Result
1:2
23/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 12
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 28', 0 - 1, Alvarez M. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 61', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 64', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Peña Balsamaiso 13.2% | Draw 20.4% | Agoncillo 66.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peña Balsamaiso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Peña Balsamaiso's form might have worsened.Agoncillo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Agoncillo's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Balsamaiso than the current prediction. (+9.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Peña Balsamaiso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Agoncillo than the current prediction. (-12.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Agoncillo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Peña Balsamaiso - Agoncillo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
7.32 ↑ (3.95) |
4.73 ↑ (3.8) |
1.46 ↓ (1.72) |
3.5% (9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Peña Balsamaiso - Agoncillo?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 12).
- Peña Balsamaiso has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Agoncillo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Peña Balsamaiso may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Agoncillo is considered a favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Peña Balsamaiso won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Peña Balsamaiso won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Peña Balsamaiso won against Agoncillo?
Peña Balsamaiso has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Agoncillo won against Peña Balsamaiso?
Agoncillo has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Peña Balsamaiso - Agoncillo were as follows:
02.02.2025
Peña Balsamaiso
-
Agoncillo
0:1
11.02.2023
Agoncillo
-
Peña Balsamaiso
2:0
09.10.2022
Peña Balsamaiso
-
Agoncillo
0:1
Latest results of Peña Balsamaiso
Latest results of Agoncillo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | UD Logrones B | 27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | 68:19 | 49 | 65 |
| 2 | Varea | 27 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 44:21 | 23 | 61 |
| 3 | Arnedo | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 58:23 | 35 | 53 |
| 4 | Oyonesa | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 42:32 | 10 | 49 |
| 5 | Anguiano | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 39:25 | 14 | 49 |
| 6 | Calahorra | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 63:19 | 44 | 48 |
| 7 | Agoncillo | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 46:36 | 10 | 40 |
| 8 | Haro Deportivo | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 42:40 | 2 | 39 |
| 9 | Yague | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 41:36 | 5 | 37 |
| 10 | Vianes | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 33:36 | -3 | 34 |
| 11 | Comillas | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 26:46 | -20 | 31 |
| 12 | San Marcial | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 29:46 | -17 | 30 |
| 13 | Berceo | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 30:38 | -8 | 30 |
| 14 | Pradejon | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 22:34 | -12 | 28 |
| 15 | CDFC Calzada | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 31:47 | -16 | 27 |
| 16 | Villegas | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 29:55 | -26 | 25 |
| 17 | Autol | 27 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 17:64 | -47 | 13 |
| 18 | Pena Balsamaiso | 27 | 0 | 10 | 17 | 18:61 | -43 | 10 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )
Relegation