Result
5:3
10/02/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 2.15 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 26.32% (5/19) | 17.65% (3/17) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 82.35% (14/17) | 77.78% (14/18) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 33.33% (1/3) | 40% (2/5) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 60% (3/5) | 66.67% (2/3) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 25 | 21 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 54.35 | 45.65 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 1)
- 13:22, Mykra O. (2 min),
- 14:08, Lekkas S. ↓, Boyko T. ↑,
- 14:18, 0 - 1, Stapley B. (G), Jordan M. (A),
- 15:25, 1 - 1, Westerlund F. (G), Kanak L. (A), Nyman L. (A2)
- 18:52, Curry P. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (2 - 1)
- 06:00, 1 - 2, Vanderbeck A. (G), Kettunen A. (A), Forsberg C. (A2)
- 15:11, 2 - 2, Soderlund T. (G), Curry P. (A), Kanak L. (A2)
- 15:39, 3 - 2, Kapanen K. (G), Nyman L. (A),
- 3rd Period (2 - 1)
- 05:56, Lappalainen L. (2 min),
- 07:27, 3 - 3, Vaananen M. (G), Vanderbeck A. (A), Forsberg C. (A2)
- 11:26, Jordan M. (2 min),
- 12:10, 4 - 3, Kononen J. (G), Curry P. (A), Ruotsalainen V. (A2)
- 12:10, Forsberg C. (2 min),
- 17:22, 5 - 3, Curry P. (G),
- 17:22, Stapley B. (2 min),
- 17:22, Lantta J. (2 min),
- 19:52, Korhonen B. (2 min),
Chances of winning
KalPa
53% | Draw
22.6% | Pelicans
24.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KalPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in KalPa's performance.Pelicans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for KalPa than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with KalPa that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pelicans than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
KalPa - Pelicans Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↓
(1.95) |
4.15 ↑
(3.58) |
3.85 ↑
(3.6) |
7.2%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.75
What is the prediction for KalPa - Pelicans?
Users Predictions:
KalPa will win
(11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): KalPa will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KalPa won 5.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- KalPa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KalPa won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 54:44. (average 2.7:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, KalPa won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 36:17. (average 4:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has KalPa won against Pelicans?
KalPa has won 13 of their last 22 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pelicans won against KalPa?
Pelicans has won 9 of their last 22 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KalPa - Pelicans were as follows:
16.01.2026
Pelicans
-
KalPa
1:3
03.01.2026
KalPa
-
Pelicans
2:1
03.10.2025
Pelicans
-
KalPa
0:1
01.03.2025
KalPa
-
Pelicans
6:3
29.01.2025
Pelicans
-
KalPa
3:4
Latest results of Pelicans
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 51 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 188:125 | 100 |
| 2 | KooKoo | 50 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 181:123 | 96 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 51 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 173:139 | 94 |
| 4 | Lukko | 52 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 160:132 | 92 |
| 5 | KalPa | 51 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 153:144 | 90 |
| 6 | Ilves | 51 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 158:129 | 90 |
| 7 | JYP | 49 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 165:147 | 88 |
| 8 | Assat | 52 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 145:143 | 82 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 51 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 128:145 | 71 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 51 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 113:135 | 69 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 52 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 123:143 | 67 |
| 12 | IFK Helsinki | 50 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 116:162 | 66 |
| 13 | Hameenlinna | 52 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 124:145 | 64 |
| 14 | Karpat | 53 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 157:172 | 60 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 51 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 115:140 | 59 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 51 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 99:174 | 39 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
