Result
1:0
15/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 26
- Referee: Goncalves J. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 29 | 35 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2', 1 - 0, Miguel J. (Own goal),
- 17', Popoola S. 🟨,
- 38', Jojo 🟨,
- 38', Pereira B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 60', Pedro Sa ↓, Kebe I. ↑,
- 60', Alves R. ↓, Davo ↑,
- 61', Sanchez J. 🟨,
- 63', Nketia D. ↓, Joao Lima ↑,
- 68', Santos L. ↓, Miguel ↑,
- 69', de Oliveira da Silva P. H. ↓, Novero G. ↑,
- 74', Alcaina R. ↓, Sery J. ↑,
- 77', Arriba J. ↓, Mendes P. ↑,
- 77', Popoola S. ↓, Gui Meira ↑,
- 83', Sanchez J. ↓, Rodrigues D. ↑,
- 83', Carbonell A. ↓, Ze Leite ↑,
- 86', Ribeiro T. 🟨,
- 90+2', Novero G. 🟨,
- 90+9', Ribeiro T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Feirense
39.9% | Draw
30.4% | Penafiel
29.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Feirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Penafiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Feirense than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Feirense - Penafiel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.32 ↑
(2.17) |
3.03 ↓
(3.33) |
3.14 ↓
(3.21) |
8%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Feirense - Penafiel?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Feirense will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Penafiel will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Feirense: 4% – 71%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Penafiel (2.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Penafiel (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Feirense won 4.
- Feirense has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Penafiel is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Penafiel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Feirense might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Feirense won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:17. (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Feirense won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 1.2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Feirense won against Penafiel?
Feirense has won 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Penafiel won against Feirense?
Penafiel has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Feirense - Penafiel were as follows:
19.10.2025
Penafiel
-
Feirense
1:2
19.04.2025
Penafiel
-
Feirense
1:2
07.12.2024
Feirense
-
Penafiel
3:0
29.01.2024
Penafiel
-
Feirense
2:1
20.08.2023
Feirense
-
Penafiel
2:0
Latest results of Feirense
Latest results of Penafiel
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 49:25 | 24 | 66 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 56:33 | 23 | 55 |
| 3 | Torreense | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 40:32 | 8 | 53 |
| 4 | Leiria | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 50:43 | 7 | 49 |
| 5 | Vizela | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 48 |
| 6 | Feirense | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 34:36 | -2 | 45 |
| 7 | FC Porto B | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 38:42 | -4 | 45 |
| 8 | Benfica B | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 43:40 | 3 | 44 |
| 9 | Leixoes | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 42:53 | -11 | 44 |
| 10 | Lusitania FC | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 42:48 | -6 | 43 |
| 11 | Chaves | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 38:37 | 1 | 42 |
| 12 | Sporting CP B | 32 | 13 | 2 | 17 | 41:33 | 8 | 41 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 28:36 | -8 | 40 |
| 14 | SC Farense | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 30:35 | -5 | 39 |
| 15 | Penafiel | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 35:37 | -2 | 38 |
| 16 | Portimonense | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 37:48 | -11 | 36 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 31:46 | -15 | 35 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 31:43 | -12 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
