Result
3:1
13/04/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Cymru Premier - Championship Group - Round 31
- Referee: Pratt N. (Wal)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 9', 1 - 0, Crole J. ⚽,
- 20', 1 - 1, Lloyd L. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 62', Reffell K. ↓, Harling L. ↑,
- 62', Ware L. ↓, Venables C. ↑,
- 63', Borge B. ↓, Little M. ↑,
- 68', Canavan J. ↓, Downey S. ↑,
- 68', Mendes P. ↓, Thomas D. ↑,
- 75', 2 - 1, Green C. ⚽,
- 76', Davies M. ↓, Watts K. ↑,
- 76', Pritchard O. ↓, Bregua E. ↑,
- 79', Faux J. ↓, Davies A. ↑,
- 85', Gosset D. ↓, Ellis O. ↑,
- 87', Hill M. ↓, Evans O. ↑,
- 90+2', 3 - 1, Crole J. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Pen-y-Bont
49.4% | Draw
26.1% | Caernarfon Town
24.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pen-y-Bont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)Caernarfon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pen-y-Bont than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pen-y-Bont, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caernarfon Town than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Pen-y-Bont - Caernarfon Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.86 ↑
(1.71) |
3.53 ↓
(3.81) |
3.76 ↓
(4.27) |
8.6%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- Pen-y-Bont is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs Semi~finals)
- Caernarfon is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Pen-y-Bont won 3.
- Pen-y-Bont is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Caernarfon is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- In this match Pen-y-Bont is a favorite.
- Last 19 head-to-head matches Pen-y-Bont won 10 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 41:24 (average 2.2:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Pen-y-Bont won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 20:7 (average 2.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Pen-y-Bont won against Caernarfon Town?
Pen-y-Bont has won 7 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caernarfon Town won against Pen-y-Bont?
Caernarfon Town has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pen-y-Bont - Caernarfon Town were as follows:
22.02.2025
Caernarfon Town
-
Pen-y-Bont
3:2
02.11.2024
Caernarfon Town
-
Pen-y-Bont
1:5
07.09.2024
Pen-y-Bont
-
Caernarfon Town
2:0
18.05.2024
Caernarfon Town
-
Pen-y-Bont
3:1
04.11.2023
Caernarfon Town
-
Pen-y-Bont
2:4
Latest results of Pen-y-Bont
Latest results of Caernarfon Town
Welsh Cymru Premier Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Caernarfon | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 7 |
| 2 | Briton Ferry | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 7 |
| 3 | TNS | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Penybont | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 5 | Barry | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Bala | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Cardiff Metropolitan | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Colwyn Bay | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 9 | Haverfordwest | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 10 | Flint | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
| 11 | Connahs Q | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 12 | Llanelli | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:12 | -9 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )
