Moreirense vs Penafiel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
10/03/2023 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 24
  • Referee: Silva H. (Por)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Moreirense
48.6%
Draw
27.5%
Penafiel
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.5% 26.8% 24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9% 26% 24%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Moreirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Penafiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • Moreirense - Penafiel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (1.85)
    3.33
    (3.35)
    3.87
    (3.63)
    8.6%
    (11.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Moreirense - Penafiel?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Moreirense will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%). Penafiel will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Moreirense: 52.1%90.7%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal and 7).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Moreirense won 2.
    • Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.
    • In this match Moreirense is a favorite.
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Moreirense won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-12.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Moreirense won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Moreirense - Penafiel were as follows:
    17.11.2022 Penafiel - Moreirense 1:2
    17.09.2022 Penafiel - Moreirense 1:1
    Latest results of Moreirense
    04.03.2023 Moreirense - Trofense 1:0
    25.02.2023 Oliveirense - Moreirense 2:2
    19.02.2023 Moreirense - BSAD 4:1
    10.02.2023 Torreense - Moreirense 1:0
    Latest results of Penafiel
    04.03.2023 Penafiel - Oliveirense 1:1
    24.02.2023 Trofense - Penafiel 1:2
    18.02.2023 Penafiel - Covilhã 1:1
    13.02.2023 BSAD - Penafiel 2:2
    05.02.2023 Penafiel - Mafra 1:0
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maritimo23145437:162147
    2Academico Viseu23125641:251641
    3Sporting CP B23122937:221538
    4Torreense23113928:24436
    5Lusitania FC2397732:35-334
    6FC Porto B23104928:31-334
    7Leiria2288633:31232
    8Vizela2388727:26132
    9Feirense2387828:27131
    10Benfica B2379732:30230
    11Chaves2386925:21430
    12Leixoes23841126:40-1428
    13Felgueiras2377924:30-628
    14Penafiel23761020:22-227
    15Oliveirense23671026:33-725
    16Portimonense23661125:34-924
    17SC Farense23661120:30-1024
    18Pacos Ferreira2258920:32-1223

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