Result
1:2
20/09/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Cymru Premier - Round 8
- Referee: Harman J. (Wal)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | BBC iPlayer, S4C Clic, S4C |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 28', Sears R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 57', Wood N. 🟨,
- 63', 0 - 1, Daley N. ⚽,
- 68', Lock J. 🟨,
- 74', Evans C. ↓, Abadaki O. ↑,
- 74', Crole J. 🟨,
- 79', 0 - 2, Daley N. ⚽,
- 80', Baker A. ↓, Clay J. ↑,
- 82', Lock J. ↓, Downey S. ↑,
- 82', Bradley S. ↓, Ellis O. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 2, Davies A. ⚽,
- 90+2', Venables C. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/2hbutezz
Chances of winning
Caernarfon Town
40.4% | Draw
26.2% | Pen-y-Bont
33.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caernarfon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Caernarfon Town's form might have worsened.Pen-y-Bont has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pen-y-Bont's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caernarfon Town than the current prediction. (+9.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caernarfon Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pen-y-Bont than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pen-y-Bont, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Caernarfon Town - Pen-y-Bont Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↑
(1.98) |
3.52 ↓
(3.55) |
2.76 ↓
(3.34) |
8.5%
(8.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caernarfon won 2.
- Caernarfon has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Pen-y-Bont has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Pen-y-Bont has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Caernarfon won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 25:44. (average 1.3:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Caernarfon won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:21. (average 1.7:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Caernarfon Town won against Pen-y-Bont?
Caernarfon Town has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pen-y-Bont won against Caernarfon Town?
Pen-y-Bont has won 8 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Caernarfon Town - Pen-y-Bont were as follows:
13.04.2025
Pen-y-Bont
-
Caernarfon Town
3:1
22.02.2025
Caernarfon Town
-
Pen-y-Bont
3:2
02.11.2024
Caernarfon Town
-
Pen-y-Bont
1:5
07.09.2024
Pen-y-Bont
-
Caernarfon Town
2:0
18.05.2024
Caernarfon Town
-
Pen-y-Bont
3:1
Latest results of Caernarfon Town
Latest results of Pen-y-Bont
Welsh Cymru Premier Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | TNS | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 26:7 | 19 | 23 |
| 2 | Penybont | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 18:6 | 12 | 22 |
| 3 | Caernarfon | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 27:15 | 12 | 20 |
| 4 | Bala | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 15 |
| 5 | Barry | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Connahs Q | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:13 | -2 | 12 |
| 7 | Colwyn Bay | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 11 |
| 8 | Flint | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 18:21 | -3 | 11 |
| 9 | Briton Ferry | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | Cardiff Metropolitan | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 14:22 | -8 | 8 |
| 11 | Llanelli | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6:27 | -21 | 7 |
| 12 | Haverfordwest | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7:19 | -12 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )
