Subiza vs Peña Sport – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
04/01/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 15 - Round 16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 35', 0 - 1, Recalde J. ,
  • 45', 0 - 2, Muro A. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 65', 1 - 2, ,
  • 90+1', 2 - 2, ,
  • 90+10', 3 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Subiza
33.7%
Draw
29.3%
Peña Sport
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.5% 27.9% 33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4% 27.3% 32.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Subiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • Peña Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Subiza than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Subiza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peña Sport than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • Subiza - Peña Sport Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.69
    (2.35)
    3.09
    (3.25)
    2.45
    (2.7)
    10.4%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Subiza won 4.
    • Subiza has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Peña Sport is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Subiza won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 2.3:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Subiza won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 3.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Subiza - Peña Sport were as follows:
    09.08.2024 Peña Sport - Subiza 0:1
    26.11.2023 Subiza - Peña Sport 4:0
    21.05.2023 Subiza - Peña Sport 5:3
    14.05.2023 Peña Sport - Subiza 3:2
    11.03.2023 Subiza - Peña Sport 2:0
    Latest results of Subiza
    20.12.2025 Egüés - Subiza 0:3
    14.12.2025 Subiza - Huarte 2:0
    07.12.2025 Cortes - Subiza 0:2
    23.11.2025 Subiza - Oberena 4:0
    09.11.2025 Subiza - Bidezarra 0:0
    Latest results of Peña Sport
    20.12.2025 Peña Sport - San Juan 2:1
    14.12.2025 Beti Onak - Peña Sport 0:0
    23.11.2025 Ardoi - Peña Sport 1:2
    15.11.2025 Peña Sport - Beti Kozkor 0:0
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Pena23163446:291751
    2Pamplona24137444:222246
    3Izarra24119449:242542
    4Subiza23126533:191442
    5AD San Juan24912332:181439
    6Cortes23113926:31-536
    7Huarte241121139:33635
    8Txantrea2396838:47-933
    9Ezcabarte2489731:30133
    10Valle Egues24771035:43-828
    11Beti Kozkor23761029:31-227
    12Aoiz23751131:32-126
    13Cirbonero2359924:30-624
    14Bidezarra24661224:31-724
    15Oberena23661122:39-1724
    16CD Ardoi24581128:39-1123
    17CA Artajones23491026:45-1921
    18Beti Onak23471224:38-1419

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