Pen-y-Bont vs Caernarfon Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Welsh Cymru Premier Pen-y-Bont - Caernarfon Town
25/10/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Pen-y-Bont
48.8%
Draw
25.1%
Caernarfon Town
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.2% 24.7% 33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5% 24% 32%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pen-y-Bont has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pen-y-Bont's performance.
  • Caernarfon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Caernarfon Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pen-y-Bont than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pen-y-Bont that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caernarfon Town than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Caernarfon Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Pen-y-Bont - Caernarfon Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (2.19)
    3.68
    (3.74)
    3.54
    (2.8)
    8.4%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pen-y-Bont won 4.
    • Pen-y-Bont is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Caernarfon is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Pen-y-Bont may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pen-y-Bont won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 44:23. (average 2.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pen-y-Bont won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:8. (average 2.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pen-y-Bont - Caernarfon Town were as follows:
    20.09.2025 Caernarfon Town - Pen-y-Bont 1:2
    13.04.2025 Pen-y-Bont - Caernarfon Town 3:1
    22.02.2025 Caernarfon Town - Pen-y-Bont 3:2
    02.11.2024 Caernarfon Town - Pen-y-Bont 1:5
    07.09.2024 Pen-y-Bont - Caernarfon Town 2:0
    Latest results of Pen-y-Bont
    Latest results of Caernarfon Town
    Welsh Cymru Premier Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1TNS13102139:102932
    2Penybont1382322:13926
    3Caernarfon1363430:21921
    4Connahs Q1263320:14621
    5Colwyn Bay1346314:9518
    6Barry1336416:17-115
    7Cardiff Metropolitan1336419:23-415
    8Bala1343610:19-915
    9Flint1242623:25-214
    10Briton Ferry1234517:20-313
    11Haverfordwest1232713:22-911
    12Llanelli1321107:37-307

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          Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )