Result
0:2
25/10/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Cymru Premier - Round 14
- Referee: Williams B. (Wal)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | BBC iPlayer, S4C Clic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 8', Downey S. 🟨,
- 18', Roberts C. 🟨,
- 41', Mooney P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 51', 0 - 1, Harrison K. ⚽,
- 56', Baker A. 🟨,
- 58', Green C. 🟨,
- 68', Wood N. ↓, Pritchard O. ↑,
- 68', Little M. ↓, Clay J. ↑,
- 79', Owen M. 🟨,
- 79', Owen K. ↓, Warlow O. ↑,
- 84', 0 - 2, Bradley S. ⚽,
- 84', Davies A. ↓, Evans C. ↑,
- 86', Daley N. ↓, Phillips I. ↑,
- 87', Crole J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Pen-y-Bont
48.8% | Draw
26.4% | Caernarfon Town
24.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Pen-y-Bont - Caernarfon Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↓
(2.19) |
3.54 ↓
(3.74) |
3.76 ↑
(2.8) |
7.1%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pen-y-Bont won 4.
- Pen-y-Bont is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Caernarfon has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Pen-y-Bont may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Pen-y-Bont is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pen-y-Bont won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 44:23. (average 2.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pen-y-Bont won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:8. (average 2.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Pen-y-Bont won against Caernarfon Town?
Pen-y-Bont has won 9 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caernarfon Town won against Pen-y-Bont?
Caernarfon Town has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pen-y-Bont - Caernarfon Town were as follows:
20.09.2025
Caernarfon Town
-
Pen-y-Bont
1:2
13.04.2025
Pen-y-Bont
-
Caernarfon Town
3:1
22.02.2025
Caernarfon Town
-
Pen-y-Bont
3:2
02.11.2024
Caernarfon Town
-
Pen-y-Bont
1:5
07.09.2024
Pen-y-Bont
-
Caernarfon Town
2:0
Latest results of Pen-y-Bont
Latest results of Caernarfon Town
Welsh Cymru Premier Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | TNS | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 48:15 | 33 | 38 |
| 2 | Penybont | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 26:22 | 4 | 29 |
| 3 | Caernarfon | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 38:24 | 14 | 28 |
| 4 | Connahs Q | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 30:17 | 13 | 28 |
| 5 | Colwyn Bay | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 20:14 | 6 | 24 |
| 6 | Cardiff Metropolitan | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 26:29 | -3 | 21 |
| 7 | Barry | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 20 |
| 8 | Bala | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 11:21 | -10 | 19 |
| 9 | Briton Ferry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20:26 | -6 | 16 |
| 10 | Flint | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 27:33 | -6 | 15 |
| 11 | Haverfordwest | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 20:30 | -10 | 13 |
| 12 | Llanelli | 16 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 8:45 | -37 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )
