Result
3:1
10/03/2023 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 24
- Referee: Silva H. (Por)
Chances of winning
Moreirense 48.6% | Draw 27.5% | Penafiel 23.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Moreirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Penafiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Moreirense - Penafiel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.9 ↑ (1.85) |
3.33 ↓ (3.35) |
3.87 ↑ (3.63) |
8.6% (11.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Moreirense - Penafiel?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Moreirense will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%). Penafiel will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Moreirense: 52.1% – 90.7%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal and 7).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Moreirense won 2.
- Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.
- In this match Moreirense is a favorite.
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Moreirense won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-12.
- Including matches at home between the teams Moreirense won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Moreirense won against Penafiel?
Moreirense has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Penafiel won against Moreirense?
Penafiel has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Moreirense - Penafiel were as follows:
17.11.2022
Penafiel
-
Moreirense
1:2
17.09.2022
Penafiel
-
Moreirense
1:1
Latest results of Moreirense
Latest results of Penafiel
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 42:21 | 21 | 53 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 50:28 | 22 | 50 |
| 3 | Vizela | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 36:31 | 5 | 44 |
| 4 | Torreense | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 32:27 | 5 | 42 |
| 5 | Leiria | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 41:34 | 7 | 41 |
| 6 | FC Porto B | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 32:33 | -1 | 38 |
| 7 | Sporting CP B | 26 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 37:25 | 12 | 38 |
| 8 | Lusitania FC | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 37:44 | -7 | 37 |
| 9 | Chaves | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 29:26 | 3 | 36 |
| 10 | Feirense | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 29:30 | -1 | 35 |
| 11 | Benfica B | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 36:32 | 4 | 34 |
| 12 | Leixoes | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 29:47 | -18 | 31 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 24:31 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | Pacos Ferreira | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24:34 | -10 | 30 |
| 15 | Penafiel | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 22:26 | -4 | 29 |
| 16 | SC Farense | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 23:32 | -9 | 29 |
| 17 | Oliveirense | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26:36 | -10 | 27 |
| 18 | Portimonense | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 27:39 | -12 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3