Result
0:0
24/01/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Cymru Premier - Championship Group - Round 23
- Referee: Jones A. (Wal)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 23', Sears R. 🟨,
- 27', Green C. 🟨,
- 37', Lock J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Green C. ↓, Baker A. ↑,
- 46', Sears R. ↓, Owen M. ↑,
- 62', Lock J. ↓, Owen R. ↑,
- 67', Young B. 🟨,
- 67', Young B. ↓, Lewis I. ↑,
- 73', Owen K. ↓, Warlow O. ↑,
- 75', Warlow O. 🟨,
- 79', Davies A. ↓, Evans C. ↑,
- 88', Phillips I. ↓, Jones J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Pen-y-Bont
39.5% | Draw
27.8% | Caernarfon Town
32.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pen-y-Bont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pen-y-Bont's form might have worsened.Caernarfon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Caernarfon Town's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pen-y-Bont than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pen-y-Bont, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caernarfon Town than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Caernarfon Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Pen-y-Bont - Caernarfon Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.35 ↑
(2.03) |
3.34 ↑
(3.28) |
2.83 ↓
(3.38) |
7.9%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Pen-y-Bont - Caernarfon Town?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Pen-y-Bont will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Caernarfon will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Pen-y-Bont (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Caernarfon (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Pen-y-Bont (votes: 1 - 50%). Caernarfon (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pen-y-Bont won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Recently, Pen-y-Bont has had a series of home games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pen-y-Bont won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 44:25. (average 2.2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pen-y-Bont won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:10. (average 2.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Pen-y-Bont won against Caernarfon Town?
Pen-y-Bont has won 9 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caernarfon Town won against Pen-y-Bont?
Caernarfon Town has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pen-y-Bont - Caernarfon Town were as follows:
25.10.2025
Pen-y-Bont
-
Caernarfon Town
0:2
20.09.2025
Caernarfon Town
-
Pen-y-Bont
1:2
13.04.2025
Pen-y-Bont
-
Caernarfon Town
3:1
22.02.2025
Caernarfon Town
-
Pen-y-Bont
3:2
02.11.2024
Caernarfon Town
-
Pen-y-Bont
1:5
Latest results of Pen-y-Bont
Latest results of Caernarfon Town
Welsh Cymru Premier Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | TNS | 26 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 70:20 | 50 | 65 |
| 2 | Connahs Q | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 51:29 | 22 | 50 |
| 3 | Penybont | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 37:40 | -3 | 40 |
| 4 | Caernarfon | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 49:37 | 12 | 39 |
| 5 | Colwyn Bay | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 37 |
| 6 | Barry | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 36:27 | 9 | 36 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
