Result
1:3
16/01/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3 |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.38 | 2.55 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 19 | 24 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 5.26% (1/19) | 12.5% (3/24) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 91.3% (21/23) | 94.74% (18/19) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 25% (1/4) | 0% (0/5) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (5/5) | 75% (3/4) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 40 | 20 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 66.67 | 33.33 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 2)
- 03:54, 0 - 1, Curry P. (G), Klemetti A. (A), Lappalainen L. (A2)
- 07:21, Vanderbeck A. (2 min),
- 07:21, (2 min),
- 10:54, 0 - 2, Tornberg A. (G), Kombe K. (A), Maenpaa J. (A2)
- 2nd Period (1 - 0)
- 07:38, Kononen J. (2 min),
- 08:30, 1 - 2, Batna O. (G), Kousa M. (A), Dudas A. (A2)
- 14:41, Kousa M. (2 min),
- 15:05, Lappalainen L. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (0 - 1)
- 00:17, Hartikainen T. (2 min),
- 10:39, Kousa M. (2 min),
- 10:39, Kapanen K. (2 min),
- 12:06, Falk H. (2 min),
- 18:15, 1 - 3, Rissanen J. (G),
Chances of winning
Pelicans
36.3% | Draw
24.3% | KalPa
39.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Pelicans - KalPa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.58 ↓
(2.62) |
3.77 ↑
(3.61) |
2.39 ↓
(2.43) |
7.2%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
What is the prediction for Pelicans - KalPa?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Pelicans will win (votes: 1 - 25%). KalPa will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - KalPa (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. KalPa (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pelicans won 1.
- Pelicans is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- KalPa is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Pelicans may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- We predict that KalPa will win today's game, with odds of 2.41.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pelicans won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 46:53. (average 2.3:2.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pelicans won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:15. (average 2.6:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Pelicans won against KalPa?
Pelicans has won 9 of their last 21 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has KalPa won against Pelicans?
KalPa has won 12 of their last 21 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pelicans - KalPa were as follows:
03.01.2026
KalPa
-
Pelicans
2:1
03.10.2025
Pelicans
-
KalPa
0:1
01.03.2025
KalPa
-
Pelicans
6:3
29.01.2025
Pelicans
-
KalPa
3:4
07.12.2024
Pelicans
-
KalPa
2:1
Latest results of Pelicans
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 45 | 28 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 169:110 | 91 |
| 2 | SaiPa | 45 | 22 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 151:128 | 80 |
| 3 | JYP | 42 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 147:121 | 79 |
| 4 | Lukko | 44 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 138:118 | 76 |
| 5 | KooKoo | 42 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 150:108 | 75 |
| 6 | Ilves | 44 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 139:116 | 75 |
| 7 | KalPa | 43 | 20 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 129:128 | 74 |
| 8 | Assat | 44 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 124:117 | 72 |
| 9 | IFK Helsinki | 45 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 108:148 | 60 |
| 10 | Kiekko-Espoo | 45 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 112:133 | 58 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 45 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 107:123 | 58 |
| 12 | Pelicans | 42 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 86:107 | 56 |
| 13 | Jukurit | 42 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 100:114 | 54 |
| 14 | Hameenlinna | 44 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 104:124 | 53 |
| 15 | Karpat | 44 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 133:147 | 51 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 44 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 25 | 93:148 | 38 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
