Result
1:2
19/10/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 9
- Referee: Rodrigues J. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 25 | 11 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 32 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 8', 0 - 1, Nketia D. ⚽,
- 18', 0 - 2, John N. ⚽,
- 40', John N. 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 2, Reko ⚽, Santos A. (A),
- 43', Reko 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Nketia D. ↓, Miguel ↑,
- 62', Davo ↓, Vieira P. ↑,
- 62', Pereira B. ↓, Alloh T. ↑,
- 74', Reko ↓, Sery J. ↑,
- 74', Alcaina R. ↓, Suker H. ↑,
- 78', John N. ↓, Popoola S. ↑,
- 85', Oliveira J. ↓, Basit A. ↑,
- 85', Kebe I. ↓, Pedro Sa ↑,
- 88', Ribeiro T. ↓, Gui Meira ↑,
- 88', Antunes L. ↓, Klimov K. ↑,
- 90+8', Gui Meira 🟨,
Chances of winning
Penafiel 29.4% | Draw 29.6% | Feirense 41% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Penafiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Feirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Feirense's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Penafiel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Feirense than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Feirense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Penafiel - Feirense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.51 ↑ (2.73) |
3.38 ↑ (3.08) |
2.35 ↓ (2.68) |
0.7% (6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Penafiel - Feirense?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Penafiel will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Feirense will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Penafiel won 1.
- Recent performances by Penafiel have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Feirense is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Penafiel won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:20. (average 0.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Penafiel won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Penafiel won against Feirense?
Penafiel has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Feirense won against Penafiel?
Feirense has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Penafiel - Feirense were as follows:
19.04.2025
Penafiel
-
Feirense
1:2
07.12.2024
Feirense
-
Penafiel
3:0
29.01.2024
Penafiel
-
Feirense
2:1
20.08.2023
Feirense
-
Penafiel
2:0
08.04.2023
Feirense
-
Penafiel
2:1
Latest results of Penafiel
Latest results of Feirense
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 38:19 | 19 | 47 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 44:26 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | Sporting CP B | 24 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 37:23 | 14 | 38 |
| 4 | FC Porto B | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 37 |
| 5 | Torreense | 24 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 28:27 | 1 | 36 |
| 6 | Leiria | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 34:31 | 3 | 35 |
| 7 | Vizela | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 30:28 | 2 | 35 |
| 8 | Lusitania FC | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 33:37 | -4 | 34 |
| 9 | Feirense | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 28:27 | 1 | 32 |
| 10 | Benfica B | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 33:31 | 2 | 31 |
| 11 | Leixoes | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 27:40 | -13 | 31 |
| 12 | Chaves | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27:24 | 3 | 30 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 21:23 | -2 | 28 |
| 15 | SC Farense | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22:31 | -9 | 27 |
| 16 | Oliveirense | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 26 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 20:32 | -12 | 24 |
| 18 | Portimonense | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 25:35 | -10 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3