Result
25/10/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Pen-y-Bont
48.8% | Draw
25.1% | Caernarfon Town
26.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pen-y-Bont has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pen-y-Bont's performance.Caernarfon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Caernarfon Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pen-y-Bont than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pen-y-Bont that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caernarfon Town than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Caernarfon Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Pen-y-Bont - Caernarfon Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.89 ↓
(2.19) |
3.68 ↓
(3.74) |
3.54 ↑
(2.8) |
8.4%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pen-y-Bont won 4.
- Pen-y-Bont is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Caernarfon is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Pen-y-Bont may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pen-y-Bont won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 44:23. (average 2.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pen-y-Bont won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:8. (average 2.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Pen-y-Bont won against Caernarfon Town?
Pen-y-Bont has won 9 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caernarfon Town won against Pen-y-Bont?
Caernarfon Town has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pen-y-Bont - Caernarfon Town were as follows:
20.09.2025
Caernarfon Town
-
Pen-y-Bont
1:2
13.04.2025
Pen-y-Bont
-
Caernarfon Town
3:1
22.02.2025
Caernarfon Town
-
Pen-y-Bont
3:2
02.11.2024
Caernarfon Town
-
Pen-y-Bont
1:5
07.09.2024
Pen-y-Bont
-
Caernarfon Town
2:0
Latest results of Pen-y-Bont
Latest results of Caernarfon Town
Welsh Cymru Premier Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | TNS | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 39:10 | 29 | 32 |
| 2 | Penybont | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 22:13 | 9 | 26 |
| 3 | Caernarfon | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 30:21 | 9 | 21 |
| 4 | Connahs Q | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20:14 | 6 | 21 |
| 5 | Colwyn Bay | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14:9 | 5 | 18 |
| 6 | Barry | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | Cardiff Metropolitan | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 19:23 | -4 | 15 |
| 8 | Bala | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10:19 | -9 | 15 |
| 9 | Flint | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 23:25 | -2 | 14 |
| 10 | Briton Ferry | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | Haverfordwest | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13:22 | -9 | 11 |
| 12 | Llanelli | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7:37 | -30 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )
