Pen-y-Bont vs Caernarfon Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Welsh Cymru Premier Pen-y-Bont - Caernarfon Town
Result
3:1
13/04/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Cymru Premier - Championship Group - Round 31
  • Referee: Pratt N. (Wal)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
127
Shots on target
42
Corner Kicks
82
Total shots
127
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
85
Corner Kicks
82
Goalkeeper Saves
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Crole J. ,
  • 20', 1 - 1, Lloyd L. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 62', Reffell K. , Harling L. ,
  • 62', Ware L. , Venables C. ,
  • 63', Borge B. , Little M. ,
  • 68', Canavan J. , Downey S. ,
  • 68', Mendes P. , Thomas D. ,
  • 75', 2 - 1, Green C. ,
  • 76', Davies M. , Watts K. ,
  • 76', Pritchard O. , Bregua E. ,
  • 79', Faux J. , Davies A. ,
  • 85', Gosset D. , Ellis O. ,
  • 87', Hill M. , Evans O. ,
  • 90+2', 3 - 1, Crole J. ,

Chances of winning


Pen-y-Bont
49.4%
Draw
26.1%
Caernarfon Town
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.1% 24.3% 21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4% 23.7% 21.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pen-y-Bont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Caernarfon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pen-y-Bont than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pen-y-Bont, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caernarfon Town than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Pen-y-Bont - Caernarfon Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.86
    (1.71)
    3.53
    (3.81)
    3.76
    (4.27)
    8.6%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Pen-y-Bont is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs Semi~finals)
    • Caernarfon is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Pen-y-Bont won 3.
    • Pen-y-Bont is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Caernarfon is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Pen-y-Bont is a favorite.
    • Last 19 head-to-head matches Pen-y-Bont won 10 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 41:24 (average 2.2:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Pen-y-Bont won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 20:7 (average 2.2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pen-y-Bont - Caernarfon Town were as follows:
    22.02.2025 Caernarfon Town - Pen-y-Bont 3:2
    02.11.2024 Caernarfon Town - Pen-y-Bont 1:5
    07.09.2024 Pen-y-Bont - Caernarfon Town 2:0
    18.05.2024 Caernarfon Town - Pen-y-Bont 3:1
    04.11.2023 Caernarfon Town - Pen-y-Bont 2:4
    Latest results of Pen-y-Bont
    Latest results of Caernarfon Town
    Welsh Cymru Premier Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Colwyn Bay00000:000
    2Caernarfon00000:000
    3Connahs Q00000:000
    4Haverfordwest00000:000
    5Llanelli00000:000
    6TNS00000:000
    7Flint00000:000
    8Briton Ferry00000:000
    9Bala00000:000
    10Barry00000:000
    11Cardiff Metropolitan00000:000
    12Penybont00000:000

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