Cardiff Metropolitan vs Pen-y-Bont – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Welsh Cymru Premier Cardiff Metropolitan - Pen-y-Bont
Result
0:4
23/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Cymru Premier - Round 9
  • Referee: Lewis I. (Wal)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
112
Shots on target
07
Corner Kicks
15
Yellow Cards
30
Total shots
112
Shots on target
07
Shots off target
15
Corner Kicks
15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Crole J. ,
  • 22', 0 - 2, Crole J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Daley N. , Phillips I. ,
  • 57', 0 - 3, Phillips I. ,
  • 59', Morris J. , Chubb M. ,
  • 69', Roscrow A. 🟨,
  • 71', Evans E. , Payne J. ,
  • 71', Kabongo D. , John H. ,
  • 79', 🟨,
  • 79', 0 - 4, Crole J. ,
  • 80', Venables C. , Jones J. ,
  • 81', Wood N. , Villacorta J. ,
  • 81', Owen K. , Borge B. ,
  • 81', Reynolds R. , Lonergan R. ,
  • 83', Richards S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Cardiff Metropolitan
23.6%
Draw
26.7%
Pen-y-Bont
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.8% 27.6% 44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6% 27.4% 45%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cardiff Metropolitan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • Pen-y-Bont has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff Metropolitan than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pen-y-Bont than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • Cardiff Metropolitan - Pen-y-Bont Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.42
    (3.3)
    3.03
    (3.33)
    1.63
    (2.05)
    23.6%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Cardiff Metropolitan - Pen-y-Bont?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Cardiff Metropolitan will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Pen-y-Bont will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Pen-y-Bont: 46.4%99%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Pen-y-Bont (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cardiff Metropolitan won 2.
    • Cardiff Metropolitan has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Pen-y-Bont has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Pen-y-Bont may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Pen-y-Bont is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Cardiff Metropolitan won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:24. (average 1.2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cardiff Metropolitan won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cardiff Metropolitan - Pen-y-Bont were as follows:
    14.03.2025 Pen-y-Bont - Cardiff Metropolitan 0:0
    24.01.2025 Cardiff Metropolitan - Pen-y-Bont 2:1
    31.12.2024 Pen-y-Bont - Cardiff Metropolitan 2:2
    18.10.2024 Pen-y-Bont - Cardiff Metropolitan 0:1
    15.10.2024 Cardiff Metropolitan - Pen-y-Bont 1:1
    Latest results of Pen-y-Bont
    Welsh Cymru Premier Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1TNS13102139:102932
    2Penybont1382322:13926
    3Caernarfon1363430:21921
    4Connahs Q1263320:14621
    5Colwyn Bay1346314:9518
    6Barry1336416:17-115
    7Cardiff Metropolitan1336419:23-415
    8Bala1343610:19-915
    9Flint1242623:25-214
    10Briton Ferry1234517:20-313
    11Haverfordwest1232713:22-911
    12Llanelli1321107:37-307

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