 | 125:97 | 63 |
| 6 | Ilves | 36 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 114:98 | 63 |
| 7 | Assat | 36 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 106:89 | 62 |
| 8 | KalPa | 35 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 107:114 | 56 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 38 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 97:113 | 50 |
| 10 | TPS Turku | 37 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 86:102 | 48 |
| 11 | IFK Helsinki | 36 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 83:115 | 47 |
| 12 | Jukurit | 36 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 82:96 | 46 |
| 13 | Pelicans | 35 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 69:88 | 45 |
| 14 | Hameenlinna | 39 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 93:113 | 45 |
| 15 | Karpat | 37 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 115:124 | 42 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 36 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 73:119 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
