Peña Balsamaiso vs Agoncillo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
23/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 28', 0 - 1, Alvarez M. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 61', 0 - 2, ,
  • 64', 1 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Peña Balsamaiso
13.2%
Draw
20.4%
Agoncillo
66.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.1% 24% 53%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.6% 23.5% 54.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Peña Balsamaiso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Peña Balsamaiso's form might have worsened.
  • Agoncillo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Agoncillo's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Balsamaiso than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Peña Balsamaiso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Agoncillo than the current prediction. (-12.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Agoncillo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Peña Balsamaiso - Agoncillo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.32
    (3.95)
    4.73
    (3.8)
    1.46
    (1.72)
    3.5%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Peña Balsamaiso - Agoncillo?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 12).
    • Peña Balsamaiso has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Agoncillo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Peña Balsamaiso may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Agoncillo is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Peña Balsamaiso won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Peña Balsamaiso won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Peña Balsamaiso - Agoncillo were as follows:
    02.02.2025 Peña Balsamaiso - Agoncillo 0:1
    11.02.2023 Agoncillo - Peña Balsamaiso 2:0
    09.10.2022 Peña Balsamaiso - Agoncillo 0:1
    Latest results of Peña Balsamaiso
    Latest results of Agoncillo
    15.11.2025 Agoncillo - Autol 3:2
    08.11.2025 Berceo - Agoncillo 1:6
    26.10.2025 Oyonesa - Agoncillo 2:1
    12.10.2025 Anguiano - Agoncillo 1:0
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1UD Logrones B24177057:144358
    2Varea24184241:152658
    3Anguiano24137434:191546
    4Arnedo24128444:212344
    5Oyonesa24124836:30640
    6Calahorra24109557:193839
    7Agoncillo24116743:291439
    8Haro Deportivo24105938:37135
    9Yague2489736:32433
    10Vianes24861026:32-630
    11Pradejon24761121:28-727
    12Berceo24681029:36-726
    13CDFC Calzada24751228:37-926
    14San Marcial24751225:37-1226
    15Comillas24731420:45-2524
    16Villegas24641423:49-2622
    17Autol24341717:54-3713
    18Pena Balsamaiso24081616:57-418

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