Result
0:4
23/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Cymru Premier - Round 9
- Referee: Lewis I. (Wal)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 1 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 1 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 7', 0 - 1, Crole J. ⚽,
- 22', 0 - 2, Crole J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Daley N. ↓, Phillips I. ↑,
- 57', 0 - 3, Phillips I. ⚽,
- 59', Morris J. ↓, Chubb M. ↑,
- 69', Roscrow A. 🟨,
- 71', Evans E. ↓, Payne J. ↑,
- 71', Kabongo D. ↓, John H. ↑,
- 79', 🟨,
- 79', 0 - 4, Crole J. ⚽,
- 80', Venables C. ↓, Jones J. ↑,
- 81', Wood N. ↓, Villacorta J. ↑,
- 81', Owen K. ↓, Borge B. ↑,
- 81', Reynolds R. ↓, Lonergan R. ↑,
- 83', Richards S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cardiff Metropolitan
23.6% | Draw
26.7% | Pen-y-Bont
49.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cardiff Metropolitan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Pen-y-Bont has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff Metropolitan than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pen-y-Bont than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Cardiff Metropolitan - Pen-y-Bont Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.42 ↑
(3.3) |
3.03 ↓
(3.33) |
1.63 ↓
(2.05) |
23.6%
(9.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cardiff Metropolitan - Pen-y-Bont?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Cardiff Metropolitan will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Pen-y-Bont will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pen-y-Bont: 46.4% – 99%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Pen-y-Bont (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cardiff Metropolitan won 2.
- Cardiff Metropolitan has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Pen-y-Bont has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Pen-y-Bont may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Pen-y-Bont is considered a favorite.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Cardiff Metropolitan won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:24. (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cardiff Metropolitan won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Cardiff Metropolitan won against Pen-y-Bont?
Cardiff Metropolitan has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pen-y-Bont won against Cardiff Metropolitan?
Pen-y-Bont has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cardiff Metropolitan - Pen-y-Bont were as follows:
14.03.2025
Pen-y-Bont
-
Cardiff Metropolitan
0:0
24.01.2025
Cardiff Metropolitan
-
Pen-y-Bont
2:1
31.12.2024
Pen-y-Bont
-
Cardiff Metropolitan
2:2
18.10.2024
Pen-y-Bont
-
Cardiff Metropolitan
0:1
15.10.2024
Cardiff Metropolitan
-
Pen-y-Bont
1:1
Latest results of Cardiff Metropolitan
Latest results of Pen-y-Bont
Welsh Cymru Premier Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | TNS | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 26:7 | 19 | 23 |
| 2 | Penybont | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 18:6 | 12 | 22 |
| 3 | Caernarfon | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 27:15 | 12 | 20 |
| 4 | Bala | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 15 |
| 5 | Barry | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Connahs Q | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:13 | -2 | 12 |
| 7 | Colwyn Bay | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 11 |
| 8 | Flint | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 18:21 | -3 | 11 |
| 9 | Briton Ferry | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | Cardiff Metropolitan | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 14:22 | -8 | 8 |
| 11 | Llanelli | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6:27 | -21 | 7 |
| 12 | Haverfordwest | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7:19 | -12 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )
